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SLOVENIA › 1. SNL
20.09.2026 15:30
Mestni stadion Fazanerija
Referee: M. Antic
Mura
Match Timeline
Celje
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
N. Kouter
Mura
🟨
16'
M. Zabukovnik
Celje
🟨
18'
I. Jelic
Mura
🔄
46'
B. Dimitrov ↔ N. Kasalo
Mura
🔄
46'
M. Ivansek ↔ L. Ticic
Celje
🟨
53'
L. Bobicanec
Mura
🔄
65'
A. Kucys ↔ A. Kotnik
Celje
🟨
66'
A. Korosec
Mura
🔄
71'
L. Bobicanec ↔ F. Sana
Mura
🔄
76'
Y. Dukuly ↔ L. Koutris
Celje
🔄
76'
M. Kvesic ↔ R. Pozeg
Celje
🔄
77'
K. Kurtovic ↔ R. Caks
Mura
🔄
82'
N. Kouter ↔ Z. Petrovic
Mura
🔄
82'
D. Oroian ↔ J. Kovacic
Mura
🔄
89'
S. Seslar ↔ T. Letonja
Celje
🟨
90+4'
Celje
Celje

Mura vs Celje Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 46.4%
Odds 1.65
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.80
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
46.4%
1.65 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.80 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.5%
1.24 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Mura Win 36.5%
Draw 17.1%
Celje Win 46.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mura1.2
Celje1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mura Mura
WWDLW
20 GF / 40 GA
Celje Celje
WLDWL
31 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.48
2.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
12
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
3.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mura Mura 18 matches
Celje Celje 21 matches
Mura Statistic Celje
3 Wins 7
6 Draws 7
9 Losses 7
20 Goals For 31
40 Goals Against 28
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
2.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
12 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 17
9 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 3.14
0 Total Shots 4.71
0 Corners 2.71
0% Ball Possession 29.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Celje having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Celje. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Mura Analysis

Mura sit 9 with 8 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 9:15 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Celje Analysis

With 11 points from 8 games and a place of 6, Celje still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 11:11 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mura won 2 times, Celje won 11 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:37 from Mura's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.9%)
Predicted formations: Mura - / Celje 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Mura wins 2, draws 2, Celje wins 11

Standings

1. SNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 19:8 11 20
D W D W W
2 10 5 3 2 11:8 3 18
W L W W W
3 10 5 3 2 12:10 2 18
W W D W L
4 10 4 2 4 10:8 2 14
L W W D W
5 10 3 4 3 16:11 5 13
D W D L L
6 10 4 1 5 17:16 1 13
L W W L L
7
Celje Away
9 3 3 3 11:11 0 12
D L L W L
8 10 3 2 5 14:18 -4 11
W L L W L
9
Mura Home
10 2 3 5 10:21 -11 9
D L D L L
10 9 1 2 6 9:18 -9 5
L L L D L
Qualifying
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation