Mirassol vs LDU de Quito Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
34.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mirassol
27 matches
LDU de Quito
33 matches
| Mirassol | Statistic | LDU de Quito |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 15 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 12 | Losses | 11 |
| 31 | Goals For | 36 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 4.22 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 12.74 | Total Shots | 13.97 |
| 5.15 | Corners | 5.17 |
| 50.7% | Ball Possession | 48% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Mirassol hold an advantage after winning the first leg 2-0, so LDU de Quito now have a 2-goal deficit to overturn. In the previous meeting, Mirassol had more of the ball in the first leg (52% possession compared to 48%). Mirassol were also more accurate in attack, recording 8 shots on target to 2. Mirassol also attempted more passes (394 to 365) and completed 319. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring LDU de Quito. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mirassol expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and LDU de Quito in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward LDU de Quito having the stronger overall control.
Ahead of this knockout test, Mirassol arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 12 points after 6 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats with goals at 7:4 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on Alesson (1 goals), Eduardo (1 goals), Joao Victor (1 goals), with creative support from Alesson (3 assists), Reinaldo (1 assists), Carlos Eduardo (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
LDU de Quito enter this tie with a season profile built on 12 points from 6 matches, placing them 1 in their league. Their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats with goals at 8:5 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on Deyverson (2 goals), Y. Quinonez (2 goals), F. Cornejo (1 goals), with creative support from J. Corozo (2 assists), J. Pretell (1 assists), Jeison Medina (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
LDU de Quito
Away
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
| 2 |
Mirassol
Home
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 12 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 9 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|