WORLD WORLD CUP
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Akron
Referee: Gustavo Tejera, Uruguay
Mexico
Match Timeline
South Korea
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Kang-in Lee
South Korea
50'
L. Romo
Mexico
🔄
57'
Lee Jae-Sung ↔ Hwang Hee-Chan
South Korea
🔄
57'
Son Heung-Min ↔ Oh Hyeon-Gyu
South Korea
🟨
58'
Seung Ho Paik
South Korea
🔄
71'
L. Romo ↔ O. Vargas
Mexico
🔄
71'
B. Gutierrez ↔ O. Pineda
Mexico
🔄
71'
Kim Moon-Hwan ↔ Eom Ji-Sung
South Korea
🔄
71'
Seol Young-Woo ↔ Yang Hyun-Jun
South Korea
🔄
77'
Paik Seung-Ho ↔ Cho Gue-Sung
South Korea
🔄
80'
R. Alvarado ↔ I. Reyes
Mexico
🔄
80'
R. Jimenez ↔ S. Gimenez
Mexico
🔄
84'
J. Quinones ↔ C. S. Huerta Valera
Mexico

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.6%
Odds 2.07
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 2.20
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.6%
2.07
BTTS Yes
58.2%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
2.20
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.55
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Mexico Win 82.6%
Draw 12%
South Korea Win 5.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mexico1.61
South Korea1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mexico Mexico
WWDLW
17 GF / 2 GA
South Korea South Korea
WLDWL
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.6
0.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
2
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
3
4.67
Shots on Goal
5.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mexico Mexico 9 matches
South Korea South Korea 5 matches
Mexico Statistic South Korea
7 Wins 3
2 Draws 0
0 Losses 2
17 Goals For 8
2 Goals Against 6
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
0.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
2 BTTS Yes 1
5 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
4.67 Shots On Goal 5.4
12.78 Total Shots 14
5.22 Corners 6
56.8% Ball Possession 60.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Mexico won 3 times, South Korea won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from Mexico's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Mexico 4-3-3 / South Korea 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Mexico wins 3, draws 1, South Korea wins 0
Stats
Mexico Mexico
South Korea South Korea
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
0 Corner Kicks 2
9 Fouls 7
3 Offsides 6
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
427 Total passes 578
349 Passes accurate 488
0.53 expected_goals 0.91
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Mexico
Formation
South Korea
R. Rangel
R. Rangel
J. Sanchez
J. Sanchez
E. Alvarez
E. Alvarez
J. Vasquez
J. Vasquez
J. Gallardo
J. Gallardo
B. Gutierrez
B. Gutierrez
E. Lira
E. Lira
L. Romo
L. Romo
R. Alvarado
R. Alvarado
R. Jimenez
R. Jimenez
J. Quinones
J. Quinones
Kim Seung-Gyu
Kim Seung-Gyu
Lee Han-Beom
Lee Han-Beom
Kim Min-Jae
Kim Min-Jae
Lee Gi-Hyuk
Lee Gi-Hyuk
Kim Moon-Hwan
Kim Moon-Hwan
Hwang In-Beom
Hwang In-Beom
Paik Seung-Ho
Paik Seung-Ho
Seol Young-Woo
Seol Young-Woo
Lee Kang-In
Lee Kang-In
Lee Jae-Sung
Lee Jae-Sung
Son Heung-Min
Son Heung-Min
Mexico 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
R. Rangel
G
2
J. Sanchez
D
4
E. Alvarez
D
5
J. Vasquez
D
23
J. Gallardo
D
26
B. Gutierrez
↓ 71'
M
6
E. Lira
M
7
L. Romo
⚽ 50' ↓ 71'
M
25
R. Alvarado
↓ 80'
F
9
R. Jimenez
↓ 80'
F
16
J. Quinones
↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
13
G. Ochoa
G
12
C. Acevedo
G
22
G. Martinez
F
24
L. Chavez
M
15
I. Reyes
↑ 80'
D
18
O. Vargas
↑ 71'
M
20
M. Chavez Garcia
D
17
O. Pineda
↑ 71'
M
8
A. Fidalgo
M
10
A. Vega
F
11
S. Gimenez
↑ 80'
F
21
C. S. Huerta Valera
↑ 84'
M
14
A. Gonzalez
F
19
G. Mora
M
South Korea 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Kim Seung-Gyu
G
2
Lee Han-Beom
D
4
Kim Min-Jae
D
3
Lee Gi-Hyuk
D
15
Kim Moon-Hwan
↓ 71'
M
6
Hwang In-Beom
M
8
Paik Seung-Ho
↓ 77' 🟨 58'
M
22
Seol Young-Woo
↓ 71'
M
19
Lee Kang-In
🟨 4'
F
10
Lee Jae-Sung
↓ 57'
F
7
Son Heung-Min
↓ 57'
F
Substitutes
21
Jo Hyeon-Woo
G
12
Song Bum-Keun
G
11
Hwang Hee-Chan
↑ 57'
F
24
Kim Jin-Gyu
M
16
Park Jin-Seob
M
26
Lee Dong-Gyeong
M
9
Cho Gue-Sung
↑ 77'
F
18
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
↑ 57'
F
25
Eom Ji-Sung
↑ 71'
F
23
J. Castrop
M
5
Kim Tae-Hyeon
D
13
Lee Tae-Seok
D
20
Yang Hyun-Jun
↑ 71'
F
17
Bae Jun-Ho
M
14
Cho Wi-Je
Last matches: Mexico
25.06.26
Wor
Mexico
Czechia
3
0
W
11.06.26
Wor
Mexico
South Africa
2
0
W
05.06.26
Fri
Mexico
