Melbourne City
Match Timeline
Adelaide United
Melbourne City vs Adelaide United Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
88.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
76.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
54.5%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Melbourne City Win 42%
Draw 11.2%
Adelaide United Win 46.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne City1.33
Adelaide United1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne City
WWDLW
32 GF / 31 GA
Adelaide United
WLDWL
44 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
12
BTTS Yes
20
11
Over 2.5
16
4.32
Shots on Goal
5.72
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Melbourne City
25 matches
Adelaide United
25 matches
| Melbourne City | Statistic | Adelaide United |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 11 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 32 | Goals For | 44 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.32 | Shots On Goal | 5.72 |
| 13.12 | Total Shots | 14.44 |
| 5.76 | Corners | 5.6 |
| 55.5% | Ball Possession | 52.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne City won 3 times, Adelaide United won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:30 from Melbourne City's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
Predicted formations: Melbourne City 4-1-4-1 / Adelaide United 4-3-3
Missing players: Melbourne City 3, Adelaide United 2
H2H summary: Melbourne City wins 3, draws 5, Adelaide United wins 7
Standings
A-League: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 16 | 48 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Adelaide United
Away
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 3 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 42 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 8 | 39 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 |
Melbourne City
Home
|
26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)