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FRANCE › LIGUE 2
05.09.2026 12:00
Stade Saint Symphorien
Referee: Jeremy Stinat, France
Metz
Match Timeline
Rodez
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
Pape Moussa Fall · Assist: Florian Miguel
Metz
🟨
24'
Jean Ruiz
Metz
⚽
35'
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou · Assist: Kenny Nagera
Rodez
⚽
39'
Jessy Deminguet · Assist: Teji Savanier
Metz
⚽
42'
Pape Moussa Fall
Metz
🔄
45'
Jean Ruiz ↔ Urie-Michel Mboula
Metz
🔄
45'
Florian Miguel ↔ Maxime Colin
Metz
⚽
58'
Pape Moussa Fall · Assist: Jessy Deminguet
Metz
🟨
62'
Giorgi Abuashvili
Metz
🔄
66'
Jessy Deminguet ↔ Nampalys Mendy
Metz
🔄
68'
Damjan Pavlović ↔ Mathis Saka
Rodez
🔄
68'
Octave Joly ↔ Antonin Cartillier
Rodez
🔄
74'
Giorgi Abuashvili ↔ Hamza Kadamani
Metz
🔄
74'
Mathis Touho ↔ Nachon Nsingi
Rodez
🔄
78'
Teji Savanier ↔ Abdoulaye Agne Ba
Metz
🔄
78'
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou ↔ Ryan Ponti
Rodez
🔄
78'
Kenny Nagera ↔ Kelian Nsona
Rodez

Metz vs Rodez Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds 2.08
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.81
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.3%
2.08 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.81 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
19.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Metz Win 57.3%
Draw 5%
Rodez Win 37.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Metz2.05
Rodez2.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Metz Metz
WWDLW
28 GF / 15 GA
Rodez Rodez
WLDWL
24 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.15
Average Goals Scored
2.67
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.89
11
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
7
4
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Metz Metz 13 matches
Rodez Rodez 9 matches
Metz Statistic Rodez
6 Wins 5
5 Draws 2
2 Losses 2
28 Goals For 24
15 Goals Against 17
2.15 Avg Goals Scored 2.67
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.89
11 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 5.5
13.5 Total Shots 13.75
5 Corners 6.5
48.5% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Metz won 2 times, Rodez won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:6 from Metz's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Metz 4-2-3-1 / Rodez 5-3-2
H2H summary: Metz wins 2, draws 2, Rodez wins 0

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 21:8 13 19
W D L W W
2 8 5 2 1 12:9 3 17
W W W W L
3 8 4 3 1 8:5 3 15
W D W L D
4 8 3 5 0 15:9 6 14
D D W D W
5 8 4 1 3 9:7 2 13
W W L L W
6 8 4 1 3 10:9 1 13
W L L W D
7 8 3 2 3 9:8 1 11
W W L D D
8 8 2 5 1 5:6 -1 11
D D W D D
9
Metz Home
7 2 4 1 10:7 3 10
D L W D D
10 7 2 3 2 10:10 0 9
W W D L D
11 8 2 2 4 10:13 -3 8
L L W D D
12 8 2 2 4 10:13 -3 8
L L W D L
13 8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
D W L W D
14 8 2 2 4 8:13 -5 8
L D W L W
15
Rodez Away
8 2 1 5 14:18 -4 7
L L L L D
16 8 0 6 2 4:6 -2 6
D L D D D
17 8 0 6 2 6:9 -3 6
L D D D D
18 8 1 2 5 10:17 -7 5
L D L L L
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3