Melbourne Victory
Match Timeline
Wellington Phoenix
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Melbourne Victory Win 0%
Draw 0%
Wellington Phoenix Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne Victory1.78
Wellington Phoenix1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne Victory
WWDLW
38 GF / 28 GA
Wellington Phoenix
WLDWL
33 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
12
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
16
6.05
Shots on Goal
5.05
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Melbourne Victory
22 matches
Wellington Phoenix
22 matches
| Melbourne Victory | Statistic | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 9 |
| 38 | Goals For | 33 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.86 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 6.05 | Shots On Goal | 5.05 |
| 17.91 | Total Shots | 12.86 |
| 6.18 | Corners | 5.09 |
| 51% | Ball Possession | 49.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne Victory won 8 times, Wellington Phoenix won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:15 from Melbourne Victory's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1 / Wellington Phoenix 4-4-2
Missing players: Melbourne Victory 2, Wellington Phoenix 2
H2H summary: Melbourne Victory wins 8, draws 3, Wellington Phoenix wins 4
Stats
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
7
7
Blocked Shots
4
4
Blocked Shots
4
4
Lineups
Melbourne Victory
Formation
Wellington Phoenix
J. Warshawsky
J. Rawlins
S. Esposito
Roderick
F. Lino
D. Genreau
J. Valadon
K. Jelacic
J. Mata
N. Velupillay
N. Vergos
J. Oluwayemi
M. Sheridan
B. Tuiloma
I. Hughes
D. Edwards
R. Najjarine
A. Rufer
P. Retre
K. Nagasawa
C. Piper
I. Eze
Melbourne Victory
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
40
J. Warshawsky
G
22
J. Rawlins
D
15
S. Esposito
D
↓ 22'
21
Roderick
D
18
F. Lino
D
10
D. Genreau
M
↓ 68'
🟨 34'
8
J. Valadon
M
23
K. Jelacic
M
↓ 68'
64
J. Mata
M
↓ 88'
17
N. Velupillay
M
↓ 68'
🟨 54'
9
N. Vergos
F
↓ 46'
Substitutes
25
J. Duncan
G
2
J. Davidson
D
↑ 22'
27
L. D'Arrigo
M
↑ 68'
14
M. Grimaldi
F
↑ 68'
7
R. Piscopo
F
↑ 68'
11
Clarismario
F
↑ 88'
44
C. Nduka
F
↑ 46'
Wellington Phoenix
4-4-2
Starting XI
1
J. Oluwayemi
G
27
M. Sheridan
D
28
B. Tuiloma
D
15
I. Hughes
D
12
D. Edwards
D
↓ 61'
20
R. Najjarine
M
↓ 73'
14
A. Rufer
M
🟨 76'
8
P. Retre
M
↓ 83'
25
K. Nagasawa
M
↓ 84'
3
C. Piper
F
↓ 84'
7
I. Eze
F
🎯 89'
↓ 90+1'
Substitutes
30
A. Kelly-Heald
16
S. Kartum
M
⚽ 89'
↑ 73'
4
M. James
D
↑ 90+1'
5
F. Conchie
M
↑ 83'
29
L. Brooke-Smith
F
↑ 84'
11
C. Armiento
F
↑ 84'
18
L. Kelly-Heald
D
↑ 61'
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
25.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
W
17.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
11.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
2
2
D
21.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
07.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
2
D
27.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
21.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
3
1
W
14.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
06.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
2
W
01.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
17.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
2
L
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
29.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
20.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
1
0
W
13.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
05.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
0
0
D
Last matches: Wellington Phoenix
24.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
0
4
L
18.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
0
2
L
21.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
14.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
2
0
W
06.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
1
D
01.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
0
1
L
21.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
0
5
L
13.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
06.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
L
30.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
2
2
D
23.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
4
L
18.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
2
0
W
11.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
2
D
03.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
3
0
W
29.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
5
L
21.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
3
1
W
14.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
3
L
06.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
1
3
L
29.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
1
W
H2H: Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
05.04.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
06.02.26
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
W
29.12.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
12.04.25
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
W
14.02.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
0
W
24.11.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
L
18.05.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
2
W
12.05.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
0
D
12.04.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
L
19.01.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
10.11.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
01.04.23
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
2
W
03.02.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
W
29.04.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
W
09.02.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
L
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
17.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
21.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
27.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
14.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
29.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
13.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
08.11.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
0
2
L
18.10.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
0
0
D
H2H at home: Melbourne Victory
05.04.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
29.12.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
14.02.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
0
W
12.05.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
0
D
10.11.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
03.02.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
W
29.04.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
W
Last matches: Wellington Phoenix
24.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
0
4
L
12.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
0
2
L
21.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
06.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
1
D
13.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
23.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
4
L
18.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
2
0
W
03.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
3
0
W
29.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
5
L
06.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
1
3
L
02.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
1
1
D
18.10.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
2
2
D
H2H away: Wellington Phoenix
05.04.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
W
29.12.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
L
14.02.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
0
L
12.05.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
0
D
10.11.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
03.02.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
L
29.04.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
L
Standings
A-League: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 16 | 48 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 42 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 |
Melbourne Victory
Home
|
26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 8 | 39 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Wellington Phoenix
Away
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Missing Players
Melbourne Victory
2 missing
-
B. Hamill
OUT
Missing Fixture
Knee Injury
-
J. Reec
OUT
Missing Fixture
Injury
Wellington Phoenix
2 missing
-
S. Singh
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive
-
N. Walker
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive