Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
91.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
63.6%
|
- |
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
New York City FC
13 matches
FC Cincinnati
16 matches
| New York City FC | Statistic | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 6 |
| 21 | Goals For | 35 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.19 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.81 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.5 | Shots On Goal | 6.17 |
| 13.38 | Total Shots | 14.67 |
| 4.38 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 57% | Ball Possession | 51.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between New York City FC's more proactive style and FC Cincinnati's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with New York City FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Cincinnati in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Cincinnati having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Cincinnati. New York City FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
New York City FC sit 7 with 11 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 14:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on N. Mercau (6 goals), A. Ojeda (2 goals), H. Wolf (2 goals), with creative support from M. Moralez (5 assists), A. Ojeda (1 assists), H. Wolf (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Martinez, A. Perea, D. Baiera unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
FC Cincinnati are currently 10 in the standings with 8 points from 8 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 10:16 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Denkey (2 goals), T. Barlow (2 goals), Ayoub Jabbari (1 goals), with creative support from E. Echenique (2 assists), K. Denkey (1 assists), Ayoub Jabbari (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with K. Fletcher, O. Nwobodo, M. Miazga unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, New York City FC won 5 times, FC Cincinnati won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:26 from New York City FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
New York City FC
9
6
5
3
3
3
Lineups
New York City FC
Nashville SC
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
DC United
New York City FC
CF Montreal
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New York City FC
Inter Miami
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
Sporting Kansas City
New York City FC
Los Angeles FC
New York City FC
Austin
New York City FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
San Diego
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
CF Montreal
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
Universidad O&M
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United FC
FC Cincinnati
Universidad O&M
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
Detroit City
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
DC United
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New York City FC
Inter Miami
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
Austin
New York City FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
FC Cincinnati
San Diego
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
FC Cincinnati
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
Universidad O&M
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 20 | 33 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | -7 | 22 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
FC Cincinnati
Away
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
| 8 |
New York City FC
Home
|
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 19 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 16 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:31 | -9 | 14 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | -21 | 14 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 7 |
L
D
L
L
D
|