Marseille
Match Timeline
Nice
Marseille vs Nice Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
64%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
67.6%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 62.6%
Draw 7.8%
Nice Win 29.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.98
Nice1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille
WWDLW
89 GF / 56 GA
Nice
WLDWL
49 GF / 79 GA
Key Stats
2.12
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
20
BTTS Yes
25
30
Over 2.5
24
5.71
Shots on Goal
3.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Marseille
42 matches
Nice
45 matches
| Marseille | Statistic | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 11 |
| 5 | Draws | 10 |
| 15 | Losses | 24 |
| 89 | Goals For | 49 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 79 |
| 2.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 30 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 18 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 16 |
| 5.71 | Shots On Goal | 3.67 |
| 14.57 | Total Shots | 11.36 |
| 5.29 | Corners | 5.36 |
| 57.5% | Ball Possession | 46.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 5 times, Nice won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Marseille's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.21 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.2%)
Predicted formations: Marseille 3-5-1-1 / Nice 5-4-1
Missing players: Marseille 6, Nice 5
H2H summary: Marseille wins 5, draws 3, Nice wins 6
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Marseille
Home
|
34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 |
Nice
Away
|
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
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