Nacional vs Benfica Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Benfica Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional1
Benfica2.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional
WWDLW
14 GF / 26 GA
Benfica
WLDWL
53 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
2.94
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
7
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
14
3.13
Shots on Goal
7.33
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional
13 matches
Benfica
18 matches
| Nacional | Statistic | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 13 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 8 | Losses | 3 |
| 14 | Goals For | 53 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.94 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 3.13 | Shots On Goal | 7.33 |
| 10.88 | Total Shots | 19.87 |
| 4.38 | Corners | 7.33 |
| 49.9% | Ball Possession | 62.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 0 times, Benfica won 14 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:50 from Nacional's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Nacional 4-2-3-1 / Benfica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nacional wins 0, draws 1, Benfica wins 14
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20:4 | 16 | 24 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Benfica
Away
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24:7 | 17 | 19 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 11 | 18 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 18 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 7 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 |
Nacional
Home
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2