SPAIN LA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Referee: J. Sanchez
Mallorca
Match Timeline
Oviedo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
38'
Santi Cazorla
Oviedo
42'
P. Torre · Assist: P. Maffeo
Mallorca
🔄
46'
A. Fores ↔ H. Hassan
Oviedo
🟨
48'
Manu Morlanes
Mallorca
🔄
53'
O. Mascarell ↔ A. Raillo
Mallorca
🟨
58'
Samú Costa
Mallorca
🔄
61'
T. Asano ↔ J. Virgili
Mallorca
🔄
62'
Samu Costa ↔ A. Sanchez
Mallorca
🔄
63'
S. Colombatto ↔ L. Ilic
Oviedo
🔄
63'
S. Cazorla ↔ T. Borbas
Oviedo
🔄
77'
N. Vidal ↔ L. Ahijado
Oviedo
🔄
77'
R. Alhassane ↔ J. Lopez
Oviedo
83'
M. Morlanes
Mallorca
🔄
85'
P. Torre ↔ A. Prats
Mallorca
🔄
85'
T. Lato ↔ J. Olaizola
Mallorca
88'
V. Muriqi
Mallorca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mallorca Win 78.5%
Draw 0%
Oviedo Win 21.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mallorca1.38
Oviedo1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mallorca Mallorca
WWDLW
49 GF / 60 GA
Oviedo Oviedo
WLDWL
28 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
0.74
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
25
BTTS Yes
13
24
Over 2.5
15
4.08
Shots on Goal
3.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mallorca Mallorca 40 matches
Oviedo Oviedo 38 matches
Mallorca Statistic Oviedo
12 Wins 6
9 Draws 11
19 Losses 21
49 Goals For 28
60 Goals Against 61
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 0.74
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
25 BTTS Yes 13
33 Over 1.5 25
24 Over 2.5 15
9 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 20
4.08 Shots On Goal 3.26
10.67 Total Shots 10.11
3.67 Corners 3.95
47.1% Ball Possession 46.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Oviedo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mallorca expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Oviedo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Oviedo having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Mallorca Analysis

Mallorca sit 19 with 39 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 9 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 44:57 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Vedat Muriqi (22 goals), Samú Costa (7 goals), Pablo Torre (3 goals), with creative support from S. Darder (5 assists), Pablo Torre (4 assists), J. Virgili (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Oviedo Analysis

With 29 points from 37 games and a place of 20, Oviedo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 11 draws, and 20 defeats with a 26:57 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Federico Viñas (9 goals), Ilyas Chaira (6 goals), Alberto Reina (4 goals), with creative support from T. Fernandez (4 assists), H. Hassan (3 assists), Ilyas Chaira (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Mallorca won 3 times, Oviedo won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Mallorca's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.56 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Mallorca 4-3-1-2 / Oviedo 4-4-2
Missing players: Mallorca 5, Oviedo 4
H2H summary: Mallorca wins 3, draws 5, Oviedo wins 1
Stats
Mallorca Mallorca
Oviedo Oviedo
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
1
5 Corner Kicks 5
10 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 2
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Goal 0
7 Shots off Goal 6
9 Blocked Shots 1
18 Shots insidebox 3
5 Shots outsidebox 4
0 Goalkeeper Saves 4
485 Total passes 361
409 Passes accurate 272
2.65 expected_goals 0.29
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Mallorca
Formation
Oviedo
L. Roman
L. Roman
P. Maffeo
🎯
P. Maffeo
M. Valjent
M. Valjent
O. Mascarell
O. Mascarell
T. Lato
T. Lato
Samu Costa
Samu Costa
S. Darder
S. Darder
M. Morlanes
M. Morlanes
P. Torre
P. Torre
T. Asano
T. Asano
V. Muriqi
V. Muriqi
H. Moldovan
H. Moldovan
N. Vidal
N. Vidal
E. Bailly
E. Bailly
D. Calvo
D. Calvo
R. Alhassane
R. Alhassane
S. Colombatto
S. Colombatto
N. Fonseca
N. Fonseca
I. Chaira
I. Chaira
S. Cazorla
S. Cazorla
A. Reina
A. Reina
A. Fores
A. Fores
Mallorca 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
1
L. Roman
G
23
P. Maffeo
🎯 42'
D
24
M. Valjent
D
5
O. Mascarell
↓ 53'
D
3
T. Lato
↓ 85'
D
12
Samu Costa
↓ 62' 🟨 58'
M
10
S. Darder
M
8
M. Morlanes
⚽ 83' 🟨 48'
M
20
P. Torre
⚽ 42' ↓ 85'
M
11
T. Asano
↓ 61'
F
7
V. Muriqi
⚽ 88'
F
Substitutes
25
Pichu Cuellar
G
9
A. Prats
↑ 85'
F
21
A. Raillo
↑ 53'
D
6
A. Sanchez
↑ 62'
M
19
J. Llabres
F
2
M. Morey Bauza
D
15
Z. Luvumbo
F
27
D. Lopez
D
17
J. Virgili
↑ 61'
F
44
M. Calatayud
D
34
J. Olaizola
↑ 85'
D
29
L. Orejuela
D
Oviedo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
H. Moldovan
G
22
N. Vidal
↓ 77'
D
2
E. Bailly
D
12
D. Calvo
D
3
R. Alhassane
↓ 77'
D
11
S. Colombatto
↓ 63'
M
23
N. Fonseca
M
7
I. Chaira
M
8
S. Cazorla
↓ 63' 🟨 38'
M
5
A. Reina
M
19
A. Fores
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
13
A. Escandell
G
4
D. Costas
D
24
L. Ahijado
↑ 77'
D
21
L. Ilic
↑ 63'
M
6
K. Sibo
M
25
J. Lopez
↑ 77'
D
16
D. Carmo
D
10
H. Hassan
↑ 46'
F
17
T. Borbas
↑ 63'
F
15
T. Fernandez
F
Last matches: Mallorca
17.05.26
La
Mallorca
Levante
0
2
L
13.05.26
La
Mallorca
Getafe
1
3
L
10.05.26
La
Mallorca
Villarreal
1
1
D
01.05.26
La
Mallorca
Girona
1
0
W
25.04.26
La
Mallorca
Alaves
1
2
L
21.04.26
La
Mallorca
Valencia
1
1
D
12.04.26
La
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
3
0
W
04.04.26
La
Mallorca
Real Madrid
2
1
W
21.03.26
La
Mallorca
Elche
1
2
L
15.03.26
La
Mallorca
Espanyol
2
1
W
07.03.26
La
Mallorca
Osasuna
2
2
D
28.02.26
La
Mallorca
Real Sociedad
0
1
L
22.02.26
La
Mallorca
Celta Vigo
0
2
L
15.02.26
La
Mallorca
Real Betis
1
2
L
07.02.26
La
Mallorca
Barcelona
0
3
L
02.02.26
La
Mallorca
Sevilla
4
1
W
25.01.26
La
Mallorca
Atletico Madrid
0
3
L
17.01.26
La
Mallorca
Athletic Club
3
2
W
11.01.26
La
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
04.01.26
La
Mallorca
Girona
1
2
L
Last matches: Oviedo
17.05.26
La
Oviedo
Alaves
0
1
L
14.05.26
La
Oviedo
Real Madrid
0
2
L
10.05.26
La
Oviedo
Getafe
0
0
D
03.05.26
La
Oviedo
Real Betis
0
3
L
26.04.26
La
Oviedo
Elche
1
2
L
23.04.26
La
Oviedo
Villarreal
1
1
D
12.04.26
La
Oviedo
Celta Vigo
3
0
W
05.04.26
La
Oviedo
Sevilla
1
0
W
21.03.26
La
Oviedo
Levante
2
4
L
14.03.26
La
Oviedo
Valencia
1
0
W
09.03.26
La
Oviedo
Espanyol
1
1
D
04.03.26
La
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
0
3
L
28.02.26
La
Oviedo
Atletico Madrid
0
1
L
21.02.26
La
Oviedo
Real Sociedad
3
3
D
15.02.26
La
Oviedo
Athletic Club
1
2
L
31.01.26
La
Oviedo
Girona
1
0
W
25.01.26
La
Oviedo
Barcelona
0
3
L
17.01.26
La
Oviedo
Osasuna
2
3
L
10.01.26
La
Oviedo
Real Betis
1
1
D
04.01.26
La
Oviedo
Alaves
1
1
D
H2H: Mallorca vs Oviedo
23.05.26
H2H
Mallorca
Oviedo
3
0
W
05.12.25
H2H
Oviedo
Mallorca
0
0
D
20.03.21
H2H
Mallorca
Oviedo
0
0
D
03.01.21
H2H
Oviedo
Mallorca
2
2
D
09.03.19
H2H
Mallorca
Oviedo
1
0
W
04.11.18
H2H
Oviedo
Mallorca
1
1
D
11.09.18
H2H
Mallorca
Oviedo
1
0
W
05.02.17
H2H
Oviedo
Mallorca
2
1
L
04.09.16
H2H
Mallorca
Oviedo
0
0
D
Last matches: Mallorca
10.05.26
La
Mallorca
Villarreal
1
1
D
21.04.26
La
Mallorca
Valencia
1
1
D
12.04.26
La
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
3
0
W
04.04.26
La
Mallorca
Real Madrid
2
1
W
15.03.26
La
Mallorca
Espanyol
2
1
W
28.02.26
La
Mallorca
Real Sociedad
0
1
L
15.02.26
La
Mallorca
Real Betis
1
2
L
02.02.26
La
Mallorca
Sevilla
4
1
W
17.01.26
La
Mallorca
Athletic Club
3
2
W
04.01.26
La
Mallorca
Girona
1
2
L
13.12.25
La
Mallorca
Elche
3
1
W
29.11.25
La
Mallorca
Osasuna
2
2
D
09.11.25
La
Mallorca
Getafe
1
0
W
26.10.25
La
Mallorca
Levante
1
1
D
27.09.25
La
Mallorca
Alaves
1
0
W
21.09.25
La
Mallorca
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
23.08.25
La
Mallorca
Celta Vigo
1
1
D
16.08.25
La
Mallorca
Barcelona
0
3
L
H2H at home: Mallorca
23.05.26
H2H
Mallorca
Oviedo
3
0
W
20.03.21
H2H
Mallorca
Oviedo
0
0
D
09.03.19
H2H
Mallorca
Oviedo
1
0
W
11.09.18
H2H
Mallorca
Oviedo
1
0
W
04.09.16
H2H
Mallorca
Oviedo
0
0
D
Last matches: Oviedo
14.05.26
La
Oviedo
Real Madrid
0
2
L
03.05.26
La
Oviedo
Real Betis
0
3
L
12.04.26
La
Oviedo
Celta Vigo
3
0
W
21.03.26
La
Oviedo
Levante
2
4
L
09.03.26
La
Oviedo
Espanyol
1
1
D
04.03.26
La
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
0
3
L
21.02.26
La
Oviedo
Real Sociedad
3
3
D
25.01.26
La
Oviedo
Barcelona
0
3
L
17.01.26
La
Oviedo
Osasuna
2
3
L
04.01.26
La
Oviedo
Alaves
1
1
D
14.12.25
La
Oviedo
Sevilla
0
4
L
29.11.25
La
Oviedo
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
09.11.25
La
Oviedo
Athletic Club
0
1
L
28.10.25
Cop
Oviedo
Ourense CF
2
4
L
25.10.25
La
Oviedo
Girona
3
3
D
30.09.25
La
Oviedo
Valencia
2
1
W
21.09.25
La
Oviedo
Elche
0
1
L
13.09.25
La
Oviedo
Getafe
0
2
L
15.08.25
La
Oviedo
Villarreal
0
2
L
H2H away: Oviedo
23.05.26
H2H
Mallorca
Oviedo
3
0
L
20.03.21
H2H
Mallorca
Oviedo
0
0
D
09.03.19
H2H
Mallorca
Oviedo
1
0
L
11.09.18
H2H
Mallorca
Oviedo
1
0
L
04.09.16
H2H
Mallorca
Oviedo
0
0
D

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2

Missing Players

Mallorca 5 missing
-
J. Salas
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. Kumbulla
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
M. Joseph
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Mojica
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
J. Kalumba
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Oviedo 4 missing
-
L. Dendoncker
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
O. Ejaria
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
F. Vinas
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
B. Domingues
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT