ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
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Etihad Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.3%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Manchester City Win 51.3%
Draw 15%
Bournemouth Win 33.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City2.04
Bournemouth3.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester City Manchester City
WWDLW
7 GF / 3 GA
Bournemouth Bournemouth
WLDWL
22 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
4.4
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
3
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manchester City Manchester City 3 matches
Bournemouth Bournemouth 5 matches
Manchester City Statistic Bournemouth
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 1
0 Losses 1
7 Goals For 22
3 Goals Against 8
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 4.4
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
3 BTTS Yes 5
3 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City won 13 times, Bournemouth won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 40:12 from Manchester City's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
Predicted formations: Manchester City 4-2-3-1 / Bournemouth -
H2H summary: Manchester City wins 13, draws 1, Bournemouth wins 1
Last matches: Manchester City
09.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
3
1
W
05.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
K-League Stars
3
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
Inter
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Aston Villa
1
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Bournemouth
1
1
D
16.05.26
FA
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Brentford
3
0
W
04.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Everton
3
3
D
25.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Burnley
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Arsenal
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Chelsea
3
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Liverpool
4
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
West Ham
1
1
D
11.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
0
3
L
07.03.26
FA
Manchester City
Newcastle
3
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Leeds
1
0
W
Last matches: Bournemouth
15.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
08.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
Real Betis
2
2
D
04.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
Genoa
10
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FC Augsburg
5
2
W
24.07.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FC St. Pauli
4
1
W
24.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
19.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Fulham
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Leeds
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Newcastle
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Arsenal
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester United
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Burnley
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Brentford
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Sunderland
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
West Ham
0
0
D
10.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Everton
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Wolves
2
0
W
H2H: Manchester City vs Bournemouth
19.05.26
H2H
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
1
D
02.11.25
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
3
1
W
20.05.25
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
3
1
W
30.03.25
H2H
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
2
W
02.11.24
H2H
Bournemouth
Manchester City
2
1
L
24.02.24
H2H
Bournemouth
Manchester City
0
1
W
04.11.23
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
6
1
W
25.02.23
H2H
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
4
W
13.08.22
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
4
0
W
24.09.20
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
2
1
W
15.07.20
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
2
1
W
25.08.19
H2H
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
3
W
02.03.19
H2H
Bournemouth
Manchester City
0
1
W
01.12.18
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
3
1
W
23.12.17
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
4
0
W
Last matches: Manchester City
09.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
3
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
Inter
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Aston Villa
1
2
L
13.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Brentford
3
0
W
25.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Arsenal
2
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Liverpool
4
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
1
2
L
04.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Newcastle
2
1
W
14.02.26
FA
Manchester City
Salford City
2
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Fulham
3
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Manchester City
Galatasaray
2
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Manchester City
Wolves
2
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Manchester City
Exeter City
10
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Manchester City
Brighton
1
1
D
04.01.26
Pre
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
1
D
20.12.25
Pre
Manchester City
West Ham
3
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Manchester City
Sunderland
3
0
W
H2H at home: Manchester City
02.11.25
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
3
1
W
20.05.25
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
3
1
W
04.11.23
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
6
1
W
13.08.22
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
4
0
W
24.09.20
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
2
1
W
15.07.20
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
2
1
W
01.12.18
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
3
1
W
23.12.17
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
4
0
W
Last matches: Bournemouth
15.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
08.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
Real Betis
2
2
D
30.07.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FC Augsburg
5
2
W
24.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Fulham
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Newcastle
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Arsenal
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Burnley
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
West Ham
0
0
D
10.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Everton
2
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Wolves
2
0
W
19.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Brighton
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Bournemouth
Newcastle
2
2
D
30.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Chelsea
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Brentford
1
4
L
15.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester United
4
4
D
29.11.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Sunderland
2
3
L
09.11.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
0
4
L
02.11.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
3
L
18.10.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
3
3
D
H2H away: Bournemouth
02.11.25
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
3
1
L
20.05.25
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
3
1
L
04.11.23
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
6
1
L
13.08.22
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
4
0
L
24.09.20
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
2
1
L
15.07.20
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
2
1
L
01.12.18
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
3
1
L
23.12.17
H2H
Manchester City
Bournemouth
4
0
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship