Login Register
BRAZIL › SERIE B
18.04.2026 21:00
Aflitos
Referee: Alisson Sidnei Furtado, Brazil
Nautico Recife
Match Timeline
São Bernardo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
Rodrigo Ferreira
São Bernardo
⚽
3'
Vinícius
Nautico Recife
🟨
29'
Alex Alves
São Bernardo
🟨
36'
Dudu Miraíma
São Bernardo
🟨
45+6'
Luiz Felipe
Nautico Recife
🟨
45+6'
Foguinho
São Bernardo
🔄
46'
Juninho ↔ Felipe Saraiva
Nautico Recife
🔄
46'
Alex Alves ↔ Junior Oliveira
São Bernardo
🔄
46'
Pedrinho ↔ Echapora
São Bernardo
🔄
62'
Luiz Felipe ↔ Samuel Felix
Nautico Recife
⚽
64'
Pedro Vitor
São Bernardo
VAR
66'
Pedro Vitor
São Bernardo
🔄
69'
Daniel Amorim ↔ Pablo Dyego
São Bernardo
🔄
69'
Dudu Miraima ↔ Jemerson
São Bernardo
🔄
73'
Vinicius ↔ Victor Andrade
Nautico Recife
🔄
73'
Derek ↔ Paulo Sergio
Nautico Recife
🔄
73'
Wenderson ↔ Vitinho
Nautico Recife
🟨
77'
Júnior Oliveira
São Bernardo
🟨
77'
Helder Maciel
São Bernardo
⚽
81'
Foguinho · Assist: Helder Maciel
São Bernardo
VAR
83'
Foguinho
São Bernardo
🔄
87'
Pedro Vitor ↔ Hugo Sanches
São Bernardo
⚽
88'
Pablo Dyego · Assist: Echapora
São Bernardo
🟨
90+8'
Samuel
Nautico Recife

Nautico Recife vs São Bernardo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 40.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
40.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.7%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Nautico Recife Win 27.6%
Draw 40.2%
São Bernardo Win 32.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nautico Recife0.95
São Bernardo0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
WWDLW
3 GF / 3 GA
São Bernardo São Bernardo
WLDWL
4 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
1
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
2
3.25
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 4 matches
São Bernardo São Bernardo 4 matches
Nautico Recife Statistic São Bernardo
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
3 Goals For 4
3 Goals Against 5
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
1 BTTS Yes 3
1 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
3.25 Shots On Goal 4
12.25 Total Shots 11.5
5.75 Corners 5
60.8% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nautico Recife expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and São Bernardo in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward São Bernardo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring São Bernardo.

Nautico Recife Analysis

So far, Nautico Recife have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 6 points from 4 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 3:3 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Vinícius (2 goals), Igor Fernandes (1 goals), with creative support from Dodo (1 assists), Yuri (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

São Bernardo Analysis

São Bernardo sit 14 with 4 points after 4 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 4:5, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Daniel Amorim (1 goals), Para (1 goals), Rodrigo Ferreira (1 goals), with creative support from Echapora (1 assists), Fabricio Daniel (1 assists), Lucas Rian (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Nautico Recife won 1 times, São Bernardo won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Nautico Recife's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (72.4%)
Predicted formations: Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1 / São Bernardo 4-3-3
H2H summary: Nautico Recife wins 1, draws 4, São Bernardo wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 7 8 46:31 15 61
W D W W W
2 33 17 9 7 59:28 31 60
W W W D L
3 33 17 9 7 39:21 18 60
D W W W L
4 33 15 12 6 39:29 10 57
D W D D W
5 33 16 8 9 34:28 6 56
W L W W L
6 33 14 11 8 41:31 10 53
D L W W L
7 33 15 7 11 51:47 4 52
D W L W L
8 33 13 12 8 45:35 10 51
D W W L W
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 33 13 9 11 44:45 -1 48
L L L D W
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 33 12 10 11 46:36 10 46
D L W D W
13 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
14 33 11 9 13 35:40 -5 42
L W W D W
15 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
16 33 11 8 14 37:38 -1 41
W W L W D
17 33 10 6 17 33:43 -10 36
W W L L L
18 32 7 7 18 40:47 -7 28
L L L L W
19 33 4 5 24 21:54 -33 17
L L L L L
20 33 3 4 26 18:73 -55 13
L L L L W
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation