Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
40.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
72.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Nashville SC
New York City FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nashville SC
25 matches
New York City FC
19 matches
| Nashville SC | Statistic | New York City FC |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 4 | Losses | 7 |
| 45 | Goals For | 30 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 0.72 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.52 | Shots On Goal | 5.07 |
| 11.43 | Total Shots | 11.79 |
| 4.62 | Corners | 3.64 |
| 52.3% | Ball Possession | 57.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nashville SC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and New York City FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward New York City FC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors New York City FC. Nashville SC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 30 points compared to New York City FC in 5 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Nashville SC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 30 points after 13 outings. The return of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 29:10, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through S. Surridge (9 goals), H. Mukhtar (6 goals), W. Madrigal (5 goals), with creative support from C. Espinoza (5 assists), H. Mukhtar (3 assists), P. Yazbek (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Placed 5 with 19 points from 14 outings, New York City FC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 24:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Mercau (9 goals), H. Wolf (5 goals), A. Ojeda (3 goals), with creative support from M. Moralez (6 assists), N. Mercau (3 assists), A. Ojeda (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Nashville SC won 4 times, New York City FC won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:11 from Nashville SC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Nashville SC
6
4
3
2
3
1
Lineups
Nashville SC
Los Angeles FC
Nashville SC
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
DC United
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
Charlotte
Nashville SC
Atlanta United FC
Nashville SC
Club America
Nashville SC
Charlotte
Nashville SC
Club America
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
Minnesota United FC
Nashville SC
FC Dallas
Nashville SC
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
New England Revolution
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
DC United
New York City FC
CF Montreal
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New York City FC
Inter Miami
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
Sporting Kansas City
New York City FC
Los Angeles FC
New York City FC
Austin
New York City FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Nashville SC
Los Angeles FC
Nashville SC
DC United
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
Charlotte
Nashville SC
Club America
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
Minnesota United FC
Nashville SC
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
Lexington
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
Colorado Rapids
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
CF Montreal
New York City FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
Sporting Kansas City
New York City FC
Los Angeles FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
Home
|
14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 20 | 33 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | -7 | 22 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
New York City FC
Away
|
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 19 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 16 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:31 | -9 | 14 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | -21 | 14 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 7 |
L
D
L
L
D
|