MVV vs Helmond Sport Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72.5%
|
2.21 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.9%
|
1.53 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.68 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
74.2%
|
1.25 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.25 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
MVV
Helmond Sport
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
MVV
16 matches
Helmond Sport
13 matches
| MVV | Statistic | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 3 |
| 5 | Draws | 3 |
| 6 | Losses | 7 |
| 21 | Goals For | 16 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.77 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.43 | Shots On Goal | 3.43 |
| 9.29 | Total Shots | 10.86 |
| 3.57 | Corners | 4 |
| 53.1% | Ball Possession | 42.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Helmond Sport's more proactive style and MVV's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Helmond Sport. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with MVV expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Helmond Sport in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Helmond Sport having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. MVV arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 13 points compared to Helmond Sport in 13 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
MVV come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 13 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by O. Dumont (3 goals), N. El Hamdaoui (1 goals), with creative support from O. Dumont (1 assists), M. Hofland (1 assists), R. Klaasen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 7 matches, Helmond Sport have collected 8 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 13:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Mauro Lenaerts (3 goals), L. Cicero (2 goals), T. Essakkati (1 goals), with creative support from T. Essakkati (2 assists), H. Ingason (2 assists), L. Cicero (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, MVV won 8 times, Helmond Sport won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:17 from MVV's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:12 | 16 | 22 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:7 | 12 | 19 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 18 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 16 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 |
MVV
Home
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:19 | -6 | 16 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 15 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 14 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 14 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:19 | 0 | 14 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 5 | 13 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 12 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 11 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 |
Helmond Sport
Away
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 9 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
| 15 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 9 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 8 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | -9 | 8 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:24 | -11 | 8 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:22 | -11 | 8 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 7 |
L
W
W
D
L
|