KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 28.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
28.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
MOFA Win 64.4%
Draw 4.2%
Kibera Black Stars Win 31.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
MOFA1.17
Kibera Black Stars0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
MOFA MOFA
WWDLW
49 GF / 28 GA
Kibera Black Stars Kibera Black Stars
WLDWL
30 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
0.86
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
16
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MOFA MOFA 35 matches
Kibera Black Stars Kibera Black Stars 35 matches
MOFA Statistic Kibera Black Stars
16 Wins 15
13 Draws 7
6 Losses 13
49 Goals For 30
28 Goals Against 29
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
16 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 1
13 Clean Sheets 14
10 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kibera Black Stars having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kibera Black Stars.

MOFA Analysis

MOFA come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 61 points from 35 matches. The record of 16 wins, 13 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 49:28 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 7 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Kibera Black Stars Analysis

So far, Kibera Black Stars have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 52 points from 35 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 30:29 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, MOFA won 1 times, Kibera Black Stars won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from MOFA's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: MOFA wins 1, draws 2, Kibera Black Stars wins 1
Last matches: MOFA
13.06.26
Sup
MOFA
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
07.06.26
Sup
MOFA
Soy United
0
0
D
28.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
24.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
16.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Gucha Stars
2
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Migori Youth
0
1
L
02.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Talanta
3
3
D
25.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Mwatate United
3
2
W
18.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Equity Bank
0
0
D
14.04.26
Sup
MOFA
MCF
3
0
W
10.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
04.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
21.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Vihiga United FC
3
2
W
15.03.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Naivas
1
0
W
27.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
15.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Fortune Sacco
1
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
Last matches: Kibera Black Stars
13.06.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
07.06.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
MCF
1
2
L
27.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
23.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
L
16.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
3K
1
2
L
10.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mwatate United
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
25.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
11.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
2
0
W
03.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
1
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Talanta
2
1
W
21.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
28.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Equity Bank
1
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Soy United
1
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
1
2
L
24.01.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
1
1
D
H2H: MOFA vs Kibera Black Stars
01.06.26
H2H
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
12.10.25
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
MOFA
1
0
L
26.04.25
H2H
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
18.01.25
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
MOFA
0
0
D
Last matches: MOFA
13.06.26
Sup
MOFA
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
16.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Gucha Stars
2
1
W
02.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Talanta
3
3
D
25.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Mwatate United
3
2
W
14.04.26
Sup
MOFA
MCF
3
0
W
10.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
21.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Vihiga United FC
3
2
W
07.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Naivas
1
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
11.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Equity Bank
1
1
D
17.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
07.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Migori Youth
3
1
W
29.11.25
Sup
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
4
0
W
15.11.25
Sup
MOFA
Fortune Sacco
2
1
W
03.11.25
Sup
MOFA
Soy United
1
1
D
25.10.25
Sup
MOFA
Darajani Gogo
0
0
D
28.09.25
Sup
MOFA
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
H2H at home: MOFA
01.06.26
H2H
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
26.04.25
H2H
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
Last matches: Kibera Black Stars
13.06.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
23.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
L
10.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mwatate United
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
03.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
1
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Talanta
2
1
W
07.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Equity Bank
1
2
L
01.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
1
2
L
18.01.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
0
2
L
21.12.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
0
0
D
13.12.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
04.12.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
3K
0
2
L
30.11.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kabati Youth FC
0
1
L
16.11.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Soy United
0
2
L
01.11.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
MCF
2
0
W
26.10.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Nairobi City Stars
3
2
W
05.10.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
H2H away: Kibera Black Stars
01.06.26
H2H
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
26.04.25
H2H
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5
MOFA Home
38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation