BELARUS › PREMIER LEAGUE
10.10.2026 15:00
Stadion Neman

Neman vs Baranovichi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67%
- ▥
BTTS No
55%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Neman Win 67%
Draw 5.5%
Baranovichi Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Neman1.51
Baranovichi1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Neman Neman
WWDLW
51 GF / 31 GA
Baranovichi Baranovichi
WLDWL
33 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.06
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
15
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
14
1.14
Shots on Goal
1.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Neman Neman 34 matches
Baranovichi Baranovichi 31 matches
Neman Statistic Baranovichi
17 Wins 7
7 Draws 10
10 Losses 14
51 Goals For 33
31 Goals Against 47
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
15 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 8
12 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 12
1.14 Shots On Goal 1.43
0.55 Total Shots 0
2.14 Corners 1.83
22.2% Ball Possession 16.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Neman's more proactive style and Baranovichi's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Baranovichi. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Neman come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Neman arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 37 points compared to Baranovichi in 11 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Neman Analysis

From their first 22 matches, Neman have collected 37 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 26:20 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Baranovichi Analysis

Baranovichi sit 11 with 25 points after 23 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, while the 24:38 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: Neman 4-2-3-1 / Baranovichi 4-2-3-1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 13 6 3 37:18 19 45
L W D W D
2 21 12 8 1 42:17 25 44
W D D D W
3 21 13 4 4 37:16 21 43
W L D W L
4 23 12 4 7 38:23 15 40
W W W L D
5 23 11 6 6 33:18 15 39
W L W W D
6
Neman Home
22 11 4 7 26:20 6 37
W W D W W
7 23 10 6 7 28:21 7 36
W D L W W
8 23 10 4 9 30:28 2 34
L W W L L
9 22 7 6 9 28:29 -1 27
L L L W D
10 22 6 7 9 23:26 -3 25
L L W L D
11 23 6 7 10 24:38 -14 25
L D W W D
12 23 5 8 10 24:41 -17 23
L D D L L
13 22 5 6 11 22:36 -14 21
W D D D L
14 22 3 9 10 16:27 -11 18
L D L L W
15 23 2 10 11 20:36 -16 16
L D L D D
16 23 3 5 15 20:54 -34 14
W D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga