Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
73.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.6%
|
- |
New York Red Bulls
DC United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
New York Red Bulls
14 matches
DC United
11 matches
| New York Red Bulls | Statistic | DC United |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 5 |
| 25 | Goals For | 5 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.45 |
| 2.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 5.75 | Shots On Goal | 2.38 |
| 14.63 | Total Shots | 9.63 |
| 7.13 | Corners | 4 |
| 59% | Ball Possession | 40.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring DC United. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward DC United having the stronger overall control.
New York Red Bulls are currently 8 in the standings with 11 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 11:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Hall (5 goals), K. Smith (2 goals), A. Mehmeti (1 goals), with creative support from J. Hall (2 assists), A. Mehmeti (2 assists), E. Forsberg (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Che, A. Marcucci, C. Harper unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
DC United are currently 9 in the standings with 8 points from 8 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 4:9 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through T. Baribo (3 goals), M. Peltola (1 goals), with creative support from Peglow (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with H. Karamoko, G. Segal, S. Nealis unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, New York Red Bulls won 7 times, DC United won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:17 from New York Red Bulls's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
New York Red Bulls
5
5
2
6
6
3
Lineups
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
Houston Dynamo
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
Hartford Athletic
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
Sarasota Paradise
DC United
CF Montreal
DC United
St. Louis City
DC United
Chicago Fire
DC United
Nashville SC
DC United
New York City FC
DC United
Orlando City SC
DC United
Philadelphia Union
DC United
New England Revolution
DC United
FC Dallas
DC United
Atlanta United FC
DC United
Chicago Fire
DC United
Inter Miami
DC United
Austin
DC United
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Minnesota United FC
DC United
Portland Timbers
DC United
Los Angeles Galaxy
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
Hartford Athletic
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
Sarasota Paradise
DC United
Nashville SC
DC United
New York City FC
DC United
Philadelphia Union
DC United
New England Revolution
DC United
Atlanta United FC
DC United
Chicago Fire
DC United
Austin
DC United
Portland Timbers
DC United
Los Angeles Galaxy
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 20 | 33 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
New York Red Bulls
Home
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | -7 | 22 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 19 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
DC United
Away
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 16 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:31 | -9 | 14 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | -21 | 14 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 7 |
L
D
L
L
D
|