Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
84%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
73.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
New York City FC
DC United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
New York City FC
15 matches
DC United
13 matches
| New York City FC | Statistic | DC United |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 6 | Losses | 5 |
| 25 | Goals For | 12 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.92 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.46 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 5.5 | Shots On Goal | 3.2 |
| 12.9 | Total Shots | 10.6 |
| 3.8 | Corners | 4.2 |
| 57.5% | Ball Possession | 41.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with New York City FC's more proactive style and DC United's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. New York City FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors DC United. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with New York City FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and DC United in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward DC United having the stronger overall control.
With 12 points from 10 games and a place of 7, New York City FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 19:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on N. Mercau (8 goals), A. Ojeda (3 goals), H. Wolf (2 goals), with creative support from M. Moralez (6 assists), A. Ojeda (2 assists), H. Wolf (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
So far, DC United have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 12 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 11:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Baribo (6 goals), Jackson Hopkins (2 goals), K. Rowles (1 goals), with creative support from Peglow (3 assists), Jackson Hopkins (1 assists), J. Murrell (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, New York City FC won 7 times, DC United won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:16 from New York City FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
New York City FC
4
7
5
6
0
6
Lineups
New York City FC
Nashville SC
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
CF Montreal
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New York City FC
Inter Miami
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
Sporting Kansas City
New York City FC
Los Angeles FC
New York City FC
Austin
New York City FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
DC United
CF Montreal
DC United
St. Louis City
DC United
Chicago Fire
DC United
Nashville SC
DC United
Orlando City SC
DC United
New York Red Bulls
DC United
Philadelphia Union
DC United
New England Revolution
DC United
FC Dallas
DC United
Atlanta United FC
DC United
Chicago Fire
DC United
Inter Miami
DC United
Austin
DC United
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Minnesota United FC
DC United
Portland Timbers
DC United
Los Angeles Galaxy
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New York City FC
Inter Miami
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
Austin
New York City FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
DC United
Nashville SC
DC United
New York Red Bulls
DC United
Philadelphia Union
DC United
New England Revolution
DC United
Atlanta United FC
DC United
Chicago Fire
DC United
Austin
DC United
Portland Timbers
DC United
Los Angeles Galaxy
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 20 | 33 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | -7 | 22 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
New York City FC
Home
|
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 19 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
| 9 |
DC United
Away
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 16 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:31 | -9 | 14 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | -21 | 14 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 7 |
L
D
L
L
D
|