Napoli vs Frosinone Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
56%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Napoli
Frosinone
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Napoli
11 matches
Frosinone
13 matches
| Napoli | Statistic | Frosinone |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 7 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 4 | Losses | 2 |
| 19 | Goals For | 22 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.69 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 12.33 | Total Shots | 17.29 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 5.43 |
| 48.5% | Ball Possession | 44.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Frosinone carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 10 points while Napoli sit 9 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Frosinone. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Napoli are currently 9 in the standings with 7 points from 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 7:6 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Rasmus Højlund (2 goals), Matteo Politano (1 goals), Stanislav Lobotka (1 goals), with creative support from Matteo Politano (1 assists), Amir Rrahmani (1 assists), Giovanni Di Lorenzo (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
From their first 5 matches, Frosinone have collected 10 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 9:4 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Antonio Raimondo (4 goals), Giorgi Kvernadze (3 goals), Giacomo Calò (1 goals), with creative support from Romano Schmid (3 assists), Giorgi Kvernadze (1 assists), Giacomo Calò (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Napoli won 5 times, Frosinone won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:8 from Napoli's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 12 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Frosinone
Away
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 |
Napoli
Home
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|