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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
05.12.2026 16:00
Orange Vélodrome

Marseille vs Nice Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nice Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.2
Nice1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
16 GF / 19 GA
Nice Nice
WLDWL
12 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
6
BTTS Yes
3
8
Over 2.5
5
4.14
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 11 matches
Nice Nice 11 matches
Marseille Statistic Nice
4 Wins 4
0 Draws 4
7 Losses 3
16 Goals For 12
19 Goals Against 9
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
6 BTTS Yes 3
10 Over 1.5 7
8 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 6
4.14 Shots On Goal 3.5
12.14 Total Shots 11.83
4.14 Corners 5.17
55.9% Ball Possession 55%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 5 times, Nice won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Marseille's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.21 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Marseille 4-2-3-1 / Nice 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 5, draws 3, Nice wins 6

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 2 0 10:5 5 14
D W D W W
2 6 4 1 1 9:4 5 13
W L W W D
3 6 4 1 1 12:10 2 13
W L W W W
4 6 3 2 1 11:4 7 11
L W D W D
5 6 3 2 1 8:4 4 11
L W D W W
6 6 3 2 1 11:8 3 11
W W W L D
7 6 2 2 2 12:9 3 8
W L L W D
8 6 2 2 2 6:6 0 8
W L D W L
9
Nice Away
6 2 2 2 5:7 -2 8
W W L D L
10 6 2 1 3 11:10 1 7
W L D L L
11 6 2 1 3 11:12 -1 7
L L D W W
12 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
L W D L W
13 6 2 0 4 9:8 1 6
W L L L L
14 6 1 3 2 10:12 -2 6
L W D D L
15 6 1 3 2 9:11 -2 6
D W D L D
16 6 2 0 4 8:16 -8 6
L W W L L
17 6 1 1 4 4:13 -9 4
L L L L W
18 6 0 2 4 4:8 -4 2
L L D L D
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Relegation