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07.08.2026 18:45
Monza
Match Timeline
Padova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
47'
M. Pessina
Monza
⚽
50'
G. Caprari
Padova
🔄
59'
L. Zanimacchia ↔ M. Cocchi
Padova
🔄
59'
G. Caprari ↔ K. Lasagna
Padova
⚽
60'
D. Mota
Monza
⚽
65'
K. Lasagna
Padova
⚽
67'
P. Cutrone
Monza
🔄
72'
M. Bortolussi ↔ F. Di Mariano
Padova
🔄
72'
M. Lovato ↔ F. Sgarbi
Padova
🔄
72'
L. Carissoni ↔ A. Capelli
Padova
🔄
72'
G. Giunti ↔ K. Varas
Padova
🔄
77'
C. Pastina ↔ C. Faedo
Padova
🔄
77'
E. Zuelli ↔ J. Bacci
Padova
🔄
77'
A. Dellavalle ↔ E. Silletti
Padova
⚽
88'
K. Lasagna
Padova

Monza vs Padova Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Monza Win 64.6%
Draw 8.4%
Padova Win 27.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monza2.33
Padova1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monza Monza
WWDLW
7 GF / 6 GA
Padova Padova
WLDWL
4 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1.33
2
Average Goals Conceded
2.33
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Monza Monza 3 matches
Padova Padova 3 matches
Monza Statistic Padova
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 2
7 Goals For 4
6 Goals Against 7
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
2 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33
2 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Monza won 1 times, Padova won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:6 from Monza's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
Predicted formations: Monza 3-4-2-1 / Padova 3-5-2
H2H summary: Monza wins 1, draws 1, Padova wins 2