Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
75.1%
|
2.32 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
1.53 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.68 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
91%
|
1.29 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
7.00 |
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
New York City FC
23 matches
Philadelphia Union
27 matches
| New York City FC | Statistic | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 8 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 13 |
| 37 | Goals For | 47 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.89 | Shots On Goal | 4.86 |
| 11.44 | Total Shots | 15.82 |
| 3.22 | Corners | 6.23 |
| 54.9% | Ball Possession | 48.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by New York City FC's more proactive style and Philadelphia Union's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with New York City FC expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Philadelphia Union in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Philadelphia Union having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Philadelphia Union. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. New York City FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 26 points compared to Philadelphia Union in 13 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Placed 5 with 26 points from 18 outings, New York City FC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 31:24 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Nicolás Fernández (8 goals), Agustin Ojeda (3 goals), Hannes Wolf (3 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Fernández (3 assists), Agustin Ojeda (3 assists), Hannes Wolf (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
So far, Philadelphia Union have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 16 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 25:33 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Milan Iloski (8 goals), Nathan Harriel (1 goals), Bruno Damiani (1 goals), with creative support from Frankie Westfield (3 assists), Nathan Harriel (1 assists), Bruno Damiani (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, New York City FC won 5 times, Philadelphia Union won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:26 from New York City FC's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
New York City FC
4
5
6
7
6
5
Lineups
New York City FC
Toronto FC
New York City FC
Chicago Fire
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
Nashville SC
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
DC United
New York City FC
CF Montreal
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New York City FC
Inter Miami
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
Sporting Kansas City
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
Seattle Sounders
Philadelphia Union
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
New York City FC
Toronto FC
New York City FC
Chicago Fire
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
DC United
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New York City FC
Inter Miami
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
Austin
New York City FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
Philadelphia Union
FC Nordsjaelland
Philadelphia Union
Sigma Olomouc
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:15 | 24 | 43 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 46:36 | 10 | 38 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 34:24 | 10 | 32 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 30 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 32:28 | 4 | 28 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 46:45 | 1 | 27 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
New York City FC
Home
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 33:27 | 6 | 26 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 30:41 | -11 | 25 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 27:30 | -3 | 24 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 31:48 | -17 | 21 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 27:31 | -4 | 20 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 26:33 | -7 | 20 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
Philadelphia Union
Away
|
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 19 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 25:36 | -11 | 17 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 21:34 | -13 | 15 |
W
L
L
D
L
|