Nautico Recife vs São Bernardo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw |
40.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
64.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.7%
|
- |
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nautico Recife
4 matches
São Bernardo
4 matches
| Nautico Recife | Statistic | São Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 3 | Goals For | 4 |
| 3 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 1 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3.25 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 12.25 | Total Shots | 11.5 |
| 5.75 | Corners | 5 |
| 60.8% | Ball Possession | 48.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nautico Recife expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and São Bernardo in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward São Bernardo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring São Bernardo.
So far, Nautico Recife have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 6 points from 4 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 3:3 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Vinícius (2 goals), Igor Fernandes (1 goals), with creative support from Dodo (1 assists), Yuri (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
São Bernardo sit 14 with 4 points after 4 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 4:5, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Daniel Amorim (1 goals), Para (1 goals), Rodrigo Ferreira (1 goals), with creative support from Echapora (1 assists), Fabricio Daniel (1 assists), Lucas Rian (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Nautico Recife won 1 times, São Bernardo won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Nautico Recife's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 46:31 | 15 | 61 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59:28 | 31 | 60 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 39:21 | 18 | 60 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 34:28 | 6 | 56 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 53 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 51:47 | 4 | 52 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 45:35 | 10 | 51 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 34:40 | -6 | 48 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 48 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 47 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
São Bernardo
Away
|
33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 46:36 | 10 | 46 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
| 13 |
Nautico Recife
Home
|
33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 42 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
| 14 | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 42 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 37:38 | -1 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21:54 | -33 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 33 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18:73 | -55 | 13 |
L
L
L
L
W
|