ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Bellavista
Referee: A. Torres Cajax
Mushuc Runa SC
Match Timeline
Tecnico Universitario
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Edwin Mesa
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
22'
Rodrigo Formento
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
22'
Luis Estupiñan
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
27'
Ronie Carrillo
Mushuc Runa SC
VAR
31'
Ronie Carrillo
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
41'
Cristopher Angulo
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
45+4'
Nicolás Davila
Mushuc Runa SC
🟥
45+5'
Julian Anaya
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
46'
Johan Bocanegra
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
48'
Kevin Peralta
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
59'
L. Fernandez ↔ W. Caicedo
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
62'
E. Davila ↔ F. Mina
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
62'
C. Angulo ↔ M. Gamboa
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
62'
K. Peralta ↔ J. Gonzalez
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
66'
R. Ibarra ↔ T. Minda
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
68'
Johan Bocanegra ↔ A. Castillo
Tecnico Universitario
VAR
74'
Ronie Carrillo
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
76'
K. Velasco ↔ F. Castelli
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
83'
J. Majao ↔ K. Arce
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
83'
L. Estupinan ↔ R. Chilla
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
90+6'
Freddy Mina
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
90+1'
Carlos Orejuela
Mushuc Runa SC
90'
F. Mina · Assist: J. Gonzalez
Mushuc Runa SC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 63.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
63.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Mushuc Runa SC Win 42.3%
Draw 23.8%
Tecnico Universitario Win 34%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mushuc Runa SC1.08
Tecnico Universitario0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
WWDLW
9 GF / 9 GA
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
WLDWL
8 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
2
3.38
Shots on Goal
3.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 8 matches
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 9 matches
Mushuc Runa SC Statistic Tecnico Universitario
2 Wins 3
4 Draws 2
2 Losses 4
9 Goals For 8
9 Goals Against 9
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
3.38 Shots On Goal 3.63
12.25 Total Shots 12.13
4.5 Corners 4.5
43.6% Ball Possession 42.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mushuc Runa SC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Tecnico Universitario in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tecnico Universitario having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Tecnico Universitario.

