Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
76.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
63.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.1%
|
- |
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mushuc Runa SC
8 matches
Tecnico Universitario
9 matches
| Mushuc Runa SC | Statistic | Tecnico Universitario |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 4 |
| 9 | Goals For | 8 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.89 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.38 | Shots On Goal | 3.63 |
| 12.25 | Total Shots | 12.13 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 43.6% | Ball Possession | 42.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mushuc Runa SC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Tecnico Universitario in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tecnico Universitario having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Tecnico Universitario.
Mushuc Runa SC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 13 points after 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 9:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronie Carrillo (2 goals), C. Orejuela (1 goals), Cristopher Angulo (1 goals), with creative support from Ronie Carrillo (1 assists), Freddy Mina (1 assists), K. Velasco (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 8 matches, Tecnico Universitario have collected 11 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 8:8 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Cesar Castano (2 goals), Julian Anaya (2 goals), M. Cagua (2 goals), with creative support from Cesar Castano (1 assists), Johan Bocanegra (1 assists), Kener Arce (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mushuc Runa SC won 5 times, Tecnico Universitario won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:13 from Mushuc Runa SC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.
Mushuc Runa SC
5
3
2
5
1
4
Lineups
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 32:18 | 14 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:13 | 6 | 27 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 27 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26:14 | 12 | 26 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:13 | 5 | 26 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 22 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:16 | 1 | 20 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 19 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Mushuc Runa SC
Home
|
16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 18 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:18 | -3 | 17 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 17 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8:15 | -7 | 16 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
W
L
D
L
D
|