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09.08.2026 15:30
Marseille
Match Timeline
Athletic Club
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
A. Gomes
Marseille
🟨
17'
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
⚽
34'
O. Sancet
Athletic Club
🟨
37'
Marseille
Marseille
⚽
40'
I. Paixao
Marseille
🟨
42'
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
🔄
46'
A. Gouiri ↔ N. Maupay
Marseille
🔄
46'
H. Abdelli ↔ T. Nnadi
Marseille
🔄
46'
D. Cornelius ↔ G. Kondogbia
Marseille
🟨
55'
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
🔄
63'
H. Rincon ↔ J. Areso
Athletic Club
🔄
63'
M. Jauregizar ↔ I. Ruiz de Galarreta
Athletic Club
🔄
64'
T. Weah ↔ K. Bezahaf
Marseille
🔄
64'
L. Balerdi ↔ Q. Timber
Marseille
🔄
64'
I. Williams ↔ A. Berenguer
Athletic Club
🔄
64'
G. Guruzeta ↔ M. Sannadi
Athletic Club
🔄
64'
Y. Berchiche ↔ J. Louis-Jean
Athletic Club
🔄
69'
I. Paixao ↔ T. Mmadi
Marseille
🔄
70'
A. Gomes ↔ U. Garcia
Marseille
🔄
70'
A. Harit ↔ A. Koum Mbondo
Marseille
🔄
70'
Emerson ↔ K. Abdallah
Marseille
🔄
77'
O. Sancet ↔ B. Gerenabarrena
Athletic Club
🔄
77'
Y. Alvarez ↔ A. Rego
Athletic Club
🔄
77'
R. Navarro ↔ A. Djalo
Athletic Club
🔄
82'
P. Hojbjerg ↔ M. Baradji
Marseille
🔄
86'
P. Canales ↔ S. Sanchez
Athletic Club
⚽
86'
T. Mmadi
Marseille

Marseille vs Athletic Club Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 33.8%
Draw 3.1%
Athletic Club Win 63%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille0.73
Athletic Club3.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
2 GF / 4 GA
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WLDWL
24 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
4
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.33
1
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 2 matches
Athletic Club Athletic Club 6 matches
Marseille Statistic Athletic Club
1 Wins 5
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 0
2 Goals For 24
4 Goals Against 2
1 Avg Goals Scored 4
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.33
1 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 6
2 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 3 times, Athletic Club won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Marseille's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.9%)
Predicted formations: Marseille 4-1-4-1 / Athletic Club 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 3, draws 1, Athletic Club wins 1