Mushuc Runa SC Analysis

Mushuc Runa SC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 13 points after 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 9:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronie Carrillo (2 goals), C. Orejuela (1 goals), Cristopher Angulo (1 goals), with creative support from Ronie Carrillo (1 assists), Freddy Mina (1 assists), K. Velasco (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tecnico Universitario Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Tecnico Universitario have collected 11 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 8:8 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Cesar Castano (2 goals), Julian Anaya (2 goals), M. Cagua (2 goals), with creative support from Cesar Castano (1 assists), Johan Bocanegra (1 assists), Kener Arce (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mushuc Runa SC won 5 times, Tecnico Universitario won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:13 from Mushuc Runa SC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.2%)
Predicted formations: Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2 / Tecnico Universitario 5-4-1
H2H summary: Mushuc Runa SC wins 5, draws 5, Tecnico Universitario wins 5
Stats
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
4
7 Corner Kicks 4
14 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 3
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 3
2 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 4
4 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
415 Total passes 260
366 Passes accurate 215
0.23 expected_goals 0.85
🟨 7 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Mushuc Runa SC
Formation
Tecnico Universitario
R. Formento
R. Formento
K. Peralta
K. Peralta
F. Carabali
F. Carabali
F. Flor
F. Flor
J. Hernandez
J. Hernandez
E. Davila
E. Davila
C. Angulo
C. Angulo
C. Orejuela
C. Orejuela
R. Ibarra
R. Ibarra
K. Velasco
K. Velasco
R. Carrillo
R. Carrillo
S. Razzeto
S. Razzeto
E. E. Mesa Mercado
E. E. Mesa Mercado
Y. Arce
Y. Arce
J. Anaya
J. Anaya
A. Copete
A. Copete
M. Perea
M. Perea
Johan Bocanegra
Johan Bocanegra
M. Castano
M. Castano
J. Majao
J. Majao
L. Estupinan
L. Estupinan
L. Fernandez
L. Fernandez
Mushuc Runa SC 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
25
R. Formento
🟨 22'
G
26
K. Peralta
↓ 62' 🟨 48'
D
12
F. Carabali
D
2
F. Flor
D
33
J. Hernandez
D
5
E. Davila
↓ 62' 🟨 45+4'
M
99
C. Angulo
↓ 62' 🟨 41'
M
32
C. Orejuela
🟨 90+1'
M
30
R. Ibarra
↓ 66'
M
77
K. Velasco
↓ 76'
9
R. Carrillo
🟨 27'
F
Substitutes
42
W. Pabon
G
81
F. Castelli
↑ 76'
F
10
F. Mina
⚽ 90' ↑ 62' 🟨 90+6'
F
8
A. Zambrano
M
7
T. Minda
↑ 66'
F
14
E. Caicedo
F
11
N. Dibble
F
6
B. Negro
D
44
M. Gamboa
↑ 62'
D
19
J. Carcelen
18
J. Gonzalez
🎯 90' ↑ 62'
M
Tecnico Universitario 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
S. Razzeto
23
E. E. Mesa Mercado
🟨 8'
D
85
Y. Arce
D
13
J. Anaya
🟥 45+5'
D
27
A. Copete
D
28
M. Perea
D
10
Johan Bocanegra
↓ 68' 🟨 46'
M
70
M. Castano
M
33
J. Majao
↓ 83'
M
7
L. Estupinan
↓ 83' 🟨 22'
M
9
L. Fernandez
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
12
A. Morales
G
30
K. Arce
↑ 83'
D
67
M. A. Carrasco Bonilla
M
25
B. Delgado
F
8
M. Chaves
F
6
L. B. Torres Nazareno
D
16
J. Caicedo
M
11
C. Arteaga
F
15
F. Castillo
19
A. Castillo
↑ 68'
F
53
R. Chilla
↑ 83'
M
90
W. Caicedo
↑ 59'
F
Last matches: Mushuc Runa SC
31.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
0
D
23.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
2
D
17.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
12.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
1
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
4
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
1
0
W
07.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
2
2
D
22.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
2
0
W
19.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
0
0
D
21.02.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
1
D
Last matches: Tecnico Universitario
02.06.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
15.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
09.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
4
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
22.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
1
2
L
19.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
1
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
2
1
W
08.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
0
1
L
H2H: Mushuc Runa SC vs Tecnico Universitario
18.04.26
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
22.11.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
01.11.25
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
27.07.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
06.04.25
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
30.09.24
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
13.04.24
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
05.11.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
27.05.23
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
L
16.02.23
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
24.07.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
0
D
05.03.22
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
1
3
W
17.10.21
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
02.05.21
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
1
3
W
31.10.20
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
Last matches: Mushuc Runa SC
31.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
0
D
23.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
2
D
12.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
1
3
L
25.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
4
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
0
0
D
H2H at home: Mushuc Runa SC
18.04.26
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
22.11.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
27.07.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
13.04.24
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
05.11.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
24.07.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
0
D
17.10.21
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
31.10.20
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
Last matches: Tecnico Universitario
15.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
02.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
2
0
W
19.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
0
1
L
H2H away: Tecnico Universitario
18.04.26
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
L
22.11.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
L
27.07.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
W
13.04.24
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
W
05.11.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
L
24.07.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
0
D
17.10.21
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
W
31.10.20
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
W

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 1 3 32:18 14 37
W L W W W
2 16 8 3 5 19:13 6 27
W D W W W
3 16 8 3 5 18:17 1 27
W D W W W
4 16 7 5 4 26:14 12 26
L W D L L
5 16 7 5 4 18:13 5 26
L W W L D
6 16 7 5 4 19:16 3 26
D W L W L
7 16 6 4 6 21:22 -1 22
L L W W W
8 16 6 2 8 17:16 1 20
W W L W L
9 16 5 5 6 15:18 -3 20
D L L W L
10 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 19
W W D D L
11 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
L D L L L
12 16 4 6 6 19:21 -2 18
D D L L L
13 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
D L W L W
14 16 4 5 7 16:22 -6 17
L W L D W
15 16 4 4 8 8:15 -7 16
L L D L W
16 16 3 3 10 7:19 -12 12
W L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs