🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Yankee Stadium
Referee: I. Elfath
New York City FC
Match Timeline
DC United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
Keisuke Kurokawa
DC United
29'
L. Munteanu
DC United
🔄
36'
A. O'Neill ↔ A. Perea
New York City FC
🟨
45+3'
Silvan Hefti
DC United
🔄
60'
J. Stroud ↔ A. Herrera
DC United
🔄
60'
J. Hopkins ↔ N. Markovic
DC United
🔄
63'
M. Jones ↔ H. Wolf
New York City FC
🔄
63'
S. Tanasijevic ↔ K. Parks
New York City FC
🟨
70'
João Peglow
DC United
75'
L. Munteanu
DC United
🔄
78'
L. Munteanu ↔ J. Murrell
DC United
🟨
80'
Nicolás Fernández
New York City FC
🔄
81'
Raul Gustavo ↔ J. Shore
New York City FC
🔄
81'
A. Ojeda ↔ S. Reid
New York City FC
🔄
89'
Peglow ↔ C. Antley
DC United
🟨
90+3'
Jacob Murrell
DC United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
New York City FC Win 45.7%
Draw 16%
DC United Win 38.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
New York City FC1.59
DC United1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
New York City FC New York City FC
WWDLW
25 GF / 23 GA
DC United DC United
WLDWL
12 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
10
BTTS Yes
5
8
Over 2.5
6
5.5
Shots on Goal
3.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New York City FC New York City FC 15 matches
DC United DC United 13 matches
New York City FC Statistic DC United
4 Wins 3
5 Draws 5
6 Losses 5
25 Goals For 12
23 Goals Against 19
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
10 BTTS Yes 5
14 Over 1.5 6
8 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 7
5.5 Shots On Goal 3.2
12.9 Total Shots 10.6
3.8 Corners 4.2
57.5% Ball Possession 41.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with New York City FC's more proactive style and DC United's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. New York City FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors DC United. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with New York City FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and DC United in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward DC United having the stronger overall control.

New York City FC Analysis

With 12 points from 10 games and a place of 7, New York City FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 19:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on N. Mercau (8 goals), A. Ojeda (3 goals), H. Wolf (2 goals), with creative support from M. Moralez (6 assists), A. Ojeda (2 assists), H. Wolf (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

DC United Analysis

So far, DC United have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 12 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 11:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Baribo (6 goals), Jackson Hopkins (2 goals), K. Rowles (1 goals), with creative support from Peglow (3 assists), Jackson Hopkins (1 assists), J. Murrell (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, New York City FC won 7 times, DC United won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:16 from New York City FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84%)
Predicted formations: New York City FC 4-2-3-1 / DC United 4-4-2
Missing players: New York City FC 5, DC United 4
H2H summary: New York City FC wins 7, draws 3, DC United wins 5
Stats
New York City FC New York City FC
DC United DC United
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
6
6 Corner Kicks 3
10 Fouls 17
4 Offsides 0
73% Ball Possession 27%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Goal 7
5 Shots off Goal 6
0 Blocked Shots 6
6 Shots insidebox 9
3 Shots outsidebox 10
5 Goalkeeper Saves 4
616 Total passes 228
527 Passes accurate 137
0.56 expected_goals 2.79
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

New York City FC
Formation
DC United
M. Freese
M. Freese
S. Tanasijevic
S. Tanasijevic
Thiago Martins
Thiago Martins
Raul Gustavo
Raul Gustavo
N. Cavallo
N. Cavallo
K. Trewin
K. Trewin
A. O'Neill
A. O'Neill
A. Ojeda
A. Ojeda
M. Moralez
M. Moralez
M. Jones
M. Jones
N. Mercau
N. Mercau
S. Johnson
S. Johnson
S. Hefti
S. Hefti
L. Bartlett
L. Bartlett
K. Rowles
K. Rowles
K. Kurokawa
K. Kurokawa
J. Stroud
J. Stroud
M. Peltola
M. Peltola
B. Servania
B. Servania
Peglow
Peglow
J. Hopkins
J. Hopkins
L. Munteanu
⚽ 2
L. Munteanu
New York City FC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
49
M. Freese
G
19
S. Tanasijevic
↓ 63'
D
13
Thiago Martins
D
34
Raul Gustavo
↓ 81'
D
2
N. Cavallo
D
5
K. Trewin
M
21
A. O'Neill
↓ 36'
M
26
A. Ojeda
↓ 81'
M
10
M. Moralez
M
88
M. Jones
↓ 63'
M
7
N. Mercau
🟨 80'
F
Substitutes
30
T. Romero
G
17
H. Wolf
↑ 63'
F
55
K. Parks
↑ 63'
M
8
A. Perea
↑ 36'
M
29
M. Carrizo
M
32
J. Shore
↑ 81'
M
99
S. Reid
↑ 81'
F
87
A. Farnos
F
DC United 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
S. Johnson
G
5
S. Hefti
🟨 45+3'
D
3
L. Bartlett
D
15
K. Rowles
D
6
K. Kurokawa
🟨 26'
D
8
J. Stroud
↓ 60'
M
4
M. Peltola
M
23
B. Servania
M
7
Peglow
↓ 89' 🟨 70'
M
25
J. Hopkins
↓ 60'
F
11
L. Munteanu
⚽ 29' ⚽ 75' ↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
24
J. Farr
G
26
A. Bono
G
77
H. Kijima
M
17
J. Murrell
↑ 78' 🟨 90+3'
F
22
A. Herrera
↑ 60'
D
12
C. Antley
↑ 89'
D
30
C. Clark
M
48
G. Turner
M
27
N. Markovic
↑ 60'
D
Last matches: New York City FC
24.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
Nashville SC
1
2
L
16.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
Charlotte
1
0
W
10.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
3
0
W
25.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
CF Montreal
0
1
L
22.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
4
4
D
18.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
Charlotte
1
2
L
11.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
St. Louis City
1
1
D
22.03.26
Maj
New York City FC
Inter Miami
2
3
L
14.03.26
Maj
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
3
1
W
07.03.26
Maj
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
5
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
23.02.26
Maj
New York City FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
New York City FC
Sporting Kansas City
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
New York City FC
Los Angeles FC
1
1
D
01.02.26
Fri
New York City FC
Austin
2
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
New York City FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2
2
D
Last matches: DC United
23.05.26
Maj
DC United
CF Montreal
4
4
D
16.05.26
Maj
DC United
St. Louis City
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
DC United
Chicago Fire
1
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
DC United
Nashville SC
2
2
D
25.04.26
Maj
DC United
Orlando City SC
3
2
W
22.04.26
Maj
DC United
New York Red Bulls
4
4
D
18.04.26
Maj
DC United
Philadelphia Union
0
0
D
11.04.26
Maj
DC United
New England Revolution
0
1
L
04.04.26
Maj
DC United
FC Dallas
0
4
L
21.03.26
Maj
DC United
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
DC United
Chicago Fire
2
1
W
07.03.26
Maj
DC United
Inter Miami
1
2
L
01.03.26
Maj
DC United
Austin
0
1
L
22.02.26
Maj
DC United
Philadelphia Union
1
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
DC United
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
DC United
Portland Timbers
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
DC United
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
4
L
H2H: New York City FC vs DC United
03.05.26
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
0
2
L
30.08.25
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
1
2
L
14.05.25
H2H
DC United
New York City FC
0
0
D
14.09.24
H2H
DC United
New York City FC
1
1
D
20.04.24
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
2
0
W
07.10.23
H2H
DC United
New York City FC
2
0
L
18.03.23
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
3
2
W
01.09.22
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
1
2
L
18.05.22
H2H
DC United
New York City FC
0
2
W
23.10.21
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
6
0
W
27.06.21
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
2
1
W
18.04.21
H2H
DC United
New York City FC
2
1
L
08.10.20
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
4
1
W
06.09.20
H2H
DC United
New York City FC
0
0
D
19.06.19
H2H
DC United
New York City FC
1
2
W
Last matches: New York City FC
10.05.26
Maj
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
3
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
4
4
D
18.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
Charlotte
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
New York City FC
St. Louis City
1
1
D
22.03.26
Maj
New York City FC
Inter Miami
2
3
L
14.03.26
Maj
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
3
1
W
07.03.26
Maj
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
5
0
W
01.02.26
Fri
New York City FC
Austin
2
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
New York City FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2
2
D
H2H at home: New York City FC
03.05.26
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
0
2
L
30.08.25
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
1
2
L
20.04.24
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
2
0
W
18.03.23
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
3
2
W
01.09.22
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
1
2
L
23.10.21
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
6
0
W
27.06.21
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
2
1
W
08.10.20
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
4
1
W
Last matches: DC United
10.05.26
Maj
DC United
Nashville SC
2
2
D
22.04.26
Maj
DC United
New York Red Bulls
4
4
D
18.04.26
Maj
DC United
Philadelphia Union
0
0
D
11.04.26
Maj
DC United
New England Revolution
0
1
L
21.03.26
Maj
DC United
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
DC United
Chicago Fire
2
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
DC United
Austin
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
DC United
Portland Timbers
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
DC United
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
4
L
H2H away: DC United
03.05.26
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
0
2
W
30.08.25
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
1
2
W
20.04.24
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
2
0
L
18.03.23
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
3
2
L
01.09.22
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
1
2
W
23.10.21
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
6
0
L
27.06.21
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
2
1
L
08.10.20
H2H
New York City FC
DC United
4
1
L

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 3 1 31:11 20 33
W W W D D
2 15 9 4 2 39:28 11 31
W W W W L
3 14 8 2 4 27:16 11 26
W W W L L
4 14 8 1 5 22:18 4 25
L W L W W
5 15 6 4 5 25:32 -7 22
W D W W L
6 15 6 3 6 24:23 1 21
W W L D L
7 15 5 5 5 36:37 -1 20
W D L D W
8 15 5 4 6 25:21 4 19
L D W W L
9 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D D L D W
10 15 4 4 7 21:23 -2 16
W D L L L
11 14 4 2 8 22:31 -9 14
D L D W L
12 15 4 2 9 23:44 -21 14
L D W L W
13 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
L L L D L
14 14 3 2 9 14:23 -9 11
L D L W W
15 15 1 4 10 18:30 -12 7
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

New York City FC 5 missing
-
A. Martinez
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
D. Baiera
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
T. Gray
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
K. O'Toole
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
H. Wolf
Questionable Leg Injury
OUT
DC United 4 missing
-
H. Karamoko
Questionable Illness
OUT
-
G. Segal
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
T. Baribo
Questionable Thigh Injury
OUT
-
S. Nealis
Missing Fixture Broken collarbone
OUT