NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
--.--.---- --:--
Goffertstadion
Referee: J. Manschot
NEC Nijmegen
Match Timeline
Telstar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Philippe Sandler
NEC Nijmegen
🟨
30'
Noe Lebreton
NEC Nijmegen
32'
S. van Duijn · Assist: C. Hatenboer
Telstar
🟨
37'
Guus Offerhaus
Telstar
🔄
52'
T. Owusu ↔ S. Hetli
Telstar
🔄
67'
B. Nuytinck ↔ K. Ogawa
NEC Nijmegen
🔄
67'
N. Lebreton ↔ Y. El Kachati
NEC Nijmegen
🔄
67'
E. Dasa ↔ Danilo Pereira
NEC Nijmegen
🔄
67'
B. Linssen ↔ B. Pereira
NEC Nijmegen
🔄
74'
S. van Duijn ↔ K. Tejan
Telstar
🔄
74'
T. Noslin ↔ J. Seedorf
Telstar
🟨
82'
Ronald Koeman Jr
Telstar
85'
T. Chery · Assist: Danilo Pereira
NEC Nijmegen
VAR
89'
Youssef el Kachati
NEC Nijmegen
🟨
90+1'
Deveron Fonville
NEC Nijmegen

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
NEC Nijmegen Win 66.4%
Draw 13.3%
Telstar Win 20.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
NEC Nijmegen2.09
Telstar1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
WWDLW
73 GF / 49 GA
Telstar Telstar
WLDWL
43 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
2.35
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
25
BTTS Yes
20
23
Over 2.5
18
6.71
Shots on Goal
4.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 31 matches
Telstar Telstar 31 matches
NEC Nijmegen Statistic Telstar
15 Wins 7
10 Draws 9
6 Losses 15
73 Goals For 43
49 Goals Against 53
2.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
25 BTTS Yes 20
30 Over 1.5 27
23 Over 2.5 18
19 Over 3.5 13
5 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 8
6.71 Shots On Goal 4.94
16.45 Total Shots 13.06
5.81 Corners 5
56.4% Ball Possession 45.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by NEC Nijmegen's more proactive style and Telstar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Telstar arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. NEC Nijmegen arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 55 points compared to Telstar in 16 on 30, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Telstar.

NEC Nijmegen Analysis

NEC Nijmegen come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 55 points from 31 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 10 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 73:49 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Linssen (11 goals), T. Chery (9 goals), K. Ogawa (8 goals), with creative support from B. Linssen (7 assists), Kodai Sano (7 assists), T. Chery (6 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Telstar Analysis

Telstar approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 30 points from 31 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 43:53, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Ritmeester van de Kamp (7 goals), P. Brouwer (7 goals), J. Hardeveld (5 goals), with creative support from J. Hardeveld (6 assists), P. Brouwer (5 assists), Guus Offerhaus (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, NEC Nijmegen won 4 times, Telstar won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:16 from NEC Nijmegen's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
Predicted formations: NEC Nijmegen 3-4-2-1 / Telstar 3-4-2-1
Missing players: NEC Nijmegen 3, Telstar 6
H2H summary: NEC Nijmegen wins 4, draws 4, Telstar wins 2
Stats
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
Telstar Telstar
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
0
9 Corner Kicks 0
10 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 2
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 0
17 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
535 Total passes 243
458 Passes accurate 157
2.11 expected_goals 1.22
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

