Login Register
ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
21.09.2026 19:00
Estadio Jocay
Referee: Lenin Quinonez, Ecuador
Manta FC
Match Timeline
Orense SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Pedro Velasco
Orense SC
🟨
22'
Glendys Mina
Manta FC
🔄
27'
R. Silva ↔ J. Ortiz
Orense SC
⚽
29'
J. Angulo · Assist: J. Troya
Manta FC
⚽
35'
J. Blanco
Manta FC
🟨
44'
Octavio Moscarelli
Manta FC
🟨
45'
Gabriel Achilier
Orense SC
🔄
55'
G. Mina ↔ J. Monaga
Manta FC
🔄
55'
J. Angulo ↔ J. Alman
Manta FC
🟨
56'
Juan Jimenez
Manta FC
🟨
56'
Miguel Parrales
Orense SC
🔄
63'
M. Bermudez ↔ W. Chuchuca
Orense SC
🔄
63'
P. Velasco ↔ C. Barrio
Orense SC
🔄
63'
M. Parrales ↔ A. Mena
Orense SC
🔄
65'
J. Jimenez ↔ J. Nazareno
Manta FC
🔄
65'
J. Blanco ↔ A. Ledesma
Manta FC
🟨
66'
Jefferson Troya
Manta FC
🔄
74'
J. Verges ↔ R. Burbano
Manta FC
🔄
80'
V. Burgoa ↔ B. Vinan
Orense SC
VAR
82'
Alan Lorenzo
Orense SC
🟨
85'
Jostin Alman
Manta FC
⚽
86'
A. Mena
Orense SC

Manta FC vs Orense SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.6%
Odds 2.95
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.17
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.6%
2.95 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.17 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.1%
1.32 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Manta FC Win 56.6%
Draw 10.3%
Orense SC Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manta FC0.97
Orense SC1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manta FC Manta FC
WWDLW
17 GF / 42 GA
Orense SC Orense SC
WLDWL
36 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
0.57
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
9
BTTS Yes
19
8
Over 2.5
18
2.83
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manta FC Manta FC 30 matches
Orense SC Orense SC 30 matches
Manta FC Statistic Orense SC
5 Wins 9
6 Draws 6
19 Losses 15
17 Goals For 36
42 Goals Against 47
0.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
9 BTTS Yes 19
15 Over 1.5 26
8 Over 2.5 18
4 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 5
18 Failed To Score 8
2.83 Shots On Goal 3.67
9.83 Total Shots 11
4.2 Corners 3.93
46.6% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Orense SC. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Manta FC expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Orense SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orense SC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Manta FC Analysis

Manta FC sit 16 with 21 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 19 defeats with a 17:42 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on José Enrique Angulo Caicedo (4 goals), J. Blanco (3 goals), J. Alman (2 goals), with creative support from B. Ramírez (2 assists), Jefferson Alberto Troya Vera (2 assists), R. Burbano (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Orense SC Analysis

Orense SC sit 13 with 33 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 36:47, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through A. Herrera (8 goals), Sergio Vásquez (4 goals), V. Burgoa (4 goals), with creative support from Sergio Vásquez (3 assists), V. Burgoa (3 assists), Erick Zambrano (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Manta FC won 0 times, Orense SC won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Manta FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.7%)
Predicted formations: Manta FC 3-4-3 / Orense SC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Manta FC wins 0, draws 4, Orense SC wins 1

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Liga Pro (Relegation Group)