KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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FT
1 - 2

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 59.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
59.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
70.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Naivas Win 47.2%
Draw 13.8%
3K Win 39%
Expected Goals (xG)
Naivas0.87
3K1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Naivas Naivas
WWDLW
28 GF / 24 GA
3K 3K
WLDWL
41 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.52
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
10
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Naivas Naivas 28 matches
3K 3K 27 matches
Naivas Statistic 3K
11 Wins 15
8 Draws 5
9 Losses 7
28 Goals For 41
24 Goals Against 18
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
10 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 19
8 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 13
12 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward 3K. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward 3K having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. 3K look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Naivas Analysis

From their first 28 matches, Naivas have collected 41 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 28:24 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

3K Analysis

3K approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 50 points after 27 outings. They have recorded 15 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a 41:18 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Naivas won 2 times, 3K won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Naivas's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.2%)
H2H summary: Naivas wins 2, draws 1, 3K wins 1
Last matches: Naivas
13.06.26
Sup
Naivas
Mombasa Elite
1
1
D
07.06.26
Sup
Naivas
Kabati Youth FC
1
2
L
01.06.26
Sup
Naivas
Vihiga United FC
2
0
W
28.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Mwatate United
2
0
W
24.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
16.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
3
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
01.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
4
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
Naivas
Talanta
4
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
Naivas
Migori Youth
0
1
L
03.04.26
Sup
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
28.03.26
Sup
Naivas
Fortune Sacco
3
3
D
21.03.26
Sup
Naivas
MCF
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Naivas
Nairobi City Stars
3
1
W
07.03.26
Sup
Naivas
MOFA
0
1
L
28.02.26
Sup
Naivas
Luanda Villa
3
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
Naivas
Soy United
1
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Naivas
Equity Bank
1
1
D
31.01.26
Sup
Naivas
Nairobi City Stars
0
0
D
24.01.26
Sup
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
Last matches: 3K
13.06.26
Sup
3K
Migori Youth
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
3K
Talanta
3
2
W
27.05.26
Sup
3K
Mombasa Elite
0
0
D
23.05.26
Sup
3K
Equity Bank
0
0
D
16.05.26
Sup
3K
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
3K
Fortune Sacco
2
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
3K
MCF
2
0
W
01.05.26
Sup
3K
Vihiga United FC
3
2
W
26.04.26
Sup
3K
Kabati Youth FC
3
0
W
03.04.26
Sup
3K
Nairobi City Stars
3
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
3K
Nzoia Sugar
3
1
W
25.03.26
Sup
3K
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
21.03.26
Sup
3K
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
15.03.26
Sup
3K
MOFA
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
3K
Soy United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Sup
3K
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
15.02.26
Sup
3K
Luanda Villa
5
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
3K
MOFA
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
3K
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
18.01.26
Sup
3K
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
H2H: Naivas vs 3K
18.04.26
H2H
Naivas
3K
1
2
L
11.01.26
H2H
3K
Naivas
1
2
W
14.06.25
H2H
Naivas
3K
1
0
W
27.10.24
H2H
3K
Naivas
1
1
D
Last matches: Naivas
13.06.26
Sup
Naivas
Mombasa Elite
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
Naivas
Vihiga United FC
2
0
W
16.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
3
0
W
01.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
4
0
W
03.04.26
Sup
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
28.03.26
Sup
Naivas
Fortune Sacco
3
3
D
14.03.26
Sup
Naivas
Nairobi City Stars
3
1
W
28.02.26
Sup
Naivas
Luanda Villa
3
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Naivas
Equity Bank
1
1
D
17.01.26
Sup
Naivas
Migori Youth
2
4
L
20.12.25
Sup
Naivas
Talanta
1
0
W
17.12.25
Sup
Naivas
Gucha Stars
0
1
L
07.12.25
Sup
Naivas
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
22.11.25
Sup
Naivas
MOFA
0
0
D
08.11.25
Sup
Naivas
Soy United
2
1
W
03.11.25
Sup
Naivas
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
25.10.25
Sup
Naivas
Mwatate United
3
1
W
04.10.25
Sup
Naivas
MCF
1
0
W
H2H at home: Naivas
18.04.26
H2H
Naivas
3K
1
2
L
14.06.25
H2H
Naivas
3K
1
0
W
Last matches: 3K
27.05.26
Sup
3K
Mombasa Elite
0
0
D
16.05.26
Sup
3K
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
01.05.26
Sup
3K
Vihiga United FC
3
2
W
03.04.26
Sup
3K
Nairobi City Stars
3
0
W
25.03.26
Sup
3K
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
21.03.26
Sup
3K
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
21.02.26
Sup
3K
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
3K
MOFA
0
1
L
18.01.26
Sup
3K
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
21.12.25
Sup
3K
Kabati Youth FC
2
0
W
17.12.25
Sup
3K
MCF
0
1
L
07.12.25
Sup
3K
Equity Bank
1
2
L
30.11.25
Sup
3K
Soy United
0
1
L
17.11.25
Sup
3K
Luanda Villa
2
0
W
29.10.25
Sup
3K
Migori Youth
1
1
D
11.10.25
Sup
3K
Talanta
0
0
D
28.09.25
Sup
3K
Nzoia Sugar
1
2
L
H2H away: 3K
18.04.26
H2H
Naivas
3K
1
2
W
14.06.25
H2H
Naivas
3K
1
0
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2
3K Away
38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation