01.10.2026 18:45
Ta'Qali National Stadium
Referee: Antoni Bandic
Malta
Match Timeline
Gibraltar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Graeme Torrilla
Gibraltar
⚽
53'
Joseph Mbong · Assist: Ylyas Chouaref
Malta
⚽
61'
James Scanlon
Gibraltar
🟨
63'
Ylyas Chouaref
Malta
🟨
72'
Joseph Mbong
Malta
🔄
73'
Joseph Mbong ↔ Paul Mbong
Malta
🔄
73'
Alexander·Satariano ↔ Paiber Brandon Diego
Malta
🔄
82'
Teddy Teuma ↔ Keyon Ewurum
Malta
🔄
86'
Nicholas Pozo ↔ Han Stevens
Gibraltar
🔄
88'
Juan Corbalan ↔ Andrea Zammit
Malta
🔄
88'
Kurt Shaw ↔ Zach Muscat
Malta
🟨
90+1'
Zach Muscat
Malta

Malta vs Gibraltar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 73%
Odds 5.49
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 2.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.04
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
73%
5.49 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
2.75 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.04 ▥
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
2.06 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-2
-
34.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Malta Win 13.5%
Draw 73%
Gibraltar Win 13.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Malta1.15
Gibraltar1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Malta Malta
WWDLW
7 GF / 3 GA
Gibraltar Gibraltar
WLDWL
8 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
2
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
0.25
2
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
2
2
Shots on Goal
0.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Malta Malta 4 matches
Gibraltar Gibraltar 4 matches
Malta Statistic Gibraltar
3 Wins 2
0 Draws 2
1 Losses 0
7 Goals For 8
3 Goals Against 1
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 2
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 0.25
2 BTTS Yes 1
4 Over 1.5 2
2 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 2
2 Shots On Goal 0.75
3.25 Total Shots 1.25
0.5 Corners 1.5
14.8% Ball Possession 25.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Malta won 2 times, Gibraltar won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:0 from Malta's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (86.5%)
Predicted formations: Malta 4-2-3-1 / Gibraltar 4-3-3
H2H summary: Malta wins 2, draws 0, Gibraltar wins 0

Standings

League D - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Malta Home
3 2 1 0 4:2 2 7
W D W
2 2 0 2 0 1:1 0 2
D D
3 3 0 1 2 1:3 -2 1
L D L
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