GERMANY › 3. LIGA
10.10.2026 14:30
Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena

MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
MSV Duisburg Win 64.7%
Draw 4.9%
Hoffenheim II Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
MSV Duisburg1.82
Hoffenheim II1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg
WWDLW
30 GF / 17 GA
Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II
WLDWL
23 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
2.14
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
9
BTTS Yes
6
10
Over 2.5
7
4.86
Shots on Goal
3.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 14 matches
Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 12 matches
MSV Duisburg Statistic Hoffenheim II
9 Wins 6
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 5
30 Goals For 23
17 Goals Against 16
2.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
9 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
4.86 Shots On Goal 3.43
10.14 Total Shots 11.43
4 Corners 4
35% Ball Possession 38.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. MSV Duisburg arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 18 points compared to Hoffenheim II in 5 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Hoffenheim II. MSV Duisburg come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

MSV Duisburg Analysis

MSV Duisburg come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 18 points after 7 matches. They have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, with a 19:7 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Hoffenheim II Analysis

Hoffenheim II come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 13 points after 7 matches. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 14:8 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, MSV Duisburg won 1 times, Hoffenheim II won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from MSV Duisburg's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: MSV Duisburg 4-2-3-1 / Hoffenheim II 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: MSV Duisburg wins 1, draws 0, Hoffenheim II wins 1

Standings

3 Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 19:7 12 18
W W L W W
2 7 5 0 2 19:9 10 15
W W W L W
3 7 4 2 1 13:9 4 14
D W W W D
4 7 4 1 2 19:12 7 13
W D L W L
5 7 4 1 2 14:8 6 13
W W D L W
6 7 3 3 1 15:15 0 12
D W L D W
7 7 3 2 2 11:8 3 11
W L D W L
8 7 3 2 2 12:13 -1 11
L D W W L
9 7 3 1 3 11:10 1 10
W L W L L
10 7 3 1 3 6:7 -1 10
L W W D W
11 7 3 1 3 10:13 -3 10
W D W W L
12 7 2 3 2 8:8 0 9
W L D D W
13 7 2 2 3 6:9 -3 8
L D D W L
14 7 2 2 3 7:11 -4 8
L L W L W
15 7 2 1 4 12:15 -3 7
D L L W L
16 7 2 1 4 11:15 -4 7
L W L L L
17 7 2 0 5 8:15 -7 6
L L L L W
18 7 1 2 4 13:17 -4 5
D L D L L
19 7 1 2 4 5:13 -8 5
L W L D D
20 7 1 1 5 10:15 -5 4
L L D L W
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation