MONTENEGRO FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Topolica
Mornar
Match Timeline
Bokelj
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
57'
M. Cavor ↔ A. Krivokapic
Bokelj
🔄
61'
M. Djurisic ↔ S. Denkovic
Mornar
🔄
61'
N. Vukovic ↔ V. Dragovic
Mornar
🟨
74'
L. Maras
Bokelj
🔄
75'
Y. Yao ↔ D. Zoric
Mornar
🔄
75'
L. Maras ↔ Z. Mugosa
Bokelj
🔄
75'
S. Golubovic ↔ B. Stamenkovic
Bokelj
🟨
81'
B. Musah
Bokelj
🔄
90'
I. Pocek ↔ V. Janketic
Bokelj

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 41.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
41.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mornar Win 81.7%
Draw 4%
Bokelj Win 14.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mornar1.48
Bokelj0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mornar Mornar
WWDLW
48 GF / 28 GA
Bokelj Bokelj
WLDWL
33 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.03
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
16
BTTS Yes
15
18
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mornar Mornar 32 matches
Bokelj Bokelj 32 matches
Mornar Statistic Bokelj
19 Wins 6
6 Draws 11
7 Losses 15
48 Goals For 33
28 Goals Against 46
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
16 BTTS Yes 15
23 Over 1.5 23
18 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 6
13 Clean Sheets 11
5 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Mornar's more proactive style and Bokelj's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Mornar come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bokelj having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Bokelj. Mornar arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 63 points compared to Bokelj in 9 on 29, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Mornar Analysis

Mornar approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 63 points after 32 outings. The return of 19 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 48:28, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through B. Sekulic (15 goals), S. Denkovic (10 goals), D. Zoric (6 goals), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Bokelj Analysis

Bokelj approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 29 points from 32 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 11 draws, and 15 defeats with a 33:46 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Mukovic (5 goals), K. Radunovic (4 goals), I. Pocek (3 goals), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Mornar won 7 times, Bokelj won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:9 from Mornar's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
H2H summary: Mornar wins 7, draws 4, Bokelj wins 2

Lineups

Bokelj
Formation
Mornar
S. Spasojevic
S. Spasojevic
F. Mukovic
F. Mukovic
I. Pocek
I. Pocek
L. Maras
L. Maras
K. Radunovic
K. Radunovic
B. Musah
B. Musah
S. Golubovic
S. Golubovic
S. Vico
S. Vico
I. Cukovic
I. Cukovic
M. Cavor
M. Cavor
B. Raso
B. Raso
B. Krijestarac
B. Krijestarac
M. Djurisic
M. Djurisic
B. Sekulic
B. Sekulic
D. Skrijelj
D. Skrijelj
Y. Yao
Y. Yao
N. Vukovic
N. Vukovic
J. Baosic
J. Baosic
J. Dasic
J. Dasic
P. Vukcevic
P. Vukcevic
I. Martinovic
I. Martinovic
N. Stijepovic
N. Stijepovic
Bokelj 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
88
S. Spasojevic
8
F. Mukovic
10
I. Pocek
↓ 90'
11
L. Maras
↓ 75' 🟨 74'
14
K. Radunovic
19
B. Musah
🟨 81'
21
S. Golubovic
↓ 75'
22
S. Vico
26
I. Cukovic
29
M. Cavor
↓ 57'
33
B. Raso
Substitutes
1
D. Cetkovic
7
V. Janketic
↑ 90'
9
S. Kordic
16
Z. Mugosa
↑ 75'
17
S. Mrsulja
23
A. Krivokapic
↑ 57'
31
B. Nurkovic
80
Z. Vilotijevic
99
B. Stamenkovic
↑ 75'
Mornar 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
24
B. Krijestarac
8
M. Djurisic
↓ 61'
9
B. Sekulic
10
D. Skrijelj
11
Y. Yao
↓ 75'
14
N. Vukovic
↓ 61'
15
J. Baosic
17
J. Dasic
19
P. Vukcevic
25
I. Martinovic
33
N. Stijepovic
Substitutes
12
S. Popovic
3
M. Vucic
7
S. Denkovic
↑ 61'
16
F. Mitrovic
18
D. Zoric
↑ 75'
21
M. Rovcanin
23
B. Dubljevic
97
N. Vujnovic
99
V. Dragovic
↑ 61'
Last matches: Mornar
24.06.26
Fri
Mornar
Sutjeska
1
0
W
24.05.26
Fir
Mornar
Jezero
2
0
W
20.05.26
Fir
Mornar
Petrovac
1
1
D
16.05.26
Fir
Mornar
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
02.05.26
Fir
Mornar
Jedinstvo
3
0
W
26.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Mladost DG
2
1
W
18.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Dečić
1
0
W
12.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Arsenal Tivat
1
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Sutjeska
2
1
W
04.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Jezero
2
0
W
21.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Petrovac
2
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Buducnost Podgorica
3
0
W
11.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Bokelj
2
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Jedinstvo
0
1
L
01.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Mladost DG
3
0
W
25.02.26
Fir
Mornar
Dečić
0
0
D
21.02.26
Fir
Mornar
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Mornar
Sutjeska
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Mornar
FC Orenburg
0
1
L
17.01.26
Fri
Mornar
Semendrija 1924
0
1
L
Last matches: Bokelj
03.06.26
Fir
Bokelj
Grbalj
2
0
W
29.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Grbalj
0
0
D
24.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Dečić
1
0
W
20.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Buducnost Podgorica
1
2
L
16.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
3
0
W
02.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Sutjeska
2
3
L
26.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Jedinstvo
1
1
D
18.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Jezero
0
2
L
12.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Mladost DG
1
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Petrovac
0
1
L
04.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Dečić
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Buducnost Podgorica
2
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
0
1
L
11.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Mornar
1
2
L
07.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Sutjeska
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Jedinstvo
1
4
L
25.02.26
Fir
Bokelj
Jezero
1
1
D
21.02.26
Fir
Bokelj
Mladost DG
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Bokelj
Petrovac
0
1
L
04.02.26
Fri
Bokelj
Lovćen
1
0
W
H2H: Mornar vs Bokelj
10.05.26
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
0
0
D
11.03.26
H2H
Bokelj
Mornar
1
2
W
09.11.25
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
0
0
D
13.09.25
H2H
Bokelj
Mornar
1
2
W
18.05.25
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
4
1
W
29.03.25
H2H
Bokelj
Mornar
0
2
W
27.11.24
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
3
0
W
23.11.24
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
1
1
D
22.09.24
H2H
Bokelj
Mornar
2
0
L
18.07.21
H2H
Bokelj
Mornar
0
0
D
22.05.21
H2H
Bokelj
Mornar
2
1
L
10.04.21
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
2
1
W
22.11.20
H2H
Bokelj
Mornar
0
0
D
03.10.20
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
1
0
W
19.07.20
H2H
Bokelj
Mornar
0
0
D
Last matches: Mornar
24.06.26
Fri
Mornar
Sutjeska
1
0
W
20.05.26
Fir
Mornar
Petrovac
1
1
D
02.05.26
Fir
Mornar
Jedinstvo
3
0
W
18.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Dečić
1
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Sutjeska
2
1
W
04.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Jezero
2
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Buducnost Podgorica
3
0
W
01.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Mladost DG
3
0
W
21.02.26
Fir
Mornar
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Mornar
Semendrija 1924
0
1
L
30.11.25
Fir
Mornar
Petrovac
3
1
W
09.11.25
Fir
Mornar
Bokelj
0
0
D
01.11.25
Fir
Mornar
Jedinstvo
3
1
W
18.10.25
Fir
Mornar
Dečić
1
0
W
01.10.25
Fir
Mornar
Sutjeska
1
0
W
27.09.25
Fir
Mornar
Jezero
2
2
D
17.09.25
Fir
Mornar
Buducnost Podgorica
1
1
D
24.08.25
Fir
Mornar
Mladost DG
2
1
W
10.08.25
Fir
Mornar
Arsenal Tivat
2
2
D
H2H at home: Mornar
10.05.26
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
0
0
D
09.11.25
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
0
0
D
18.05.25
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
4
1
W
27.11.24
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
3
0
W
23.11.24
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
1
1
D
10.04.21
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
2
1
W
03.10.20
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
1
0
W
Last matches: Bokelj
03.06.26
Fir
Bokelj
Grbalj
2
0
W
20.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Buducnost Podgorica
1
2
L
26.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Jedinstvo
1
1
D
12.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Mladost DG
1
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Dečić
0
0
D
15.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
0
1
L
07.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Sutjeska
1
2
L
25.02.26
Fir
Bokelj
Jezero
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Bokelj
Petrovac
0
1
L
04.02.26
Fri
Bokelj
Lovćen
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
Bokelj
Sutjeska
0
1
L
10.12.25
Fir
Bokelj
Petrovac
0
0
D
29.11.25
Fir
Bokelj
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
09.11.25
Fir
Bokelj
Mornar
0
0
D
26.10.25
Fir
Bokelj
Jedinstvo
0
0
D
05.10.25
Fir
Bokelj
Mladost DG
0
3
L
27.09.25
Fir
Bokelj
Dečić
2
0
W
17.09.25
Fir
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
L
30.08.25
Fir
Bokelj
Sutjeska
2
5
L
17.08.25
Fir
Bokelj
Jezero
2
2
D
H2H away: Bokelj
10.05.26
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
0
0
D
09.11.25
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
0
0
D
18.05.25
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
4
1
L
27.11.24
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
3
0
L
23.11.24
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
1
1
D
10.04.21
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
2
1
L
03.10.20
H2H
Mornar
Bokelj
1
0
L

Standings

1. CFL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 22 6 8 61:36 25 72
L W W D W
2 36 20 9 7 51:29 22 69
W D D D W
3 36 13 12 11 44:36 8 51
D D W L D
4 36 14 9 13 43:45 -2 51
L L L W D
5 36 13 9 14 36:35 1 48
D W D D L
6 36 14 4 18 49:54 -5 46
W L D W W
7 36 12 10 14 36:46 -10 46
L W L D D
8 36 10 11 15 38:48 -10 41
W W L L D
9 36 8 12 16 38:48 -10 36
W D W L W
10 36 9 8 19 30:49 -19 35
W W L D L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation