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DENMARK › 1. DIVISION
18.04.2026 12:00
Middelfart Stadium
Referee: J. Rasmussen
Middelfart
Match Timeline
Hobro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
E. Sogaard
Hobro
🟨
17'
M. Boesen
Middelfart
⚽
26'
S. Andreasen · Assist: E. Sogaard
Hobro
⚽
32'
R. Hauge
Hobro
⚽
40'
M. Huldahl · Assist: S. Andreasen
Hobro
🔄
46'
P. Matiebel ↔ M. Greve
Middelfart
🔄
46'
E. Sogaard ↔ G. Bjerge
Hobro
🔄
46'
Z. Hyltoft ↔ M. Pedersen
Hobro
⚽
47'
M. Pedersen
Hobro
⚽
56'
M. Huldahl · Assist: M. Pedersen
Hobro
🔄
63'
M. Praest ↔ B. Zjajo
Middelfart
🔄
63'
M. Kristensen ↔ V. Hegelund
Middelfart
🔄
63'
R. Kakeeto ↔ R. Koch
Middelfart
🔄
63'
F. Dietz ↔ M. Kannegaard
Hobro
🔄
67'
M. Huldahl ↔ M. Bruhn
Hobro
🔄
74'
M. Boesen ↔ M. Nielsen
Middelfart
🔄
77'
R. Hauge ↔ J. Lind
Hobro
⚽
82'
M. Bruhn
Hobro

Middelfart vs Hobro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 50%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
52.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
50%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Middelfart Win 20.8%
Draw 10%
Hobro Win 69.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middelfart1.11
Hobro1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middelfart Middelfart
WWDLW
23 GF / 51 GA
Hobro Hobro
WLDWL
24 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
1
2.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
14
BTTS Yes
10
16
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Middelfart Middelfart 24 matches
Hobro Hobro 24 matches
Middelfart Statistic Hobro
2 Wins 7
6 Draws 7
16 Losses 10
23 Goals For 24
51 Goals Against 32
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
14 BTTS Yes 10
18 Over 1.5 17
16 Over 2.5 8
10 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hobro having the stronger overall control. Hobro carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 28 points while Middelfart sit 6 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Hobro. Middelfart have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Middelfart Analysis

Middelfart approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 12 points from 24 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 6 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 23:51 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Wielzen (5 goals), M. Boesen (5 goals), A. Akale (3 goals), with creative support from S. Pedersen (3 assists), J. Vetter (2 assists), J. Wielzen (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hobro Analysis

Hobro come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 28 points after 24 matches. With 7 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats plus a goal balance of 24:32, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Bruhn (6 goals), O. Klitten (5 goals), S. Andreasen (4 goals), with creative support from L. Klitten (5 assists), M. Nielsen (3 assists), O. Klitten (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Middelfart won 1 times, Hobro won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:16 from Middelfart's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
H2H summary: Middelfart wins 1, draws 1, Hobro wins 4

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 6 4 49:25 24 42
L L W W L
2 22 10 9 3 34:23 11 39
L L D L D
3 22 10 7 5 33:29 4 37
W L D L W
4 22 11 4 7 32:29 3 37
W W D W L
5 22 9 6 7 29:23 6 33
L W L L D
6 22 8 6 8 26:24 2 30
W W D W W
7 22 7 7 8 33:31 2 28
W L D L D
8 22 8 4 10 26:36 -10 28
D W D D L
9 22 6 9 7 32:27 5 27
D W W D W
10
Hobro Away
22 6 7 9 22:31 -9 25
W W L D D
11 22 5 5 12 26:41 -15 20
L L W D W
12 22 2 6 14 21:44 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion round
Relegation Round