DENMARK 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Middelfart Stadium
Referee: F. Iriskic
Middelfart
Match Timeline
HB Koge
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
S. Hald
HB Koge
31'
C. Jensen Tue · Assist: S. Hald
HB Koge
33'
T. Thomsen · Assist: M. Salah
HB Koge
52'
T. Thomsen · Assist: A. Gothler
HB Koge
🔄
57'
L. Thomsen ↔ J. Linnet
Middelfart
🔄
65'
M. Salah ↔ M. Rasmussen
HB Koge
🔄
71'
A. Akale ↔ M. Boesen
Middelfart
🔄
71'
S. Pedersen ↔ N. Barholt
Middelfart
🔄
72'
J. Villemoes ↔ N. Juul-Sandberg
Middelfart
🔄
72'
A. Gothler ↔ E. Semovski
HB Koge
🔄
72'
C. Jensen Tue ↔ Mudi
HB Koge
🔄
72'
L. Bust ↔ R. Brodersen
HB Koge
🔄
79'
B. Zjajo ↔ M. Hansen
Middelfart
🔄
79'
T. Thomsen ↔ M. Sorensen
HB Koge
🟨
90+3'
R. Brodersen
HB Koge

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Middelfart Win 0%
Draw 0%
HB Koge Win 100%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middelfart1.22
HB Koge1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middelfart Middelfart
WWDLW
28 GF / 66 GA
HB Koge HB Koge
WLDWL
38 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1.31
2.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
17
BTTS Yes
18
20
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Middelfart Middelfart 29 matches
HB Koge HB Koge 29 matches
Middelfart Statistic HB Koge
3 Wins 10
6 Draws 7
20 Losses 12
28 Goals For 38
66 Goals Against 46
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
2.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
17 BTTS Yes 18
22 Over 1.5 25
20 Over 2.5 16
13 Over 3.5 10
2 Clean Sheets 5
11 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward HB Koge. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward HB Koge having the stronger overall control. HB Koge carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 37 points while Middelfart sit 6 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Middelfart have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Middelfart Analysis

Middelfart sit 6 with 15 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 20 losses, together with goals at 28:66, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through M. Boesen (6 goals), A. Akale (5 goals), J. Wielzen (5 goals), with creative support from S. Pedersen (3 assists), B. Zjajo (2 assists), J. Villemoes (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

HB Koge Analysis

HB Koge come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 37 points after 29 matches. The return of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 12 defeats, together with goals at 38:46, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Gothler (9 goals), C. Jensen Tue (6 goals), T. Thomsen (6 goals), with creative support from T. Thomsen (3 assists), G. Larsen (3 assists), S. Larsen (3 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which underlines a weak split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Middelfart won 1 times, HB Koge won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:9 from Middelfart's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (100%)
H2H summary: Middelfart wins 1, draws 1, HB Koge wins 2

Lineups

Middelfart
Formation
HB Koge
J. Hutters
J. Hutters
J. Wielzen
J. Wielzen
V. Hegelund
V. Hegelund
L. Thomsen
L. Thomsen
P. Matiebel
P. Matiebel
S. Pedersen
S. Pedersen
B. Zjajo
B. Zjajo
R. Koch
R. Koch
J. Villemoes
J. Villemoes
M. Praest
M. Praest
A. Akale
A. Akale
N. Sommergaard
N. Sommergaard
M. Romer
M. Romer
M. Jakobsen
M. Jakobsen
L. Bust
L. Bust
M. Salah
🎯
M. Salah
M. Jensen
M. Jensen
G. Larsen
G. Larsen
S. Hald
🎯
S. Hald
A. Gothler
🎯
A. Gothler
T. Thomsen
⚽ 2
T. Thomsen
C. Jensen Tue
C. Jensen Tue
Middelfart 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
16
J. Hutters
18
J. Wielzen
28
V. Hegelund
12
L. Thomsen
↓ 57'
2
P. Matiebel
25
S. Pedersen
↓ 71'
5
B. Zjajo
↓ 79'
20
R. Koch
11
J. Villemoes
↓ 72'
8
M. Praest
10
A. Akale
↓ 71'
Substitutes
1
C. Radza
9
M. Boesen
↑ 71'
24
S. Trier
7
J. Linnet
↑ 57'
21
E. Andersen
14
N. Barholt
↑ 71'
17
M. Greve
27
M. Hansen
↑ 79'
26
N. Juul-Sandberg
↑ 72'
HB Koge 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
29
N. Sommergaard
27
M. Romer
22
M. Jakobsen
2
L. Bust
↓ 72'
18
M. Salah
🎯 33' ↓ 65'
7
M. Jensen
28
G. Larsen
16
S. Hald
⚽ 24' 🎯 31'
20
A. Gothler
🎯 52' ↓ 72'
9
T. Thomsen
⚽ 33' ⚽ 52' ↓ 79'
10
C. Jensen Tue
⚽ 31' ↓ 72'
Substitutes
1
B. Bayrak
19
E. Semovski
↑ 72'
17
B. Alkhoudari
24
M. Rasmussen
↑ 65'
35
L. Achton
8
M. Sorensen
↑ 79'
11
Mudi
↑ 72'
6
R. Brodersen
↑ 72' 🟨 90+3'
23
M. Westergren
Last matches: Middelfart
30.05.26
1.
Middelfart
Hobro
2
3
L
23.05.26
1.
Middelfart
B 93
2
4
L
08.05.26
1.
Middelfart
Aalborg
3
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Middelfart
Aarhus Fremad
0
1
L
26.04.26
1.
Middelfart
B 93
1
2
L
22.04.26
1.
Middelfart
Aarhus Fremad
1
5
L
18.04.26
1.
Middelfart
Hobro
0
6
L
10.04.26
1.
Middelfart
HB Koge
0
2
L
04.04.26
1.
Middelfart
Aalborg
2
5
L
21.03.26
1.
Middelfart
Hobro
0
1
L
13.03.26
1.
Middelfart
Lyngby
1
4
L
07.03.26
1.
Middelfart
Hvidovre
1
2
L
28.02.26
1.
Middelfart
Aarhus Fremad
1
4
L
21.02.26
Fri
Middelfart
Kolding IF
1
4
L
13.02.26
Fri
Middelfart
Vysočina Jihlava
3
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Middelfart
Corvinul Hunedoara
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Middelfart
Esbjerg
2
1
W
25.01.26
Fri
Middelfart
Silkeborg
2
8
L
20.01.26
Fri
Middelfart
Næsby
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Middelfart
SfB-Oure
5
1
W
Last matches: HB Koge
30.05.26
1.
HB Koge
Aalborg
0
1
L
24.05.26
1.
HB Koge
Hobro
0
1
L
09.05.26
1.
HB Koge
Aarhus Fremad
0
0
D
01.05.26
1.
HB Koge
B 93
3
2
W
26.04.26
1.
HB Koge
Aalborg
1
1
D
22.04.26
1.
HB Koge
Hobro
2
1
W
17.04.26
1.
HB Koge
B 93
2
1
W
10.04.26
1.
HB Koge
Middelfart
2
0
W
06.04.26
1.
HB Koge
Aarhus Fremad
2
0
W
21.03.26
1.
HB Koge
Lyngby
3
3
D
13.03.26
1.
HB Koge
B 93
0
2
L
06.03.26
1.
HB Koge
Esbjerg
0
1
L
27.02.26
1.
HB Koge
Hobro
1
1
D
21.02.26
Fri
HB Koge
Ishøj
3
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
HB Koge
Kyzyl-Zhar
0
0
D
12.02.26
Fri
HB Koge
Obolon'-Brovar
3
3
D
10.02.26
Fri
HB Koge
Bunyodkor
4
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
HB Koge
Lyngby
2
4
L
24.01.26
Fri
HB Koge
AB Copenhagen
3
3
D
16.01.26
Fri
HB Koge
Naestved
1
1
D
H2H: Middelfart vs HB Koge
16.05.26
H2H
Middelfart
HB Koge
0
4
L
10.04.26
H2H
HB Koge
Middelfart
2
0
L
29.11.25
H2H
HB Koge
Middelfart
1
2
W
16.08.25
H2H
Middelfart
HB Koge
2
2
D
Last matches: Middelfart
23.05.26
1.
Middelfart
B 93
2
4
L
01.05.26
1.
Middelfart
Aarhus Fremad
0
1
L
18.04.26
1.
Middelfart
Hobro
0
6
L
04.04.26
1.
Middelfart
Aalborg
2
5
L
21.03.26
1.
Middelfart
Hobro
0
1
L
07.03.26
1.
Middelfart
Hvidovre
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Middelfart
Vysočina Jihlava
3
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Middelfart
Corvinul Hunedoara
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Middelfart
Esbjerg
2
1
W
20.01.26
Fri
Middelfart
Næsby
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Middelfart
SfB-Oure
5
1
W
22.11.25
1.
Middelfart
B 93
2
2
D
01.11.25
1.
Middelfart
Aalborg
1
2
L
18.10.25
1.
Middelfart
AC Horsens
0
3
L
04.10.25
1.
Middelfart
Hillerød
1
2
L
20.09.25
1.
Middelfart
Kolding IF
1
0
W
30.08.25
1.
Middelfart
Lyngby
2
2
D
23.08.25
1.
Middelfart
Aarhus Fremad
2
2
D
16.08.25
1.
Middelfart
HB Koge
2
2
D
02.08.25
1.
Middelfart
Esbjerg
0
1
L
H2H at home: Middelfart
16.05.26
H2H
Middelfart
HB Koge
0
4
L
16.08.25
H2H
Middelfart
HB Koge
2
2
D
Last matches: HB Koge
30.05.26
1.
HB Koge
Aalborg
0
1
L
09.05.26
1.
HB Koge
Aarhus Fremad
0
0
D
22.04.26
1.
HB Koge
Hobro
2
1
W
17.04.26
1.
HB Koge
B 93
2
1
W
13.03.26
1.
HB Koge
B 93
0
2
L
27.02.26
1.
HB Koge
Hobro
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
HB Koge
Kyzyl-Zhar
0
0
D
12.02.26
Fri
HB Koge
Obolon'-Brovar
3
3
D
10.02.26
Fri
HB Koge
Bunyodkor
4
2
W
16.01.26
Fri
HB Koge
Naestved
1
1
D
23.11.25
1.
HB Koge
Aarhus Fremad
2
2
D
31.10.25
1.
HB Koge
AC Horsens
3
2
W
23.10.25
1.
HB Koge
Hvidovre
1
3
L
02.10.25
1.
HB Koge
Aalborg
1
2
L
21.09.25
1.
HB Koge
Lyngby
0
4
L
01.09.25
1.
HB Koge
Esbjerg
2
3
L
23.08.25
1.
HB Koge
Hillerød
1
3
L
16.08.25
1.
HB Koge
Middelfart
2
2
D
01.08.25
1.
HB Koge
Kolding IF
1
3
L
H2H away: HB Koge
16.05.26
H2H
Middelfart
HB Koge
0
4
W
16.08.25
H2H
Middelfart
HB Koge
2
2
D

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 6 4 49:25 24 42
L L W W L
2 22 10 9 3 34:23 11 39
L L D L D
3 22 10 7 5 33:29 4 37
W L D L W
4 22 11 4 7 32:29 3 37
W W D W L
5 22 9 6 7 29:23 6 33
L W L L D
6 22 8 6 8 26:24 2 30
W W D W W
7 22 7 7 8 33:31 2 28
W L D L D
8 22 8 4 10 26:36 -10 28
D W D D L
9 22 6 9 7 32:27 5 27
D W W D W
10 22 6 7 9 22:31 -9 25
W W L D D
11 22 5 5 12 26:41 -15 20
L L W D W
12 22 2 6 14 21:44 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion round
Relegation Round