KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 97%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 52.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
97%
-
BTTS No
56.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
52.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Migori Youth Win 51%
Draw 3%
Equity Bank Win 46.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Migori Youth1.19
Equity Bank1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Migori Youth Migori Youth
WWDLW
54 GF / 27 GA
Equity Bank Equity Bank
WLDWL
53 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.47
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
0.72
14
BTTS Yes
15
14
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Migori Youth Migori Youth 36 matches
Equity Bank Equity Bank 36 matches
Migori Youth Statistic Equity Bank
24 Wins 20
5 Draws 11
7 Losses 5
54 Goals For 53
27 Goals Against 26
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 0.72
14 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 23
14 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 9
17 Clean Sheets 18
7 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Equity Bank. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Equity Bank having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Migori Youth Analysis

Migori Youth come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 77 points from 36 matches. Their overall return of 24 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 54:27 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 15 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Equity Bank Analysis

Equity Bank arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 71 points after 36 matches. The record of 20 wins, 11 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 53:26 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Migori Youth won 1 times, Equity Bank won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Migori Youth's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (97%)
H2H summary: Migori Youth wins 1, draws 0, Equity Bank wins 1
Last matches: Migori Youth
13.06.26
Sup
Migori Youth
3K
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
27.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MCF
2
1
W
23.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
10.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MOFA
1
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
0
0
D
26.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
4
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Naivas
1
0
W
05.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
3
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
0
1
L
23.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Talanta
3
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
3
2
W
08.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Vihiga United FC
2
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
22.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Gucha Stars
0
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
4
0
W
Last matches: Equity Bank
13.06.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Mwatate United
2
0
W
01.06.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Soy United
1
0
W
27.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Fortune Sacco
4
0
W
23.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
3K
0
0
D
17.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
09.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Darajani Gogo
4
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Vihiga United FC
4
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MOFA
0
0
D
12.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Gucha Stars
1
1
D
03.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Talanta
2
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
25.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MCF
3
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
22.02.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
14.02.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Naivas
1
1
D
31.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Talanta
0
0
D
H2H: Migori Youth vs Equity Bank
07.06.26
H2H
Migori Youth
Equity Bank
2
1
W
02.11.25
H2H
Equity Bank
Migori Youth
3
2
L
Last matches: Migori Youth
27.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MCF
2
1
W
23.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Migori Youth
MOFA
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
4
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Naivas
1
0
W
23.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Talanta
3
1
W
15.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Soy United
3
2
W
01.03.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
15.02.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Luanda Villa
4
0
W
11.01.26
Sup
Migori Youth
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
12.12.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
3
2
W
04.12.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Fortune Sacco
1
0
W
23.11.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Vihiga United FC
1
1
D
09.11.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
29.10.25
Sup
Migori Youth
3K
1
1
D
12.10.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
28.09.25
Sup
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
1
0
W
H2H at home: Migori Youth
07.06.26
H2H
Migori Youth
Equity Bank
2
1
W
Last matches: Equity Bank
27.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Fortune Sacco
4
0
W
23.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
3K
0
0
D
09.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Darajani Gogo
4
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Vihiga United FC
4
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Gucha Stars
1
1
D
25.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MCF
3
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Naivas
1
1
D
24.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Talanta
0
0
D
11.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MOFA
1
1
D
07.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Soy United
1
2
L
12.12.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Nairobi City Stars
0
2
L
03.12.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
22.11.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Mombasa Elite
0
2
L
09.11.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
28.10.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Mwatate United
2
2
D
28.09.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
H2H away: Equity Bank
07.06.26
H2H
Migori Youth
Equity Bank
2
1
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation