FRANCE LIGUE 2
--.--.---- --:--
Stade de la Mosson
Referee: G. Kubler
Montpellier
Match Timeline
Clermont Foot
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Khalil Fayad
Montpellier
22'
A. Mendy · Assist: E. Tchato
Montpellier
25'
Y. Salmier
Clermont Foot
45'
A. Hunou · Assist: I. Coulibaly
Clermont Foot
🔄
46'
E. H. Kone ↔ M. Tourraine
Clermont Foot
🟨
51'
Khalil Fayad
Montpellier
🟥
51'
Khalil Fayad
Montpellier
🔄
56'
E. Molebe ↔ Y. Issoufou
Montpellier
🟨
60'
Adrien Hunou
Clermont Foot
🔄
70'
A. Hunou ↔ K. Bamba
Clermont Foot
🔄
77'
N. Mbuku ↔ T. Savanier
Montpellier
🔄
86'
I. Fakili ↔ J. Gastien
Clermont Foot
🟨
87'
Mathys Tourraine
Clermont Foot
🔄
90+1'
A. Camblan ↔ I. M'Bahia
Clermont Foot

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 24.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 62.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
24.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
62.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Montpellier Win 66.1%
Draw 15.4%
Clermont Foot Win 18.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Montpellier1.34
Clermont Foot0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Montpellier Montpellier
WWDLW
50 GF / 31 GA
Clermont Foot Clermont Foot
WLDWL
36 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.09
0.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
13
BTTS Yes
20
11
Over 2.5
15
4
Shots on Goal
3.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Montpellier Montpellier 37 matches
Clermont Foot Clermont Foot 33 matches
Montpellier Statistic Clermont Foot
18 Wins 7
8 Draws 11
11 Losses 15
50 Goals For 36
31 Goals Against 44
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
0.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
13 BTTS Yes 20
24 Over 1.5 21
11 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 8
16 Clean Sheets 5
11 Failed To Score 10
4 Shots On Goal 3.28
11.6 Total Shots 10.38
5.2 Corners 3.75
51.2% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Montpellier's more proactive style and Clermont Foot's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Montpellier arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 50 points compared to Clermont Foot in 14 on 31, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Clermont Foot. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Montpellier expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Clermont Foot in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Clermont Foot having the stronger overall control.

Montpellier Analysis

Montpellier sit 7 with 50 points after 32 league matches. The record of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 39:28 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Mendy (11 goals), T. Savanier (5 goals), N. Mbuku (4 goals), with creative support from N. Mbuku (5 assists), A. Mendy (4 assists), T. Savanier (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Clermont Foot Analysis

