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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
22.08.2026 10:00
Toyota Stadium
Referee: Koki Nagamine, Japan
Nagoya Grampus
Match Timeline
Gamba Osaka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
Y. Kimura · Assist: R. Izumi
Nagoya Grampus
⚽
11'
R. Meshino · Assist: R. Yamashita
Gamba Osaka
🟨
40'
Takeru Kishimoto
Gamba Osaka
🟨
43'
Deniz Hümmet
Gamba Osaka
🔄
60'
T. Uchida ↔ Y. Nogami
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
63'
A. Uenaka ↔ E. Adams
Gamba Osaka
🔄
63'
R. Meshino ↔ G. Nawata
Gamba Osaka
🔄
67'
R. Izumi ↔ Mateus
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
78'
K. Nakayama ↔ Y. Sato
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
78'
T. Morishima ↔ M. Ono
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
78'
Y. Yamagishi ↔ Y. Asano
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
79'
D. Hummet ↔ N. Nakatsumi
Gamba Osaka
⚽
83'
Y. Asano
Nagoya Grampus
🟥
86'
Shuto Abe
Gamba Osaka
🔄
86'
R. Mito ↔ T. Usami
Gamba Osaka
⚽
90'
M. Ono · Assist: Y. Asano
Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Nagoya Grampus Win 37.2%
Draw 4.1%
Gamba Osaka Win 58.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nagoya Grampus1.1
Gamba Osaka2.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
WWDLW
1 GF / 3 GA
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
WLDWL
5 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
2
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
3.5
Shots on Goal
6.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2 matches
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2 matches
Nagoya Grampus Statistic Gamba Osaka
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 0
1 Goals For 5
3 Goals Against 4
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2
1 BTTS Yes 2
1 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
3.5 Shots On Goal 6.5
15.5 Total Shots 15.5
8.5 Corners 7
63% Ball Possession 64.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 6 times, Gamba Osaka won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:20 from Nagoya Grampus's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Nagoya Grampus 5-3-2 / Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nagoya Grampus wins 6, draws 2, Gamba Osaka wins 7

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 0 2 21:14 7 21
W W W L L
2 9 6 2 1 22:10 12 20
W L D W W
3 9 6 2 1 17:8 9 20
W W W W D
4 9 6 1 2 14:9 5 19
L W W W W
5 8 5 2 1 20:6 14 17
W W L W D
6 9 5 1 3 19:16 3 16
W D L L L
7 9 4 3 2 13:9 4 15
D W D W D
8 8 3 4 1 16:12 4 13
D W W L W
9 9 4 1 4 12:12 0 13
L L W W W
10 9 4 0 5 16:21 -5 12
L W L W W
11 9 3 3 3 7:12 -5 12
D D L D W
12 8 3 1 4 6:8 -2 10
W W L D L
13 8 2 3 3 11:11 0 9
L L D W D
14 9 2 2 5 11:16 -5 8
L W L L D
15 8 2 2 4 10:15 -5 8
D W L D L
16 9 2 1 6 11:13 -2 7
W L L D L
17 8 2 0 6 7:14 -7 6
L L L L W
18 9 1 3 5 8:16 -8 6
L L L L D
19 8 0 4 4 4:12 -8 4
L D D L L
20 8 1 1 6 7:18 -11 4
L D W L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League