NEC Nijmegen
Formation
Telstar
G. Crettaz
G. Crettaz
E. Dasa
E. Dasa
B. Nuytinck
B. Nuytinck
D. Fonville
D. Fonville
S. Ouaissa
S. Ouaissa
D. Nejasmic
D. Nejasmic
P. Sandler
P. Sandler
N. Lebreton
N. Lebreton
K. Sano
K. Sano
T. Chery
T. Chery
B. Linssen
B. Linssen
R. Koeman
R. Koeman
N. Ogidi Nwankwo
N. Ogidi Nwankwo
D. Koswal
D. Koswal
D. Bakker
D. Bakker
T. Noslin
T. Noslin
G. Offerhaus
G. Offerhaus
C. Hatenboer
🎯
C. Hatenboer
J. Hardeveld
J. Hardeveld
T. Owusu
T. Owusu
P. Brouwer
P. Brouwer
S. van Duijn
S. van Duijn
NEC Nijmegen 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
G. Crettaz
G
14
E. Dasa
↓ 67'
D
17
B. Nuytinck
↓ 67'
D
24
D. Fonville
🟨 90+1'
D
25
S. Ouaissa
M
6
D. Nejasmic
M
3
P. Sandler
🟨 21'
M
20
N. Lebreton
↓ 67' 🟨 30'
M
23
K. Sano
F
10
T. Chery
⚽ 85'
F
30
B. Linssen
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
22
J. Cillessen
G
31
R. Janse
G
8
I. Hansen-Aaroen
M
15
J. Willems
D
7
V. Misidjan
F
18
K. Ogawa
↑ 67'
F
5
T. Ouwejan
D
19
W. T. Willumsson
M
34
Y. El Kachati
↑ 67'
F
9
Danilo Pereira
🎯 85' ↑ 67'
F
71
D. Proper
M
2
B. Pereira
↑ 67'
D
Telstar 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
R. Koeman
🟨 82'
G
14
N. Ogidi Nwankwo
D
21
D. Koswal
D
6
D. Bakker
D
11
T. Noslin
↓ 74'
M
4
G. Offerhaus
🟨 37'
M
23
C. Hatenboer
🎯 32'
2
J. Hardeveld
M
8
T. Owusu
↓ 52'
F
27
P. Brouwer
F
37
S. van Duijn
⚽ 32' ↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
20
D. Reiziger
G
13
F. Mulder
5
N. Ogidi Nwankwo
D
7
S. Hetli
↑ 52'
F
30
K. Tejan
↑ 74'
F
9
J. Seedorf
↑ 74'
F
28
R. Oudsten
F
15
A. Bouchouari
D
Last matches: NEC Nijmegen
17.05.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
GO Ahead Eagles
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
2
2
D
14.03.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
3
2
W
08.03.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
FC Volendam
3
0
W
28.02.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
2
3
L
21.02.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
1
1
D
17.02.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
1
3
L
07.02.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Heracles
4
1
W
31.01.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
3
1
W
24.01.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
PEC Zwolle
2
1
W
17.01.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
NAC Breda
4
3
W
20.12.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
2
2
D
13.12.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
2
2
D
07.12.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
FC Volendam
3
2
W
29.11.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam
3
1
W
Last matches: Telstar
17.05.26
Ere
Telstar
FC Volendam
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ere
Telstar
Heracles
3
0
W
22.04.26
Ere
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
4
1
W
11.04.26
Ere
Telstar
Utrecht
1
4
L
04.04.26
Ere
Telstar
Groningen
0
2
L
22.03.26
Ere
Telstar
PSV Eindhoven
3
1
W
14.03.26
Ere
Telstar
Heerenveen
0
3
L
08.03.26
Ere
Telstar
Fortuna Sittard
4
1
W
27.02.26
Ere
Telstar
NAC Breda
3
0
W
22.02.26
Ere
Telstar
Feyenoord
1
2
L
15.02.26
Ere
Telstar
Twente
1
1
D
08.02.26
Ere
Telstar
GO Ahead Eagles
1
1
D
31.01.26
Ere
Telstar
PEC Zwolle
1
4
L
25.01.26
Ere
Telstar
AZ Alkmaar
0
1
L
17.01.26
Ere
Telstar
Excelsior
2
2
D
11.01.26
Ere
Telstar
Ajax
2
3
L
20.12.25
Ere
Telstar
NAC Breda
1
0
W
13.12.25
Ere
Telstar
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
06.12.25
Ere
Telstar
Heracles
1
1
D
30.11.25
Ere
Telstar
Feyenoord
1
2
L
H2H: NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar
02.05.26
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
1
1
D
13.12.25
H2H
Telstar
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
05.04.21
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
1
1
D
03.01.21
H2H
Telstar
NEC Nijmegen
5
2
L
07.02.20
H2H
Telstar
NEC Nijmegen
1
7
W
30.08.19
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
4
2
W
18.01.19
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
1
1
D
19.10.18
H2H
Telstar
NEC Nijmegen
0
3
W
02.04.18
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
3
0
W
27.11.17
H2H
Telstar
NEC Nijmegen
3
2
L
Last matches: NEC Nijmegen
17.05.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
GO Ahead Eagles
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
2
2
D
08.03.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
FC Volendam
3
0
W
28.02.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
2
3
L
11.02.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
1
3
L
07.02.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Heracles
4
1
W
24.01.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
PEC Zwolle
2
1
W
20.12.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
2
2
D
29.11.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam
3
1
W
09.11.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
2
0
W
18.10.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
3
3
D
28.09.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
W
13.09.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
3
5
L
24.08.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
NAC Breda
3
0
W
09.08.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
5
0
W
H2H at home: NEC Nijmegen
02.05.26
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
1
1
D
05.04.21
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
1
1
D
30.08.19
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
4
2
W
18.01.19
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
1
1
D
02.04.18
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
3
0
W
Last matches: Telstar
17.05.26
Ere
Telstar
FC Volendam
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ere
Telstar
Utrecht
1
4
L
14.03.26
Ere
Telstar
Heerenveen
0
3
L
08.03.26
Ere
Telstar
Fortuna Sittard
4
1
W
22.02.26
Ere
Telstar
Feyenoord
1
2
L
08.02.26
Ere
Telstar
GO Ahead Eagles
1
1
D
31.01.26
Ere
Telstar
PEC Zwolle
1
4
L
17.01.26
Ere
Telstar
Excelsior
2
2
D
20.12.25
Ere
Telstar
NAC Breda
1
0
W
06.12.25
Ere
Telstar
Heracles
1
1
D
07.11.25
Ere
Telstar
Twente
0
0
D
25.10.25
Ere
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
0
1
L
05.10.25
Ere
Telstar
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
20.09.25
Ere
Telstar
Groningen
0
2
L
30.08.25
Ere
Telstar
PSV Eindhoven
2
0
W
10.08.25
Ere
Telstar
Ajax
0
2
L
H2H away: Telstar
02.05.26
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
1
1
D
05.04.21
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
1
1
D
30.08.19
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
4
2
L
18.01.19
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
1
1
D
02.04.18
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
3
0
L

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie

Missing Players

NEC Nijmegen 3 missing
-
F. Entius
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Kaplan
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
B. Onal
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Telstar 6 missing
-
A. Lechkar
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. Ritmeester van de Kamp
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
N. Rossen
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
N. Thorisson
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
D. Malone
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
G. Alders
Questionable Inactive
OUT