🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Referee: M. De Oliveira
New York Red Bulls
Match Timeline
DC United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
J. Hall · Assist: R. Donkor
New York Red Bulls
21'
R. Donkor
New York Red Bulls
37'
T. Baribo · Assist: J. Hopkins
DC United
🔄
46'
M. Dos Santos ↔ J. Masanka Bungi
New York Red Bulls
🟨
50'
Adri Mehmeti
New York Red Bulls
52'
J. Ruvalcaba · Assist: E. Forsberg
New York Red Bulls
54'
J. Hopkins · Assist: Peglow
DC United
59'
T. Baribo · Assist: Peglow
DC United
🔄
65'
A. Mehmeti ↔ G. Berggren
New York Red Bulls
🔄
65'
R. Mosquera ↔ M. Sofo
New York Red Bulls
71'
J. Ruvalcaba · Assist: R. Donkor
New York Red Bulls
🔄
77'
A. Herrera ↔ C. Clark
DC United
🔄
80'
J. Ruvalcaba ↔ E. M. Choupo-Moting
New York Red Bulls
80'
T. Baribo · Assist: S. Hefti
DC United
🔄
81'
J. Hopkins ↔ J. Murrell
DC United
🔄
81'
B. Servania ↔ N. Markovic
DC United
🟨
86'
Matti Peltola
DC United
🟨
90'
Caden Clark
DC United
🔄
90+3'
Peglow ↔ J. Stroud
DC United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.6%
-
Probability Distribution
New York Red Bulls Win 57.7%
Draw 12.4%
DC United Win 29.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
New York Red Bulls1.55
DC United1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
WWDLW
25 GF / 32 GA
DC United DC United
WLDWL
5 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
0.45
2.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
10
BTTS Yes
3
12
Over 2.5
4
5.75
Shots on Goal
2.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 14 matches
DC United DC United 11 matches
New York Red Bulls Statistic DC United
5 Wins 2
2 Draws 4
7 Losses 5
25 Goals For 5
32 Goals Against 13
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 0.45
2.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
10 BTTS Yes 3
13 Over 1.5 4
12 Over 2.5 4
9 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 7
5.75 Shots On Goal 2.38
14.63 Total Shots 9.63
7.13 Corners 4
59% Ball Possession 40.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring DC United. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward DC United having the stronger overall control.

New York Red Bulls Analysis

New York Red Bulls are currently 8 in the standings with 11 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 11:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Hall (5 goals), K. Smith (2 goals), A. Mehmeti (1 goals), with creative support from J. Hall (2 assists), A. Mehmeti (2 assists), E. Forsberg (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Che, A. Marcucci, C. Harper unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

DC United Analysis

DC United are currently 9 in the standings with 8 points from 8 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 4:9 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through T. Baribo (3 goals), M. Peltola (1 goals), with creative support from Peglow (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with H. Karamoko, G. Segal, S. Nealis unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, New York Red Bulls won 7 times, DC United won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:17 from New York Red Bulls's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
Predicted formations: New York Red Bulls 4-4-2 / DC United 4-4-2
Missing players: New York Red Bulls 3, DC United 4
H2H summary: New York Red Bulls wins 7, draws 5, DC United wins 3
Stats
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
DC United DC United
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 3
14 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 4
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Goal 5
2 Shots off Goal 6
6 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 9
7 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
453 Total passes 421
363 Passes accurate 322
1.34 expected_goals 3.41
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

DC United
Formation
New York Red Bulls
S. Johnson
S. Johnson
S. Hefti
🎯
S. Hefti
L. Bartlett
L. Bartlett
K. Rowles
K. Rowles
K. Kurokawa
K. Kurokawa
A. Herrera
A. Herrera
M. Peltola
M. Peltola
B. Servania
B. Servania
Peglow
🎯
Peglow
J. Hopkins
🎯
J. Hopkins
T. Baribo
⚽ 3
T. Baribo
E. Horvath
E. Horvath
J. Marshall-Rutty
J. Marshall-Rutty
D. Nealis
D. Nealis
R. Voloder
R. Voloder
M. Dos Santos
M. Dos Santos
R. Donkor
🎯
R. Donkor
A. Mehmeti
A. Mehmeti
E. Forsberg
🎯
E. Forsberg
R. Mosquera
R. Mosquera
J. Hall
J. Hall
J. Ruvalcaba
⚽ 2
J. Ruvalcaba
DC United 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
S. Johnson
G
5
S. Hefti
🎯 80'
D
3
L. Bartlett
D
15
K. Rowles
D
6
K. Kurokawa
D
22
A. Herrera
↓ 77'
M
4
M. Peltola
🟨 86'
M
23
B. Servania
↓ 81'
M
7
Peglow
🎯 54' 🎯 59' ↓ 90+3'
M
25
J. Hopkins
⚽ 54' 🎯 37' ↓ 81'
F
9
T. Baribo
⚽ 37' ⚽ 59' ⚽ 80'
F
Substitutes
24
J. Farr
G
26
A. Bono
G
8
J. Stroud
↑ 90+3'
M
77
H. Kijima
M
17
J. Murrell
↑ 81'
F
12
C. Antley
D
30
C. Clark
↑ 77' 🟨 90'
M
48
G. Turner
M
27
N. Markovic
↑ 81'
D
New York Red Bulls 4-3-3 (estimated)
Starting XI
34
E. Horvath
G
3
J. Marshall-Rutty
D
12
D. Nealis
D
6
R. Voloder
D
56
M. Dos Santos
↓ 46'
D
48
R. Donkor
⚽ 21' 🎯 15' 🎯 71'
M
15
A. Mehmeti
↓ 65' 🟨 50'
M
10
E. Forsberg
🎯 52'
M
79
R. Mosquera
↓ 65'
F
16
J. Hall
⚽ 15'
F
11
J. Ruvalcaba
⚽ 52' ⚽ 71' ↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
77
J. McCarthy
G
13
E. M. Choupo-Moting
↑ 80'
F
4
G. Berggren
↑ 65'
M
7
C. Cowell
F
37
M. Sofo
↑ 65'
F
39
N. Benedetti
M
26
T. Parker
D
20
J. Mina
D
23
J. Masanka Bungi
↑ 46'
M
Last matches: New York Red Bulls
24.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
2
1
W
16.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
09.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
3
1
W
02.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
2
L
25.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
0
2
L
18.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
1
4
L
11.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
2
2
D
04.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
4
2
W
21.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
1
6
L
14.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
1
1
D
08.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
0
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
1
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
2
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
2
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Hartford Athletic
5
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
3
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Sarasota Paradise
1
3
L
Last matches: DC United
23.05.26
Maj
DC United
CF Montreal
4
4
D
16.05.26
Maj
DC United
St. Louis City
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
DC United
Chicago Fire
1
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
DC United
Nashville SC
2
2
D
03.05.26
Maj
DC United
New York City FC
2
0
W
25.04.26
Maj
DC United
Orlando City SC
3
2
W
18.04.26
Maj
DC United
Philadelphia Union
0
0
D
11.04.26
Maj
DC United
New England Revolution
0
1
L
04.04.26
Maj
DC United
FC Dallas
0
4
L
21.03.26
Maj
DC United
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
DC United
Chicago Fire
2
1
W
07.03.26
Maj
DC United
Inter Miami
1
2
L
01.03.26
Maj
DC United
Austin
0
1
L
22.02.26
Maj
DC United
Philadelphia Union
1
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
DC United
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
DC United
Portland Timbers
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
DC United
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
4
L
H2H: New York Red Bulls vs DC United
22.04.26
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
4
4
D
24.05.25
H2H
DC United
New York Red Bulls
0
2
W
19.04.25
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
1
2
L
25.01.25
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
1
1
D
29.06.24
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
2
2
D
15.05.24
H2H
DC United
New York Red Bulls
1
4
W
23.09.23
H2H
DC United
New York Red Bulls
3
5
W
20.08.23
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
1
0
W
09.05.23
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
1
0
W
06.08.22
H2H
DC United
New York Red Bulls
0
0
D
28.05.22
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
4
1
W
10.05.22
H2H
DC United
New York Red Bulls
0
3
W
27.10.21
H2H
DC United
New York Red Bulls
1
0
L
11.09.21
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
1
1
D
26.07.21
H2H
DC United
New York Red Bulls
1
0
L
Last matches: New York Red Bulls
16.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
02.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
4
2
W
08.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
0
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Hartford Athletic
5
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
3
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Sarasota Paradise
1
3
L
H2H at home: New York Red Bulls
22.04.26
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
4
4
D
19.04.25
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
1
2
L
25.01.25
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
1
1
D
29.06.24
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
2
2
D
20.08.23
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
1
0
W
09.05.23
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
1
0
W
28.05.22
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
4
1
W
11.09.21
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
1
1
D
Last matches: DC United
10.05.26
Maj
DC United
Nashville SC
2
2
D
03.05.26
Maj
DC United
New York City FC
2
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
DC United
Philadelphia Union
0
0
D
11.04.26
Maj
DC United
New England Revolution
0
1
L
21.03.26
Maj
DC United
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
DC United
Chicago Fire
2
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
DC United
Austin
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
DC United
Portland Timbers
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
DC United
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
4
L
H2H away: DC United
22.04.26
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
4
4
D
19.04.25
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
1
2
W
25.01.25
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
1
1
D
29.06.24
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
2
2
D
20.08.23
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
1
0
L
09.05.23
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
1
0
L
28.05.22
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
4
1
L
11.09.21
H2H
New York Red Bulls
DC United
1
1
D

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 3 1 31:11 20 33
W W W D D
2 15 9 4 2 39:28 11 31
W W W W L
3 14 8 2 4 27:16 11 26
W W W L L
4 14 8 1 5 22:18 4 25
L W L W W
5 15 6 4 5 25:32 -7 22
W D W W L
6 15 6 3 6 24:23 1 21
W W L D L
7 15 5 5 5 36:37 -1 20
W D L D W
8 15 5 4 6 25:21 4 19
L D W W L
9 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D D L D W
10 15 4 4 7 21:23 -2 16
W D L L L
11 14 4 2 8 22:31 -9 14
D L D W L
12 15 4 2 9 23:44 -21 14
L D W L W
13 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
L L L D L
14 14 3 2 9 14:23 -9 11
L D L W W
15 15 1 4 10 18:30 -12 7
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

New York Red Bulls 3 missing
-
J. Che
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
A. Marcucci
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
C. Harper
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
DC United 4 missing
-
H. Karamoko
Missing Fixture Illness
OUT
-
L. Munteanu
Questionable Thigh Injury
OUT
-
G. Segal
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
S. Nealis
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT