New York City FC vs New England Revolution Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
63.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
New York City FC
New England Revolution
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
New York City FC
28 matches
New England Revolution
28 matches
| New York City FC | Statistic | New England Revolution |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 13 |
| 10 | Draws | 5 |
| 10 | Losses | 10 |
| 42 | Goals For | 53 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.89 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.7 | Shots On Goal | 4.74 |
| 11.39 | Total Shots | 12.61 |
| 3.48 | Corners | 4.48 |
| 53.7% | Ball Possession | 51.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors New England Revolution. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with New York City FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and New England Revolution in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward New England Revolution having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
From their first 22 matches, New York City FC have collected 28 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, while the 36:31 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nicolás Fernández (9 goals), Agustin Ojeda (3 goals), Hannes Wolf (3 goals), with creative support from Agustin Ojeda (4 assists), Nicolás Fernández (3 assists), Hannes Wolf (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
New England Revolution arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 37 points after 22 matches. The record of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 36:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Carles Gil (7 goals), Dor Turgeman (3 goals), Peyton Miller (2 goals), with creative support from Carles Gil (3 assists), Dor Turgeman (3 assists), Matt Polster (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, New York City FC won 6 times, New England Revolution won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:18 from New York City FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 37 | 63 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 68:50 | 18 | 49 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 11 | 48 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45:39 | 6 | 46 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 10 | 46 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 56:45 | 11 | 42 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 51:66 | -15 | 37 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 38:52 | -14 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 58:65 | -7 | 36 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 |
New York City FC
Home
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 33 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 11 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | -11 | 32 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:46 | -12 | 30 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41:46 | -5 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 27 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | -21 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
L
|