Clermont Foot approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 31 points from 32 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 15 defeats with a 35:43 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Diedhiou (10 goals), K. Bamba (8 goals), I. Fakili (4 goals), with creative support from K. Bamba (3 assists), I. Fakili (3 assists), Johan Gastien (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Montpellier won 2 times, Clermont Foot won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:15 from Montpellier's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.6%)
Predicted formations: Montpellier 4-2-3-1 / Clermont Foot 5-4-1
H2H summary: Montpellier wins 2, draws 5, Clermont Foot wins 4
Stats
Montpellier Montpellier
Clermont Foot Clermont Foot
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
11 Corner Kicks 2
20 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 0
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 1
11 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
480 Total passes 285
419 Passes accurate 211
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Montpellier
Formation
Clermont Foot
S. Ngapandouetnbu
S. Ngapandouetnbu
E. Tchato
🎯
E. Tchato
J. Laporte
J. Laporte
Y. Mouanga
Y. Mouanga
T. Sainte-Luce
T. Sainte-Luce
T. Chennahi
T. Chennahi
N. Pays
N. Pays
K. Fayad
K. Fayad
N. Mbuku
N. Mbuku
E. Molebe
E. Molebe
A. Mendy
A. Mendy
T. Guivarch
T. Guivarch
I. Coulibaly
🎯
I. Coulibaly
Y. Salmier
Y. Salmier
S. Sow
S. Sow
E. H. Kone
E. H. Kone
H. Saivet
H. Saivet
A. Baallal
A. Baallal
A. Camblan
A. Camblan
A. Hunou
A. Hunou
I. Fakili
I. Fakili
F. Diedhiou
F. Diedhiou
Montpellier 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
31
S. Ngapandouetnbu
G
29
E. Tchato
🎯 22'
D
15
J. Laporte
D
23
Y. Mouanga
D
17
T. Sainte-Luce
D
44
T. Chennahi
M
18
N. Pays
M
10
K. Fayad
🟨 18' 🟨 51' 🟥 51'
M
7
N. Mbuku
↓ 77'
M
14
E. Molebe
↓ 56'
M
19
A. Mendy
⚽ 22'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Michel
G
6
C. Jullien
D
8
Y. Issoufou
↑ 56'
F
11
T. Savanier
↑ 77'
M
77
E. Junior Pereira da Silva
F
21
L. Mincarelli
D
3
N. El Hannach
D
Clermont Foot 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
T. Guivarch
G
93
I. Coulibaly
🎯 45'
D
21
Y. Salmier
⚽ 25'
D
4
S. Sow
D
38
E. H. Kone
↓ 46'
D
10
H. Saivet
M
2
A. Baallal
M
7
A. Camblan
↓ 90+1'
M
23
A. Hunou
⚽ 45' ↓ 70' 🟨 60'
M
29
I. Fakili
↓ 86'
M
18
F. Diedhiou
F
Substitutes
16
M. N'Diaye
G
32
K. Bamba
↑ 70'
F
11
M. Douane
F
77
E. Cantero
F
25
J. Gastien
↑ 86'
M
39
M. Tourraine
↑ 46' 🟨 87'
D
28
I. M'Bahia
↑ 90+1'
D
Last matches: Montpellier
09.05.26
Lig
Montpellier
RED Star FC 93
1
1
D
24.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Amiens
2
0
W
17.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Grenoble
2
1
W
10.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Annecy
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Estac Troyes
2
2
D
20.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
PAU
0
0
D
13.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
Laval
2
0
W
06.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
Nancy
3
0
W
27.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Reims
0
0
D
20.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Rodez
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Le Mans
4
2
W
07.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Saint Etienne
0
1
L
04.02.26
Cou
Montpellier
Nice
2
3
L
30.01.26
Lig
Montpellier
Guingamp
3
1
W
23.01.26
Lig
Montpellier
Bastia
2
0
W
16.01.26
Lig
Montpellier
Boulogne
0
1
L
11.01.26
Cou
Montpellier
Metz
4
0
W
05.01.26
Lig
Montpellier
Dunkerque
1
3
L
19.12.25
Cou
Montpellier
Canet Roussillon
1
0
W
13.12.25
Lig
Montpellier
Grenoble
1
1
D
Last matches: Clermont Foot
09.05.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
1
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Bastia
1
1
D
17.04.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Le Mans
0
1
L
10.04.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Nancy
2
2
D
03.04.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Grenoble
2
2
D
27.03.26
Fri
Clermont Foot
Le Puy Foot
0
0
D
20.03.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
RED Star FC 93
0
1
L
13.03.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
PAU
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Estac Troyes
1
2
L
27.02.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Dunkerque
2
1
W
20.02.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Boulogne
2
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Rodez
1
2
L
09.02.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Amiens
3
4
L
30.01.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Reims
0
1
L
23.01.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Annecy
1
2
L
17.01.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Saint Etienne
0
1
L
03.01.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Laval
4
1
W
12.12.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Nancy
0
1
L
05.12.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Boulogne
1
1
D
22.11.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
RED Star FC 93
2
2
D
H2H: Montpellier vs Clermont Foot
02.05.26
H2H
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
2
L
28.10.25
H2H
Clermont Foot
Montpellier
1
1
D
14.04.24
H2H
Clermont Foot
Montpellier
1
1
D
29.11.23
H2H
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
1
D
26.07.23
H2H
Clermont Foot
Montpellier
1
1
D
19.03.23
H2H
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
2
1
W
06.11.22
H2H
Clermont Foot
Montpellier
1
1
D
20.07.22
H2H
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
0
2
L
08.05.22
H2H
Clermont Foot
Montpellier
2
1
L
05.12.21
H2H
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
0
W
17.07.21
H2H
Clermont Foot
Montpellier
3
2
L
08.08.20
H2H
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
0
0
D
Last matches: Montpellier
17.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Grenoble
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Estac Troyes
2
2
D
13.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
Laval
2
0
W
27.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Reims
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Le Mans
4
2
W
30.01.26
Lig
Montpellier
Guingamp
3
1
W
05.01.26
Lig
Montpellier
Dunkerque
1
3
L
06.12.25
Lig
Montpellier
PAU
0
1
L
07.11.25
Lig
Montpellier
Annecy
1
0
W
31.10.25
Lig
Montpellier
Rodez
2
0
W
25.10.25
Lig
Montpellier
Nancy
4
1
W
04.10.25
Lig
Montpellier
Saint Etienne
0
2
L
23.09.25
Lig
Montpellier
Boulogne
1
3
L
20.09.25
Lig
Montpellier
Bastia
2
0
W
29.08.25
Lig
Montpellier
Amiens
1
1
D
09.08.25
Lig
Montpellier
RED Star FC 93
1
1
D
10.05.25
Lig
Montpellier
Paris Saint Germain
1
4
L
27.04.25
Lig
Montpellier
Reims
0
0
D
06.04.25
Lig
Montpellier
Le Havre
0
2
L
16.03.25
Lig
Montpellier
Saint Etienne
0
2
L
H2H at home: Montpellier
02.05.26
H2H
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
2
L
29.11.23
H2H
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
1
D
19.03.23
H2H
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
2
1
W
20.07.22
H2H
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
0
2
L
05.12.21
H2H
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
0
W
08.08.20
H2H
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
0
0
D
Last matches: Clermont Foot
17.04.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Le Mans
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Grenoble
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Estac Troyes
1
2
L
20.02.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Boulogne
2
0
W
09.02.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Amiens
3
4
L
23.01.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Annecy
1
2
L
17.01.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Saint Etienne
0
1
L
12.12.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Nancy
0
1
L
22.11.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
RED Star FC 93
2
2
D
16.11.25
Cou
Clermont Foot
Blois
1
1
D
31.10.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Bastia
0
1
L
24.10.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
1
0
W
03.10.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
PAU
1
3
L
23.09.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Reims
1
4
L
19.09.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Rodez
1
0
W
29.08.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Laval
0
0
D
09.08.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Dunkerque
2
2
D
27.08.19
Cou
Clermont Foot
Lens
2
2
D
H2H away: Clermont Foot
02.05.26
H2H
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
2
W
29.11.23
H2H
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
1
D
19.03.23
H2H
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
2
1
L
20.07.22
H2H
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
0
2
W
05.12.21
H2H
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
0
L
08.08.20
H2H
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
0
0
D

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 20 7 7 60:33 27 67
L W W W L
2 34 16 14 4 50:31 19 62
W D D W D
3 34 18 6 10 59:38 21 60
W L L L W
4 34 16 10 8 45:37 8 58
D W W L W
5 34 15 13 6 45:39 6 58
W W D W W
6 34 14 14 6 53:35 18 56
W D D W D
7 34 15 7 12 49:39 10 52
L W W W D
8 34 14 9 11 41:31 10 51
D L W W D
9 34 12 9 13 48:62 -14 45
L L L W W
10 34 11 10 13 53:45 8 43
L L W L L
11 34 10 10 14 42:49 -7 40
L L L L D
12 34 8 15 11 33:39 -6 39
W W D L D
13 34 9 10 15 38:44 -6 37
W W D L D
14 34 9 10 15 35:52 -17 37
W W D L D
15 34 9 9 16 34:49 -15 36
L L L L D
16 34 6 14 14 30:48 -18 32
W D W L D
17 34 5 13 16 23:39 -16 28
L W D W L
18 34 6 6 22 37:65 -28 24
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation