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MEXICO › LIGA MX
26.07.2026 23:00
Estadio Victoria
Referee: Ivan Antonio Lopez Sanchez, Mexico
Necaxa
Match Timeline
Monterrey
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Ricardo Monreal
Necaxa
VAR
19'
Stefan Medina
Monterrey
🟥
20'
Stefan Medina
Monterrey
🟨
27'
Lorenzo Faravelli
Necaxa
🟨
32'
Ricardo Chávez
Monterrey
🟨
36'
Carlos Salcedo
Monterrey
🔄
46'
R. Monreal ↔ E. Rodriguez
Necaxa
🔄
46'
J. Corona ↔ O. Pineda
Monterrey
⚽
56'
J. Carranza · Assist: F. Mendez
Necaxa
🔄
60'
D. Rossi ↔ H. Cuypers
Monterrey
🔄
60'
G. Arteaga ↔ A. Aceves
Monterrey
VAR
63'
Luca Orellano
Monterrey
⚽
67'
L. Ocampos
Monterrey
🔄
75'
J. P. Torres Patino ↔ M. Pedroza
Necaxa
🔄
77'
L. Orellano ↔ L. Reyes
Monterrey
🔄
87'
L. Faravelli ↔ R. Cortez
Necaxa
🔄
87'
C. Vargas ↔ M. Zaleta
Necaxa
🔄
90'
J. Ruiz ↔ J. Valencia
Necaxa
🔄
90+3'
J. Rodriguez ↔ U. Djurdjevic
Monterrey
⚽
90'
J. Valencia · Assist: M. Zaleta
Necaxa

Necaxa vs Monterrey Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Necaxa Win 59.1%
Draw 8.6%
Monterrey Win 32.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Necaxa1.54
Monterrey1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Necaxa Necaxa
WWDLW
11 GF / 5 GA
Monterrey Monterrey
WLDWL
19 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
2.11
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
3
BTTS Yes
7
3
Over 2.5
5
5
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Necaxa Necaxa 6 matches
Monterrey Monterrey 9 matches
Necaxa Statistic Monterrey
4 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
0 Losses 1
11 Goals For 19
5 Goals Against 10
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 2.11
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
3 BTTS Yes 7
3 Over 1.5 9
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
5 Shots On Goal 7
11 Total Shots 15.8
11 Corners 4
64% Ball Possession 56.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Necaxa won 2 times, Monterrey won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:29 from Necaxa's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
Predicted formations: Necaxa 3-4-2-1 / Monterrey 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Necaxa wins 2, draws 3, Monterrey wins 10

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 21:10 11 20
W D L W W
2 11 6 2 3 25:15 10 20
L D L W W
3 10 5 3 2 17:10 7 18
L D W W D
4 11 5 3 3 15:12 3 18
D W D W L
5 9 5 2 2 13:8 5 17
W D W W L
6 10 5 2 3 16:17 -1 17
W D L D L
7 10 5 1 4 19:18 1 16
D L W W W
8 11 4 3 4 12:13 -1 15
D L D L W
9 9 4 2 3 14:13 1 14
L D L W L
10 9 4 1 4 16:14 2 13
L W D L L
11 11 3 4 4 13:15 -2 13
W W L D D
12 10 3 3 4 15:11 4 12
L D W W D
13 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
L D L W L
14 10 3 3 4 14:18 -4 12
W W L L W
15 10 2 5 3 12:15 -3 11
W D L D D
16 10 3 1 6 10:15 -5 10
W W W L D
17 10 2 2 6 12:20 -8 8
L L L D L
18 10 1 0 9 7:25 -18 3
L W L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)