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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
06.09.2026 18:45
CEPAC Vélodrome
Referee: Clement Turpin, France
Marseille
Match Timeline
Paris FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
L. Sinayoko · Assist: L. Koleosho
Paris FC
⚽
8'
A. Gouiri
Marseille
⚽
19'
L. Sinayoko · Assist: P. Pagis
Paris FC
⚽
53'
A. Gouiri · Assist: A. Harit
Marseille
🔄
64'
P. Pagis ↔ R. Matondo
Paris FC
🟨
65'
Rudy Matondo
Paris FC
🔄
72'
I. Paixao ↔ T. Mmadi
Marseille
🔄
73'
N. Aguerd ↔ D. Cornelius
Marseille
🔄
73'
A. Gomes ↔ K. Abdallah
Marseille
🔄
77'
I. Kebbal ↔ P. Zabi
Paris FC
🔄
77'
L. Koleosho ↔ M. Simon
Paris FC
VAR
83'
Moses Simon
Paris FC
⚽
86'
L. Sinayoko
Paris FC
🟨
87'
Lassine Sinayoko
Paris FC
🔄
90+1'
Emerson ↔ U. Garcia
Marseille
🔄
90+1'
H. Abdelli ↔ F. Moumbagna
Marseille
🔄
90+1'
M. Lopez ↔ M. Mbow
Paris FC
🔄
90+1'
L. Sinayoko ↔ O. Sissoko
Paris FC

Marseille vs Paris FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.6%
Odds 1.93
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.80
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.6%
1.93 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.80 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
79.5%
1.27 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 74.6%
Draw 5.6%
Paris FC Win 19.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.63
Paris FC1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
10 GF / 9 GA
Paris FC Paris FC
WLDWL
10 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
3
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
5
5
Shots on Goal
2.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 6 matches
Paris FC Paris FC 7 matches
Marseille Statistic Paris FC
3 Wins 2
0 Draws 3
3 Losses 2
10 Goals For 10
9 Goals Against 11
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
3 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
5 Shots On Goal 2.5
13.5 Total Shots 12.5
5 Corners 2
65.5% Ball Possession 51.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 1 times, Paris FC won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Marseille's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 5.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Marseille 4-1-4-1 / Paris FC 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Marseille 2, Paris FC 4
H2H summary: Marseille wins 1, draws 1, Paris FC wins 0

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
2 6 3 2 1 11:4 7 11
L W D W D
3 5 3 2 0 8:3 5 11
W D W W D
4 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
L W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
6 5 2 2 1 8:7 1 8
W W L D D
7 6 2 1 3 11:10 1 7
W L D L L
8 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D L W L
9 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
10 5 1 3 1 9:9 0 6
W D D L D
11 5 2 0 3 7:12 -5 6
W W L L L
12 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
L L W D D
13 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
L D W L D
14 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
W D L D L
15 5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
W L D L D
16 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
17 5 1 0 4 7:8 -1 3
L L L L W
18 5 0 2 3 4:7 -3 2
L D L D L
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Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
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Relegation