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NORWAY › 1. DIVISION
14.10.2026 17:00

Moss vs Egersund Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 74.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
74.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Moss Win 25.2%
Draw 31%
Egersund Win 43.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Moss1.78
Egersund1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Moss Moss
WWDLW
59 GF / 78 GA
Egersund Egersund
WLDWL
49 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.63
2.17
Average Goals Conceded
2
27
BTTS Yes
17
29
Over 2.5
20
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Moss Moss 36 matches
Egersund Egersund 30 matches
Moss Statistic Egersund
10 Wins 10
6 Draws 8
20 Losses 12
59 Goals For 49
78 Goals Against 60
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 2
27 BTTS Yes 17
35 Over 1.5 27
29 Over 2.5 20
19 Over 3.5 14
3 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Egersund. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Egersund having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Moss have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Moss Analysis

Moss approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 25 points from 24 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 38:54 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Egersund Analysis

From their first 24 matches, Egersund have collected 29 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, while the 36:49 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Moss won 3 times, Egersund won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:18 from Moss's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.78 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (74.8%)
H2H summary: Moss wins 3, draws 1, Egersund wins 5

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 18 1 5 74:39 35 55
W W W W W
2 24 16 5 3 70:35 35 53
W W D W D
3 24 15 6 3 61:31 30 51
W W W D W
4 24 14 3 7 57:31 26 45
L W L L L
5 24 11 6 7 50:38 12 39
W W L D W
6 24 12 2 10 33:31 2 38
W W W L L
7 24 10 4 10 40:48 -8 34
L L L D W
8 24 9 4 11 61:58 3 31
W W D D L
9 24 8 5 11 36:49 -13 29
L L D D D
10 24 8 4 12 39:49 -10 28
L L W D D
11 24 7 5 12 38:55 -17 26
D L D W W
12 24 7 4 13 35:45 -10 25
D L L D W
13
Moss Home
24 7 4 13 38:54 -16 25
L W L W L
14 23 6 5 12 38:53 -15 23
L D L L D
15 24 5 5 14 34:53 -19 20
L L D D D
16 23 6 1 16 26:61 -35 19
L W L L L
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