Serbia
5
1
W
31.05.26
Fri
Mexico
Australia
1
0
W
23.05.26
Fri
Mexico
Ghana
2
0
W
01.04.26
Fri
Mexico
Belgium
1
1
D
29.03.26
Fri
Mexico
Portugal
0
0
D
26.02.26
Fri
Mexico
Iceland
4
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Mexico
Bolivia
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Mexico
Panama
1
0
W
Last matches: South Korea
25.06.26
Wor
South Korea
South Africa
0
1
L
12.06.26
Wor
South Korea
Czechia
2
1
W
04.06.26
Fri
South Korea
El Salvador
1
0
W
31.05.26
Fri
South Korea
Trinidad and Tobago
5
0
W
31.03.26
Fri
South Korea
Austria
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
South Korea
Ivory Coast
0
4
L
H2H: Mexico vs South Korea
19.06.26
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
1
0
W
10.09.25
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
2
2
D
14.11.20
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
3
2
W
23.06.18
H2H
South Korea
Mexico
1
2
W
Last matches: Mexico
11.06.26
Wor
Mexico
South Africa
2
0
W
05.06.26
Fri
Mexico
Serbia
5
1
W
31.05.26
Fri
Mexico
Australia
1
0
W
23.05.26
Fri
Mexico
Ghana
2
0
W
01.04.26
Fri
Mexico
Belgium
1
1
D
29.03.26
Fri
Mexico
Portugal
0
0
D
26.02.26
Fri
Mexico
Iceland
4
0
W
H2H at home: Mexico
19.06.26
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
1
0
W
10.09.25
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
2
2
D
14.11.20
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
3
2
W
Last matches: South Korea
25.06.26
Wor
South Korea
South Africa
0
1
L
31.03.26
Fri
South Korea
Austria
0
1
L
H2H away: South Korea
19.06.26
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
1
0
L
10.09.25
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
2
2
D
14.11.20
H2H
Mexico
South Korea
3
2
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.07
Draw 3.30
Away 4.21
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.81
Draw 2.18
Away 4.54
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.37
Under 1.5 3.21
Over 1.75 1.46
Under 1.75 2.81
Over 2.0 1.61
Under 2.0 2.43
Over 2.25 1.93
Under 2.25 1.98
Over 2.5 2.20
Under 2.5 1.72
Over 2.75 2.56
Under 2.75 1.54
Over 1.0 1.13
Under 1.0 6.28
Over 1.25 1.24
Under 1.25 4.27
Over 3.0 3.23
Under 3.0 1.36
Over 3.25 3.62
Under 3.25 1.30
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.10
Draw 3.20
Away 3.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.75
Draw 2.05
Away 4.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.38
Draw 2.30
Away 3.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.40
Under 1.5 3.00
Over 2.5 2.30
Under 2.5 1.62
Over 3.5 4.33
Under 3.5 1.22
Over 0.5 1.08
Under 0.5 8.00
Over 4.5 9.00
Under 4.5 1.07
Over 5.5 19.00
Under 5.5 1.02
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.12
Draw 3.32
Away 4.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.75
Draw 2.02
Away 4.72
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.40
Draw 2.42
Away 4.17
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.33
Under 1.5 2.98
Over 1.75 1.44
Under 1.75 2.64
Over 2.0 1.57
Under 2.0 2.29
Over 2.25 1.90
Under 2.25 1.96
Over 2.5 2.16
Under 2.5 1.74
Over 2.75 2.40
Under 2.75 1.52
Over 3.5 3.58
Under 3.5 1.24
Over 0.5 1.03
Under 0.5 7.40
Over 0.75 1.05
Under 0.75 6.95
Over 1.0 1.06
Under 1.0 6.30
Over 1.25 1.20
Under 1.25 3.92
Over 3.0 3.00
Under 3.0 1.35
Over 4.5 7.00
Under 4.5 1.04
Over 3.25 3.30
Under 3.25 1.28
Over 3.75 4.53
Under 3.75 1.14
Over 4.0 6.35
Under 4.0 1.06
Over 4.25 6.64
Under 4.25 1.05
Over 5.0 14.50
Under 5.0 1.02
Over 5.5 18.00
Under 5.5 1.02
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.07
Draw 3.20
Away 3.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.60
Draw 2.15
Away 4.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.40
Draw 2.48
Away 3.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.32
Under 1.5 3.30
Over 1.75 1.41
Under 1.75 2.90
Over 2.0 1.54
Under 2.0 2.48
Over 2.25 1.80
Under 2.25 2.00
Over 2.5 2.05
Under 2.5 1.74
Over 2.75 2.38
Under 2.75 1.58
Over 3.5 3.70
Under 3.5 1.26
Over 0.5 1.05
Under 0.5 9.50
Over 0.75 1.06
Under 0.75 8.00
Over 1.0 1.08
Under 1.0 7.00
Over 1.25 1.23
Under 1.25 4.00
Over 3.0 3.00
Under 3.0 1.38
Over 4.5 8.00
Under 4.5 1.07
Over 3.25 3.35
Under 3.25 1.32
Over 3.75 5.60
Under 3.75 1.13
Over 4.0 8.50
Under 4.0 1.06

Standings

Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 3:0 3 6
W W
2 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
L W
3 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
D L
4 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
D L
Round of 32