Mariehamn vs Ilves Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Mariehamn
Ilves
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mariehamn
29 matches
Ilves
36 matches
| Mariehamn | Statistic | Ilves |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 16 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 17 | Losses | 14 |
| 25 | Goals For | 63 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 1.48 | Shots On Goal | 2.34 |
| 4.72 | Total Shots | 5 |
| 2.32 | Corners | 1.69 |
| 24.7% | Ball Possession | 22.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ilves. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mariehamn expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Ilves in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ilves having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Mariehamn sit 12 with 14 points after 22 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 17:43 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Arvid Bergvik (2 goals), A. Stroud (1 goals), A. Huttunen (1 goals), with creative support from A. Stroud (1 assists), Y. Amankwah (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 22 matches, Ilves have collected 25 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, while the 34:37 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Hytönen (3 goals), E. Tamminen (2 goals), M. Stjopin (2 goals), with creative support from E. Tamminen (2 assists), M. Stjopin (1 assists), O. Multala (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38:23 | 15 | 43 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 42 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 37 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36:29 | 7 | 36 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29:22 | 7 | 33 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 |
Ilves
Away
|
22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 25 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 10 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 19 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18:44 | -26 | 15 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Mariehamn
Home
|
22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17:43 | -26 | 14 |
L
W
L
W
W
|