Mirassol vs Botafogo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
52.7%
|
2.06 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
1.74 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.16 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.40 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Mirassol
Botafogo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mirassol
35 matches
Botafogo
31 matches
| Mirassol | Statistic | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 10 |
| 10 | Draws | 9 |
| 14 | Losses | 12 |
| 39 | Goals For | 44 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.48 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.23 | Shots On Goal | 5.1 |
| 13.11 | Total Shots | 14.1 |
| 5.31 | Corners | 4.32 |
| 50.2% | Ball Possession | 48.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Botafogo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mirassol expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Botafogo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Botafogo having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Botafogo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 28 points from 26 games and a place of 16, Mirassol still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 7 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 29:40 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Igor Formiga (4 goals), Eduardo (3 goals), João Victor (2 goals), with creative support from Igor Formiga (4 assists), Reinaldo (4 assists), Alesson (4 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 31 points from 25 games and a place of 14, Botafogo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 37:40, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Danilo Santos (7 goals), Arthur Cabral (7 goals), Edenílson (4 goals), with creative support from Alex Telles (3 assists), Álvaro Montoro (3 assists), Danilo Santos (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Mirassol won 0 times, Botafogo won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:6 from Mirassol's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 43 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 41 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34:33 | 1 | 37 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 36 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
Botafogo
Away
|
28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
| 14 |
Mirassol
Home
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 15 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30:34 | -4 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 24 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29:57 | -28 | 18 |
L
D
L
W
L
|