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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Marseille
FT
1 - 1
Nice
Orange Vélodrome
Referee: W. Delajod
Marseille
Match Timeline
Nice
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Emerson
Marseille
🟨
44'
Facundo Medina
Marseille
🟨
44'
Elye Wahi
Nice
🔄
46'
M. Sanson ↔ S. Diop
Nice
🔄
62'
Emerson ↔ T. Mmadi
Marseille
🔄
63'
A. Vermeeren ↔ M. Greenwood
Marseille
⚽
66'
P. Hojbjerg · Assist: T. Nnadi
Marseille
🔄
67'
M. Cho ↔ K. Boudache
Nice
🔄
80'
T. Nnadi ↔ N. Kamissoko
Marseille
🔄
81'
Q. Timber ↔ H. Abdelli
Marseille
🔄
81'
M. Bard ↔ A. Abdi
Nice
🔄
81'
S. Abdul Samed ↔ Kevin
Nice
🟨
86'
Timothy Weah
Marseille
🟨
87'
Geronimo Rulli
Marseille
⚽
88'
E. Wahi
Nice
🔄
90+1'
E. Wahi ↔ C. Vanhoutte
Nice

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
64%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.6%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 62.6%
Draw 7.8%
Nice Win 29.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.98
Nice1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
89 GF / 56 GA
Nice Nice
WLDWL
49 GF / 79 GA
Key Stats
2.12
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
20
BTTS Yes
25
30
Over 2.5
24
5.71
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 42 matches
Nice Nice 45 matches
Marseille Statistic Nice
22 Wins 11
5 Draws 10
15 Losses 24
89 Goals For 49
56 Goals Against 79
2.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
20 BTTS Yes 25
33 Over 1.5 35
30 Over 2.5 24
18 Over 3.5 17
12 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 16
5.71 Shots On Goal 3.67
14.57 Total Shots 11.36
5.29 Corners 5.36
57.5% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 6 times, Nice won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:22 from Marseille's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.21 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.2%)
Predicted formations: Marseille 3-5-1-1 / Nice 5-4-1
Missing players: Marseille 6, Nice 5
H2H summary: Marseille wins 6, draws 3, Nice wins 5
Stats
Marseille Marseille
Nice Nice
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
7 Corner Kicks 1
14 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 2
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Goal 2
12 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 1
18 Shots insidebox 4
6 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
655 Total passes 302
573 Passes accurate 220
2.32 expected_goals 1.46
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Marseille
Formation
Nice
G. Rulli
G. Rulli
B. Pavard
B. Pavard
L. Balerdi
L. Balerdi
F. Medina
F. Medina
T. Weah
T. Weah
T. Nnadi
🎯 ↓
T. Nnadi
P. Hojbjerg
⚽
P. Hojbjerg
A. Vermeeren
↓
A. Vermeeren
Emerson
↓
Emerson
Q. Timber
↓
Q. Timber
P. Aubameyang
P. Aubameyang
Y. Diouf
Y. Diouf
J. Clauss
J. Clauss
A. Mendy
A. Mendy
J. Bah
J. Bah
K. Peprah
K. Peprah
M. Bard
↓
M. Bard
M. Cho
↓
M. Cho
H. Boudaoui
H. Boudaoui
S. Abdul Samed
↓
S. Abdul Samed
M. Sanson
↓
M. Sanson
E. Wahi
⚽ ↓
E. Wahi
Marseille 3-5-1-1
Starting XI
1
G. Rulli
🟨 87'
G
28
B. Pavard
D
5
L. Balerdi
D
32
F. Medina
🟨 44'
D
22
T. Weah
🟨 86'
M
6
T. Nnadi
🎯 66' ↓ 80'
M
23
P. Hojbjerg
⚽ 66'
M
18
A. Vermeeren
↓ 63'
M
33
Emerson
↓ 62' 🟨 29'
M
27
Q. Timber
↓ 81'
F
17
P. Aubameyang
F
Substitutes
12
J. De Lange
G
10
M. Greenwood
↑ 63'
F
8
H. Abdelli
↑ 81'
M
11
E. Nwaneri
M
72
H. Hamzaoui
D
78
E. Lago
F
76
T. Mmadi
↑ 62'
M
71
N. Kamissoko
↑ 80'
M
70
U. Lamare El Kadmiri
F
Nice 5-4-1
Starting XI
80
Y. Diouf
G
92
J. Clauss
D
33
A. Mendy
D
28
J. Bah
D
37
K. Peprah
D
26
M. Bard
↓ 81'
D
25
M. Cho
↓ 67'
M
6
H. Boudaoui
M
99
S. Abdul Samed
↓ 81'
M
8
M. Sanson
↓ 46'
M
11
E. Wahi
⚽ 88' ↓ 90+1' 🟨 44'
F
Substitutes
31
M. Dupe
G
4
Dante
D
2
A. Abdi
↑ 81'
D
10
S. Diop
↑ 46'
M
24
C. Vanhoutte
↑ 90+1'
M
32
K. Boudache
↑ 67'
F
90
Kevin
↑ 81'
F
20
T. Louchet
M
39
D. Coulibaly
M
Last matches: Marseille
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris FC
2
2
D
28.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Club Brugge KV
0
3
L
24.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Lens
3
1
W
21.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Liverpool
0
3
L
17.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Angers
5
2
W
Last matches: Nice
29.05.26
Lig
Nice
Saint Etienne
4
1
W
26.05.26
Lig
Nice
Saint Etienne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Cou
Nice
Lens
1
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Nice
Metz
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Nice
Auxerre
1
2
L
02.05.26
Lig
Nice
Lens
1
1
D
22.04.26
Cou
Nice
Strasbourg
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Nice
Lille
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Nice
Le Havre
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Nice
Strasbourg
1
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Nice
Paris Saint Germain
0
4
L
14.03.26
Lig
Nice
Angers
2
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Nice
Rennes
0
4
L
04.03.26
Cou
Nice
Lorient
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Nice
Paris FC
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Nice
Lorient
3
3
D
15.02.26
Lig
Nice
Lyon
0
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Nice
Monaco
0
0
D
04.02.26
Cou
Nice
Montpellier
3
2
W
01.02.26
Lig
Nice
Stade Brestois 29
2
2
D
H2H: Marseille vs Nice
26.04.26
H2H
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
21.11.25
H2H
Nice
Marseille
1
5
W
26.01.25
H2H
Nice
Marseille
2
0
L
14.09.24
H2H
Marseille
Nice
2
0
W
24.04.24
H2H
Marseille
Nice
2
2
D
21.10.23
H2H
Nice
Marseille
1
0
L
05.02.23
H2H
Marseille
Nice
1
3
L
28.08.22
H2H
Nice
Marseille
0
3
W
20.03.22
H2H
Marseille
Nice
2
1
W
09.02.22
H2H
Nice
Marseille
4
1
L
27.10.21
H2H
Nice
Marseille
1
1
D
20.03.21
H2H
Nice
Marseille
3
0
L
17.02.21
H2H
Marseille
Nice
3
2
W
26.04.20
H2H
Marseille
Nice
0
0
D
28.08.19
H2H
Nice
Marseille
1
2
W
Last matches: Marseille
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
24.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Lens
3
1
W
21.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Liverpool
0
3
L
04.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
2
L
14.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
25.11.25
UEF
Marseille
Newcastle
2
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
3
0
W
05.11.25
UEF
Marseille
Atalanta
0
1
L
29.10.25
Lig
Marseille
Angers
2
2
D
18.10.25
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
6
2
W
30.09.25
UEF
Marseille
Ajax
4
0
W
22.09.25
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
1
0
W
H2H at home: Marseille
26.04.26
H2H
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
14.09.24
H2H
Marseille
Nice
2
0
W
24.04.24
H2H
Marseille
Nice
2
2
D
05.02.23
H2H
Marseille
Nice
1
3
L
20.03.22
H2H
Marseille
Nice
2
1
W
17.02.21
H2H
Marseille
Nice
3
2
W
26.04.20
H2H
Marseille
Nice
0
0
D
Last matches: Nice
26.05.26
Lig
Nice
Saint Etienne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Cou
Nice
Lens
1
3
L
10.05.26
Lig
Nice
Auxerre
1
2
L
22.04.26
Cou
Nice
Strasbourg
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Nice
Lille
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Nice
Strasbourg
1
3
L
14.03.26
Lig
Nice
Angers
2
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Nice
Lorient
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Nice
Paris FC
0
1
L
15.02.26
Lig
Nice
Lyon
0
2
L
29.01.26
UEF
Nice
Ludogorets
0
1
L
25.01.26
Lig
Nice
Nantes
4
1
W
17.01.26
Lig
Nice
Toulouse
1
5
L
11.01.26
Cou
Nice
Nantes
1
1
D
14.12.25
Lig
Nice
Lens
0
2
L
30.11.25
Lig
Nice
Lorient
1
3
L
27.11.25
UEF
Nice
FC Porto
0
3
L
09.11.25
Lig
Nice
Metz
1
2
L
01.11.25
Lig
Nice
Paris Saint Germain
0
1
L
26.10.25
Lig
Nice
Rennes
2
1
W
H2H away: Nice
26.04.26
H2H
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
14.09.24
H2H
Marseille
Nice
2
0
L
24.04.24
H2H
Marseille
Nice
2
2
D
05.02.23
H2H
Marseille
Nice
1
3
W
20.03.22
H2H
Marseille
Nice
2
1
L
17.02.21
H2H
Marseille
Nice
3
2
L
26.04.20
H2H
Marseille
Nice
0
0
D

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Paris Saint Germain
34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2
Lens
34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3
Lille
34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4
Lyon
34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5
Marseille Home
34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6
Rennes
34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7
Monaco
34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8
Strasbourg
34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9
Lorient
34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10
Toulouse
33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11
Paris FC
34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12
Stade Brestois 29
34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13
Angers
34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14
Le Havre
34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15
Auxerre
34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16
Nice Away
34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17
Nantes
33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18
Metz
34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Marseille 6 missing
-
N. Aguerd
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
G. Kondogbia
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
C. Egan-Riley
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
A. Gouiri
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
B. Nadir
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
I. Paixao
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Nice 5 missing
-
M. Bombito
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
Y. Ndayishimiye
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
E. Pereira
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
M. Abdelmonem
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
Dante
Questionable Injury
OUT