SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
King Khalid Sports City
Referee: A. Al Rumaikhani
NEOM
Match Timeline
Al Shabab
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Mohammed Al Shwirekh
Al Shabab
19'
S. Benrahma
NEOM
45'
S. Benrahma
NEOM
🔄
46'
M. Al Shwirekh ↔ A. Al Asmari
Al Shabab
🔄
46'
A. Azaizeh ↔ A. Al Othman
Al Shabab
🔄
49'
S. Benrahma ↔ M. Al Saad
NEOM
🔄
66'
A. Al Oyayari ↔ S. Al Faraj
NEOM
🔄
66'
L. Rodriguez ↔ R. Messi
NEOM
🔄
73'
A. Makki ↔ K. A. Al Sibyani H.
Al Shabab
🔄
78'
V. Sierro ↔ B. Al Sayyali
Al Shabab
78'
Y. Carrasco · Assist: Y. Adli
Al Shabab
🟨
80'
Khalifah Al-Dawsari
NEOM
🔄
85'
H. Al Hammami ↔ A. Matuq
Al Shabab
🟨
90+7'
Abdulaziz Al-Othman
Al Shabab
🔄
90+2'
A. Kone ↔ M. Al Burayk
NEOM
🔄
90+2'
↔ I. Hawsawi
NEOM

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 94.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
94.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
NEOM Win 47.8%
Draw 15.4%
Al Shabab Win 36.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
NEOM1.45
Al Shabab1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
NEOM NEOM
WWDLW
40 GF / 44 GA
Al Shabab Al Shabab
WLDWL
40 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
20
BTTS Yes
19
17
Over 2.5
13
4.68
Shots on Goal
4.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NEOM NEOM 31 matches
Al Shabab Al Shabab 31 matches
NEOM Statistic Al Shabab
11 Wins 7
8 Draws 11
12 Losses 13
40 Goals For 40
44 Goals Against 52
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
20 BTTS Yes 19
22 Over 1.5 24
17 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 8
4.68 Shots On Goal 4.65
12.94 Total Shots 12.97
4.9 Corners 5.29
51.4% Ball Possession 48.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Al Shabab. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with NEOM expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Al Shabab in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al Shabab having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

NEOM Analysis

From their first 31 matches, NEOM have collected 41 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses, while the 40:44 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Lacazette (11 goals), S. Benrahma (8 goals), L. Rodriguez (6 goals), with creative support from S. Benrahma (7 assists), A. Lacazette (4 assists), A. Doucoure (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al Shabab Analysis

Al Shabab are currently 13 in the standings with 32 points from 31 matches. The record of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 40:52 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Y. Carrasco (16 goals), A. Hamdallah (6 goals), J. Brownhill (5 goals), with creative support from Y. Carrasco (5 assists), A. Hamdallah (2 assists), J. Brownhill (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, NEOM won 1 times, Al Shabab won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from NEOM's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.6%)
Predicted formations: NEOM 4-4-2 / Al Shabab 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NEOM wins 1, draws 0, Al Shabab wins 1
Stats
NEOM NEOM
Al Shabab Al Shabab
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
4
2 Corner Kicks 6
12 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 0
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 6
4 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 8
2 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
369 Total passes 504
304 Passes accurate 439
2.18 expected_goals 1.26
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

NEOM
Formation
Al Shabab
M. Bulka
M. Bulka
K. Al Dawsari
K. Al Dawsari
A. Hegazy
A. Hegazy
N. Zeze
N. Zeze
F. Abdi
F. Abdi
A. Al Oyayari
A. Al Oyayari
A. Al Haji
A. Al Haji
A. Kone
A. Kone
L. Rodriguez
L. Rodriguez
A. Lacazette
A. Lacazette
S. Benrahma
⚽ 2
S. Benrahma
Marcelo Grohe
Marcelo Grohe
A. Makki
A. Makki
M. Al Shwirekh
M. Al Shwirekh
W. Hoedt
W. Hoedt
M. Al Thani
M. Al Thani
J. Brownhill
J. Brownhill
V. Sierro
V. Sierro
A. Azaizeh
A. Azaizeh
Y. Adli
🎯
Y. Adli
H. Al Hammami
H. Al Hammami
Y. Carrasco
Y. Carrasco
NEOM 4-4-2
Starting XI
99
M. Bulka
G
4
K. Al Dawsari
🟨 80'
D
26
A. Hegazy
D
44
N. Zeze
D
25
F. Abdi
D
15
A. Al Oyayari
↓ 66'
M
18
A. Al Haji
72
A. Kone
↓ 90+2'
M
19
L. Rodriguez
↓ 66'
M
91
A. Lacazette
F
10
S. Benrahma
⚽ 19' ⚽ 45' ↓ 49'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Malayekah
G
7
S. Al Faraj
↑ 66'
M
2
M. Al Burayk
↑ 90+2'
D
61
Y. Gharwi
M
93
A. Al Saluli
D
27
I. Hawsawi
↑ 90+2'
D
80
R. Messi
↑ 66'
F
14
M. Al Saad
↑ 49'
F
95
A. Fallatah
M
Al Shabab 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
43
Marcelo Grohe
G
5
A. Makki
↓ 73'
D
2
M. Al Shwirekh
↓ 46' 🟨 17'
D
4
W. Hoedt
D
17
M. Al Thani
D
8
J. Brownhill
M
14
V. Sierro
↓ 78'
M
99
A. Azaizeh
↓ 46'
M
29
Y. Adli
🎯 78'
M
22
H. Al Hammami
↓ 85'
10
Y. Carrasco
⚽ 78'
F
Substitutes
33
M. Al Mahasneh
40
A. Al Asmari
↑ 46'
M
16
K. A. Al Sibyani H.
↑ 73'
D
91
A. Al Othman
↑ 46' 🟨 90+7'
F
20
B. Al Sayyali
↑ 78'
M
37
A. Matuq
↑ 85'
7
U. Hernandez
M
6
F. Al Subiani
M
94
M. Al Rajeh
D
Last matches: NEOM
21.05.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ettifaq
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fateh
2
2
D
28.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Hazm
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Najma
1
2
L
08.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ittihad FC
4
3
W
04.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fayha
1
0
W
12.03.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Taawon
2
2
D
07.03.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Nassr
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Kholood
1
2
L
25.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fayha
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
0
W
12.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Qadisiyah FC
0
1
L
06.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Riyadh
1
0
W
02.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Okhdood
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Damac
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
3
L
21.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ettifaq
0
0
D
18.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1
2
L
14.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Shabab
2
3
L
Last matches: Al Shabab
20.05.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al Najma
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al-Ittihad FC
3
2
W
07.05.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al-Nassr
2
4
L
03.05.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al Taawon
1
5
L
28.04.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al-Fateh
1
1
D
14.04.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al Riyadh
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al Okhdood
2
0
W
07.03.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al-Ettifaq
1
1
D
27.02.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3
5
L
23.02.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al Riyadh
3
1
W
20.02.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Damac
3
1
W
13.02.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2
5
L
07.02.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al Kholood
0
1
L
01.02.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al-Fayha
1
0
W
29.01.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al-Hazm
4
0
W
24.01.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al Khaleej Saihat
0
0
D
20.01.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al Najma
0
0
D
17.01.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al-Nassr
2
3
L
14.01.26
Pro
Al Shabab
NEOM
3
2
W
H2H: NEOM vs Al Shabab
11.05.26
H2H
NEOM
Al Shabab
2
1
W
14.01.26
H2H
Al Shabab
NEOM
3
2
L
Last matches: NEOM
21.05.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ettifaq
1
1
D
28.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Hazm
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fayha
1
0
W
12.03.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Taawon
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Kholood
1
2
L
06.02.26
Pro
NEOM
Al Riyadh
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Damac
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
3
L
18.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1
2
L
10.01.26
Pro
NEOM
Al-Fateh
0
1
L
31.12.25
Pro
NEOM
Al-Ittihad FC
1
3
L
25.12.25
Pro
NEOM
Al Najma
2
1
W
08.11.25
Pro
NEOM
Al-Nassr
1
3
L
24.10.25
Pro
NEOM
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
1
D
19.10.25
Pro
NEOM
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
3
L
18.09.25
Pro
NEOM
Al Okhdood
1
0
W
H2H at home: NEOM
11.05.26
H2H
NEOM
Al Shabab
2
1
W
Last matches: Al Shabab
20.05.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al Najma
0
1
L
14.04.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al Riyadh
1
1
D
07.03.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al-Ettifaq
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Damac
3
1
W
07.02.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al Kholood
0
1
L
29.01.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al-Hazm
4
0
W
24.01.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al Khaleej Saihat
0
0
D
17.01.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al-Nassr
2
3
L
09.01.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al Taawon
0
2
L
03.01.26
Pro
Al Shabab
Al-Fateh
0
2
L
27.12.25
Pro
Al Shabab
Al-Ittihad FC
0
2
L
23.11.25
Pro
Al Shabab
Al Okhdood
1
1
D
31.10.25
Pro
Al Shabab
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0
1
L
17.10.25
Pro
Al Shabab
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1
1
D
19.09.25
Pro
Al Shabab
Al-Fayha
0
0
D
H2H away: Al Shabab
11.05.26
H2H
NEOM
Al Shabab
2
1
L

Standings

Saudi League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 2 4 91:28 63 86
W D W L W
2 34 25 9 0 85:27 58 84
W W D W W
3 34 25 6 3 71:25 46 81
W W W W W
4 34 23 8 3 83:34 49 77
W W W W W
5 34 16 7 11 55:48 7 55
L L W W D
6 34 15 8 11 59:46 13 53
L D L W L
7 34 14 8 12 51:55 -4 50
D L W D W
8
NEOM Home
34 12 9 13 43:48 -5 45
D L W D D
9 34 11 9 14 38:57 -19 42
W L D L D
10 34 10 8 16 41:54 -13 38
L L L W D
11 34 9 10 15 41:55 -14 37
D W L L D
12 34 10 7 17 54:62 -8 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 44:57 -13 35
L W L L L
14 34 9 6 19 39:61 -22 33
D L D D D
15 34 7 9 18 35:63 -28 30
W D W L L
16 34 6 11 17 32:55 -23 29
L W L L L
17 34 5 5 24 27:70 -43 20
L W D L L
18 34 3 7 24 32:76 -44 16
W L D D L
Champions League Elite
Champions League 2
Relegation