Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Win 0%
Draw 0%
Arsenal Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle1.35
Arsenal1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle
WWDLW
19 GF / 21 GA
Arsenal
WLDWL
17 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1
10
BTTS Yes
5
9
Over 2.5
6
3.6
Shots on Goal
5.43
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Newcastle
12 matches
Arsenal
10 matches
| Newcastle | Statistic | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 7 |
| 4 | Draws | 1 |
| 4 | Losses | 2 |
| 19 | Goals For | 17 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.7 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3.6 | Shots On Goal | 5.43 |
| 10.2 | Total Shots | 14.86 |
| 4.4 | Corners | 4.86 |
| 49% | Ball Possession | 59% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 5 times, Arsenal won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:20 from Newcastle's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-2-3-1 / Arsenal 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Newcastle wins 5, draws 1, Arsenal wins 9
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 18 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Arsenal
Away
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 15 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 10 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 10 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Newcastle
Home
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 5 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 3 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship