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BRAZIL › SERIE D
16.05.2026 20:00
Nacional AM
Match Timeline
Manauara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
27'
M. Muller
Nacional AM
🟨
27'
M. Muller
Nacional AM
⚽
50'
Thiago Lopes
Manauara

Nacional AM vs Manauara Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Nacional AM Win 44.6%
Draw 19.9%
Manauara Win 35.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional AM1.27
Manauara1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional AM Nacional AM
WWDLW
10 GF / 6 GA
Manauara Manauara
WLDWL
9 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
2
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nacional AM Nacional AM 6 matches
Manauara Manauara 6 matches
Nacional AM Statistic Manauara
4 Wins 3
1 Draws 3
1 Losses 0
10 Goals For 9
6 Goals Against 4
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
2 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Manauara. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Manauara having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Nacional AM Analysis

Nacional AM approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 13 points after 6 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 10:6 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Anderson Alagoano (2 goals), Ryan Luka (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Manauara Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 12 points from 6 games, Manauara bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a 9:4 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Clessione (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Nacional AM won 3 times, Manauara won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from Nacional AM's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.2%)
H2H summary: Nacional AM wins 3, draws 4, Manauara wins 3

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)