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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
02.12.2026 20:00
St. James' Park

Newcastle vs Manchester United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Win 0%
Draw 0%
Manchester United Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle1.45
Manchester United1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle Newcastle
WWDLW
20 GF / 25 GA
Manchester United Manchester United
WLDWL
24 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.85
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
11
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Newcastle Newcastle 13 matches
Manchester United Manchester United 13 matches
Newcastle Statistic Manchester United
4 Wins 4
4 Draws 5
5 Losses 4
20 Goals For 24
25 Goals Against 17
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
11 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 11
10 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 6
11.67 Total Shots 20.86
4.67 Corners 6.71
52% Ball Possession 57.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 6 times, Manchester United won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Newcastle's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-2-3-1 / Manchester United 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Newcastle wins 6, draws 2, Manchester United wins 7

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 16:5 11 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 0 1 10:5 5 15
W L W W W
3 6 4 1 1 18:5 13 13
W W W D L
4 6 2 4 0 12:6 6 10
D W D D D
5 6 2 4 0 8:5 3 10
D W D D D
6 6 3 1 2 15:13 2 10
W L D L W
7 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
L D W D D
8 6 2 3 1 8:6 2 9
D L D D W
9 6 2 3 1 7:7 0 9
L W D W D
10 6 3 0 3 9:12 -3 9
W L W L L
11 6 2 2 2 10:13 -3 8
L W L D W
12 6 2 1 3 9:12 -3 7
W D L W L
13 6 1 3 2 9:9 0 6
D D L D W
14 6 2 0 4 5:11 -6 6
W W L L L
15 6 1 2 3 5:8 -3 5
L L W D D
16 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
D W L D L
17 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L D W
18 6 0 3 3 7:13 -6 3
L L D D D
19 6 0 3 3 3:9 -6 3
D L D D L
20 6 0 2 4 6:10 -4 2
L D D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship