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Moreland City
Match Timeline
Essendon Royals SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
M. Kotronis
Essendon Royals SC
⚽
24'
C. Hollingworth
Moreland City
⚽
58'
D. Clarke
Essendon Royals SC
⚽
81'
Moreland City
Moreland City

Moreland City vs Essendon Royals SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
74.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Moreland City Win 21.5%
Draw 4.4%
Essendon Royals SC Win 74.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Moreland City1.41
Essendon Royals SC2.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Moreland City Moreland City
WWDLW
32 GF / 71 GA
Essendon Royals SC Essendon Royals SC
WLDWL
61 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
2.44
2.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
17
BTTS Yes
19
17
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Moreland City Moreland City 25 matches
Essendon Royals SC Essendon Royals SC 25 matches
Moreland City Statistic Essendon Royals SC
2 Wins 15
7 Draws 2
16 Losses 8
32 Goals For 61
71 Goals Against 40
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 2.44
2.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
17 BTTS Yes 19
19 Over 1.5 22
17 Over 2.5 19
16 Over 3.5 15
4 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Essendon Royals SC's more proactive style and Moreland City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Essendon Royals SC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Essendon Royals SC having the stronger overall control. Moreland City have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Essendon Royals SC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 47 points while Moreland City sit 14 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Moreland City Analysis

Moreland City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 13 points from 24 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 30:65, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Essendon Royals SC Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 47 points from 25 games, Essendon Royals SC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 15 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a 61:40 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Moreland City won 0 times, Essendon Royals SC won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Moreland City's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
H2H summary: Moreland City wins 0, draws 0, Essendon Royals SC wins 1

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 2 6 66:33 33 56
W L W D W
2 26 17 4 5 59:35 24 55
W L W W L
3 26 15 5 6 47:32 15 50
W W W L W
4 26 15 3 8 63:42 21 48
D L W W W
5 26 14 2 10 39:37 2 44
W W D L W
6 26 11 7 8 37:32 5 40
L W D W L
7 26 9 11 6 49:31 18 38
D W D W D
8 26 9 5 12 32:46 -14 32
L W L W L
9 26 7 9 10 43:43 0 30
D W L D L
10 26 9 3 14 37:55 -18 30
D W W W L
11 26 8 5 13 29:44 -15 29
D W L L L
12 26 6 6 14 37:50 -13 24
L L L W D
13 26 3 8 15 25:44 -19 17
L L L L D
14 26 2 8 16 34:73 -39 14
D L L D L