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ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
11.10.2026 20:00
Estadio Jocay

Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Manta FC Win 58.9%
Draw 8%
Tecnico Universitario Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manta FC0.92
Tecnico Universitario1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manta FC Manta FC
WWDLW
19 GF / 43 GA
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
WLDWL
29 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
0.61
Average Goals Scored
0.91
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
10
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
14
2.94
Shots on Goal
3.77

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manta FC Manta FC 31 matches
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 32 matches
Manta FC Statistic Tecnico Universitario
6 Wins 10
6 Draws 3
19 Losses 19
19 Goals For 29
43 Goals Against 44
0.61 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
10 BTTS Yes 13
16 Over 1.5 20
9 Over 2.5 14
4 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 6
18 Failed To Score 13
2.94 Shots On Goal 3.77
9.9 Total Shots 12.03
4.19 Corners 4.74
46.5% Ball Possession 41.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tecnico Universitario. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Manta FC Analysis

With 21 points from 30 games and a place of 16, Manta FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 17:42, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through José Enrique Angulo Caicedo (5 goals), J. Blanco (4 goals), J. Alman (2 goals), with creative support from Jefferson Alberto Troya Vera (3 assists), B. Ramírez (2 assists), R. Burbano (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tecnico Universitario Analysis

Tecnico Universitario approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 32 points from 30 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 28:42, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Bagner Delgado (4 goals), Julian Anaya (4 goals), Johan Bocanegra (3 goals), with creative support from Johan Bocanegra (3 assists), Luis Estupiñan (3 assists), Bagner Delgado (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
Predicted formations: Manta FC 4-4-2 / Tecnico Universitario 4-4-2

Standings

Liga Pro: Relegation Group
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
11 31 9 12 10 36:39 -3 39
D L D D W
12 31 10 7 14 26:38 -12 37
D D L W L
13 31 9 6 16 37:49 -12 33
L L W L L
14 31 10 3 18 29:43 -14 33
D W L L W
15 31 7 8 16 20:32 -12 29
D D L W L
16 31 6 6 19 19:43 -24 24
W D L L W
Relegation - Serie B