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SAUDI-ARABIA › PRO LEAGUE
13.09.2026 16:20
King Khalid Sport City Stadium
Referee: Ibrahim Ahmed Al-Jurays, Saudi Arabia
NEOM
Match Timeline
Al-Fateh
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Khalil Al-Absi
NEOM
⚽
16'
A. Lacazette
NEOM
🟨
39'
Amadou Koné
NEOM
⚽
41'
M. Batna
Al-Fateh
🟨
42'
Mihai Lixandru
Al-Fateh
⚽
51'
A. Kone · Assist: M. Al Saad
NEOM
⚽
64'
W. Kanga
Al-Fateh
🔄
65'
K. Al Absi ↔ G. Masouras
NEOM
⚽
70'
A. Lacazette · Assist: I. Hawsawi
NEOM
🔄
75'
M. Al Saad ↔ V. Vada
NEOM
🔄
76'
I. Hawsawi ↔ M. Abu Taha
NEOM
⚽
79'
V. Vada · Assist: M. Abu Taha
NEOM
🔄
81'
Bin Mahmoud ↔ A. R. Al Khaibre
Al-Fateh
🔄
81'
L. Haraslin ↔ F. Al Zubaidi
Al-Fateh
🔄
81'
A. Al Hassan ↔ S. Al Sharfa
Al-Fateh
🔄
81'
F. Al Abdulwahed ↔ H. Essadak
Al-Fateh
🔄
87'
W. Kanga ↔ Ramos Jefferson
Al-Fateh
🔄
90'
A. Al Oyayari ↔ K. Al Dawsari
NEOM
🔄
90'
A. Hejji ↔ A. Al Hassan
NEOM

NEOM vs Al-Fateh Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80%
Odds 1.65
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 2.21
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80%
1.65 ▥
BTTS No
56%
2.20 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
2.21 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.8%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
NEOM Win 80%
Draw 5.6%
Al-Fateh Win 14.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
NEOM1.39
Al-Fateh0.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
NEOM NEOM
WWDLW
15 GF / 7 GA
Al-Fateh Al-Fateh
WLDWL
2 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
0.29
0.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
2
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
3
4.17
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NEOM NEOM 11 matches
Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 7 matches
NEOM Statistic Al-Fateh
7 Wins 0
1 Draws 3
3 Losses 4
15 Goals For 2
7 Goals Against 10
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 0.29
0.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
2 BTTS Yes 2
7 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 0
6 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 5
4.17 Shots On Goal 4.67
12.67 Total Shots 11.67
3.5 Corners 4.33
50.8% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around NEOM's more proactive style and Al-Fateh's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Al-Fateh. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. NEOM arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 9 points compared to Al-Fateh in 15 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with NEOM expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Al-Fateh in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Fateh having the stronger overall control.

NEOM Analysis

NEOM sit 7 with 9 points after 5 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 7:4 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Lacazette (3 goals), A. Koné (2 goals), Saïd Benrahma (1 goals), with creative support from Haroune Camara (2 assists), Khalil Al Absi (2 assists), A. Lacazette (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Al-Fateh Analysis

With 3 points from 5 games and a place of 15, Al-Fateh still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats with a 1:5 goal balance points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they depend heavily on L. Haraslín (1 goals), with creative support from Z. Youssouf (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, NEOM won 0 times, Al-Fateh won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from NEOM's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: NEOM 4-4-2 / Al-Fateh 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NEOM wins 0, draws 1, Al-Fateh wins 1

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 23:5 18 18
W L W W W
2 7 5 2 0 12:6 6 17
W W W D W
3 7 5 1 1 16:7 9 16
D W L W W
4 7 5 1 1 16:8 8 16
D W W W W
5
NEOM Home
7 5 0 2 13:6 7 15
W W W L L
6 7 4 0 3 16:10 6 12
W L W L L
7 7 3 3 1 12:10 2 12
L W D W D
8 7 3 2 2 7:5 2 11
D W L W D
9 7 3 2 2 11:11 0 11
D D W L L
10 7 2 2 3 7:9 -2 8
L W D D L
11 7 2 2 3 8:16 -8 8
W D L W D
12 7 1 3 3 7:11 -4 6
D L D W D
13 7 0 5 2 3:10 -7 5
D D L L D
14 7 0 4 3 6:11 -5 4
D L L D D
15 7 0 3 4 4:11 -7 3
L L D D D
16 7 0 3 4 5:13 -8 3
L D D L D
17 7 0 3 4 3:12 -9 3
L L D L D
18 7 0 2 5 5:13 -8 2
D L L L D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1