Molde vs Valerenga Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
76.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.1%
|
- |
Molde
Valerenga
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Molde
11 matches
Valerenga
12 matches
| Molde | Statistic | Valerenga |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 7 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 3 |
| 17 | Goals For | 23 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.92 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.4 | Shots On Goal | 4.2 |
| 12.4 | Total Shots | 14.6 |
| 5.6 | Corners | 7.6 |
| 61.4% | Ball Possession | 44.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with Valerenga's more proactive style and Molde's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Molde appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Valerenga. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Valerenga. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Placed 4 with 7 points from 5 outings, Molde continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 3:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Breivik (5 goals), Eirik Hestad (1 goals), J. Abdullai (1 goals), with creative support from C. Zady (1 assists), H. Stenevik (1 assists), M. Kikkenborg (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with D. Daga, F. Dahl, O. Spiten-Nysaeter unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Valerenga are currently 6 in the standings with 7 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 3:0 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Lange (2 goals), I. Nasberg (1 goals), M. Grundetjern (1 goals), with creative support from K. Finnsson (1 assists), M. Westergaard (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with M. Ofkir unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Molde won 9 times, Valerenga won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 35:17 from Molde's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56:20 | 36 | 53 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56:20 | 36 | 53 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 39 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 4 |
Molde
Home
|
22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 46:34 | 12 | 37 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 30:31 | -1 | 33 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 39:34 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 29 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 27:36 | -9 | 28 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 33:46 | -13 | 26 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 24 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
Valerenga
Away
|
22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 23 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
| 14 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 35:50 | -15 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 22:43 | -21 | 19 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 24:48 | -24 | 16 |
L
L
W
L
W
|