AUSTRALIA A-LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
AAMI Park
Referee: N. Shakespear
Melbourne Victory
Match Timeline
Wellington Phoenix
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
22'
S. Esposito ↔ J. Davidson
Melbourne Victory
🟨
34'
Denis Genreau
Melbourne Victory
🔄
46'
N. Vergos ↔ C. Nduka
Melbourne Victory
🟨
54'
Nishan Velupillay
Melbourne Victory
🔄
61'
D. Edwards ↔ L. Kelly-Heald
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
68'
D. Genreau ↔ L. D'Arrigo
Melbourne Victory
🔄
68'
N. Velupillay ↔ M. Grimaldi
Melbourne Victory
🔄
68'
K. Jelacic ↔ R. Piscopo
Melbourne Victory
🔄
73'
R. Najjarine ↔ S. Kartum
Wellington Phoenix
🟨
76'
Alex Rufer
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
83'
P. Retre ↔ F. Conchie
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
84'
C. Piper ↔ L. Brooke-Smith
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
84'
K. Nagasawa ↔ C. Armiento
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
88'
J. Mata ↔ Clarismario
Melbourne Victory
89'
S. Kartum · Assist: I. Eze
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
90+1'
I. Eze ↔ M. James
Wellington Phoenix

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Melbourne Victory Win 0%
Draw 0%
Wellington Phoenix Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne Victory1.78
Wellington Phoenix1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
WWDLW
38 GF / 28 GA
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
WLDWL
33 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
12
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
16
6.05
Shots on Goal
5.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 22 matches
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 22 matches
Melbourne Victory Statistic Wellington Phoenix
10 Wins 7
5 Draws 6
7 Losses 9
38 Goals For 33
28 Goals Against 41
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
12 BTTS Yes 16
16 Over 1.5 20
12 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 3
6.05 Shots On Goal 5.05
17.91 Total Shots 12.86
6.18 Corners 5.09
51% Ball Possession 49.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne Victory won 8 times, Wellington Phoenix won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:15 from Melbourne Victory's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1 / Wellington Phoenix 4-4-2
Missing players: Melbourne Victory 2, Wellington Phoenix 2
H2H summary: Melbourne Victory wins 8, draws 3, Wellington Phoenix wins 4
Stats
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
4
7 Corner Kicks 8
14 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 3
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 7
4 Blocked Shots 4
3 Shots insidebox 10
7 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
412 Total passes 423
317 Passes accurate 333
0.25 expected_goals 1.52
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Melbourne Victory
Formation
Wellington Phoenix
J. Warshawsky
J. Warshawsky
J. Rawlins
J. Rawlins
S. Esposito
S. Esposito
Roderick
Roderick
F. Lino
F. Lino
D. Genreau
D. Genreau
J. Valadon
J. Valadon
K. Jelacic
K. Jelacic
J. Mata
J. Mata
N. Velupillay
N. Velupillay
N. Vergos
N. Vergos
J. Oluwayemi
J. Oluwayemi
M. Sheridan
M. Sheridan
B. Tuiloma
B. Tuiloma
I. Hughes
I. Hughes
D. Edwards
D. Edwards
R. Najjarine
R. Najjarine
A. Rufer
A. Rufer
P. Retre
P. Retre
K. Nagasawa
K. Nagasawa
C. Piper
C. Piper
I. Eze
🎯
I. Eze
Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
40
J. Warshawsky
G
22
J. Rawlins
D
15
S. Esposito
↓ 22'
D
21
Roderick
D
18
F. Lino
D
10
D. Genreau
↓ 68' 🟨 34'
M
8
J. Valadon
M
23
K. Jelacic
↓ 68'
M
64
J. Mata
↓ 88'
M
17
N. Velupillay
↓ 68' 🟨 54'
M
9
N. Vergos
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
25
J. Duncan
G
2
J. Davidson
↑ 22'
D
27
L. D'Arrigo
↑ 68'
M
14
M. Grimaldi
↑ 68'
F
7
R. Piscopo
↑ 68'
F
11
Clarismario
↑ 88'
F
44
C. Nduka
↑ 46'
F
Wellington Phoenix 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
J. Oluwayemi
G
27
M. Sheridan
D
28
B. Tuiloma
D
15
I. Hughes
D
12
D. Edwards
↓ 61'
D
20
R. Najjarine
↓ 73'
M
14
A. Rufer
🟨 76'
M
8
P. Retre
↓ 83'
M
25
K. Nagasawa
↓ 84'
M
3
C. Piper
↓ 84'
F
7
I. Eze
🎯 89' ↓ 90+1'
F
Substitutes
30
A. Kelly-Heald
16
S. Kartum
⚽ 89' ↑ 73'
M
4
M. James
↑ 90+1'
D
5
F. Conchie
↑ 83'
M
29
L. Brooke-Smith
↑ 84'
F
11
C. Armiento
↑ 84'
F
18
L. Kelly-Heald
↑ 61'
D
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
25.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
W
17.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
11.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
2
2
D
21.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
07.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
2
D
27.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
21.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
3
1
W
14.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
06.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
2
W
01.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
17.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
2
L
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
29.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
20.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
1
0
W
13.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
05.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
0
0
D
Last matches: Wellington Phoenix
24.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
0
4
L
18.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
0
2
L
21.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
14.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
2
0
W
06.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
1
D
01.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
0
1
L
21.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
0
5
L
13.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
06.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
L
30.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
2
2
D
23.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
4
L
18.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
2
0
W
11.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
2
D
03.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
3
0
W
29.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
5
L
21.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
3
1
W
14.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
3
L
06.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
1
3
L
29.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
1
W
H2H: Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
05.04.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
06.02.26
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
W
29.12.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
12.04.25
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
W
14.02.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
0
W
24.11.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
L
18.05.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
2
W
12.05.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
0
D
12.04.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
L
19.01.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
10.11.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
01.04.23
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
2
W
03.02.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
W
29.04.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
W
09.02.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
L
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
17.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
21.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
27.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
14.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
29.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
13.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
08.11.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
0
2
L
18.10.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
0
0
D
H2H at home: Melbourne Victory
05.04.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
29.12.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
14.02.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
0
W
12.05.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
0
D
10.11.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
03.02.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
W
29.04.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
W
Last matches: Wellington Phoenix
24.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
0
4
L
12.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
0
2
L
21.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
06.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
1
D
13.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
23.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
4
L
18.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
2
0
W
03.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
3
0
W
29.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
5
L
06.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
1
3
L
02.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
1
1
D
18.10.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
2
2
D
H2H away: Wellington Phoenix
05.04.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
W
29.12.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
L
14.02.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
0
L
12.05.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
0
D
10.11.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
03.02.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
L
29.04.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
L

Standings

A-League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 3 8 55:39 16 48
W D D L W
2 26 12 7 7 46:36 10 43
W W D D W
3 26 11 9 6 42:29 13 42
D L D D L
4 26 11 7 8 44:33 11 40
W D D L W
5 26 11 6 9 33:25 8 39
D D W D L
6 26 10 8 8 33:33 0 38
L W W W W
7 26 9 7 10 37:44 -7 34
W L L W W
8 26 9 6 11 36:48 -12 33
L W L W W
9 26 8 8 10 35:42 -7 32
L W D L D
10 26 8 7 11 32:39 -7 31
W D W D D
11 26 6 8 12 27:36 -9 26
L L D D L
12 26 5 6 15 27:43 -16 21
L L L L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)

Missing Players

Melbourne Victory 2 missing
-
B. Hamill
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Reec
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Wellington Phoenix 2 missing
-
S. Singh
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
N. Walker
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT