Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
69.3%
|
1.68 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.59 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.23 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
6.75 |
Minnesota United FC
Atlanta United FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Minnesota United FC
22 matches
Atlanta United FC
23 matches
| Minnesota United FC | Statistic | Atlanta United FC |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 6 |
| 8 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 12 |
| 25 | Goals For | 29 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.61 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.68 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 13.37 | Total Shots | 12.16 |
| 5.68 | Corners | 4.53 |
| 46.2% | Ball Possession | 48.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atlanta United FC. Minnesota United FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 24 points compared to Atlanta United FC in 15 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Minnesota United FC expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Atlanta United FC in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atlanta United FC having the stronger overall control. Atlanta United FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
From their first 18 matches, Minnesota United FC have collected 24 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 20:25 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Kelvin Yeboah (6 goals), Anthony Markanich (4 goals), Joaquín Pereyra (1 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Pereyra (4 assists), Tomás Chancalay (3 assists), James Rodríguez (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 12 points from 18 games and a place of 15, Atlanta United FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 19:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Saba Lobzhanidze (2 goals), Ajani Fortune (2 goals), Miguel Almirón (2 goals), with creative support from Aleksey Miranchuk (3 assists), Saba Lobzhanidze (1 assists), Elías Báez (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota United FC won 2 times, Atlanta United FC won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:15 from Minnesota United FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.
Minnesota United FC
4
3
9
4
0
3
Lineups
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
New England Revolution
Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United FC
Austin
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC
Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
Nashville SC
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
Minnesota United FC
Austin
Minnesota United FC
Charlotte
Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
New England Revolution
Atlanta United FC
Charlotte
Atlanta United FC
Nashville SC
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
Atlanta United FC
CF Montreal
Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
New England Revolution
Atlanta United FC
Nashville SC
Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
DC United
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Atlanta United FC
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United FC
FC Dallas
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United FC
Austin
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
New England Revolution
Atlanta United FC
Charlotte
Atlanta United FC
Nashville SC
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Atlanta United FC
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United FC
Houston Dynamo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40:17 | 23 | 37 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 4 | 35 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 35:20 | 15 | 34 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 33 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34:26 | 8 | 30 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30:26 | 4 | 28 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 29:25 | 4 | 25 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Minnesota United FC
Home
|
19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 34:35 | -1 | 24 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 24 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 24:30 | -6 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 23:38 | -15 | 17 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 18:48 | -30 | 14 |
L
L
L
W
L
|